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COVID-19

ANALYSIS: Germany split over vaccine strategy as election looms

With Covid-19 infections rising and vaccinations grinding to a halt, Germany's inoculation campaign is threatening to become a political hot potato just two months ahead of a general election.

ANALYSIS: Germany split over vaccine strategy as election looms
A 'vaccination station' at the open air festival 'Culture Island Wöhrmühle' in Erlangen. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Nicolas Armer

Unlike other European countries such as France and Greece, Germany has so far ruled out introducing compulsory jabs for certain parts of the population.

But Chancellor Angela Merkel’s chief of staff Helge Braun caused a storm at the weekend by suggesting that “vaccinated people will definitely have more freedom than unvaccinated people” if case numbers rise again in the autumn.

This could mean they are not allowed to access restaurants, sports venues or other facilities, for example – even if they can provide a recent negative test.

Government spokeswoman Ulrike Demmer has insisted that mandatory vaccines will not be introduced through so-called “back door” measures restricting the unvaccinated.

But she also said the government would do “everything to avoid a situation like the one we saw in spring” and said that in the event of further exponential virus growth, “we will have to take further measures”.

READ ALSO: Should Germany bring in Covid restrictions for unvaccinated people only?

‘Extremely dangerous’

In a country scarred by memories of Nazi and communist dictatorships that spied on citizens and stole their freedoms, forced vaccination – even indirectly through restrictions on the unvaccinated – is a hard sell for many.

The country has only one mandatory vaccine – against measles in a measure that went into effect in 2020.

Armin Laschet, the head of Merkel’s conservative CDU party and the favourite to succeed her as chancellor after Germany’s election on September 26th, has said he does not believe in compulsory jabs — or in different treatment for those who are not vaccinated.

“In the end, I think freedoms have to apply to everyone if you don’t want compulsory vaccination,” he told the ZDF broadcaster.

But Der Spiegel magazine said Tuesday that the debate around vaccination could prove “extremely dangerous for Laschet”.

After a dismal start to the year, the conservatives have seen their ratings rise over the summer thanks to low infection numbers and a series of blunders by their closest rivals, the Greens.

But with cases rising again and barely 50 percent of the population fully vaccinated, “discussions about vaccination could poison the atmosphere” justas “the phase of the campaign begins”, Der Spiegel said.

Germany has seen low infection numbers over the summer compared to many of its European neighbours, but cases have been creeping up over the past two weeks, largely fuelled by the Delta variant.

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Merkel said last week she was concerned about what she called an “exponential” rise in cases, urging as many Germans as possible to get vaccinated.

‘The only way’

The Robert Koch Institute (RKI) health agency on Tuesday recorded 1,545 new infections in Germany over the past 24 hours and an incidence rate of 14.5 new cases per 100,000 people over the past seven days — up from a low of 4.9 in early July.

Meanwhile, the country’s vaccination drive has slowed to a snail’s pace, with just 49.7 percent of Germans fully vaccinated as of Tuesday — well under
the 85 percent deemed necessary by the RKI.

For the Süddeutsche Zeitung daily, politicians should have the “courage to say that compulsory vaccination could be a last resort in the fight against Covid”.

Even those opposed to compulsory jabs are increasingly coming out in favour of different treatment for those who choose to forego the jab.

READ ALSO:

Justice Minister Christine Lambrecht has suggested that unvaccinated people should be forced to pay for their own tests – an idea supported by influential Bavarian premier Markus Söder.

And the German Ethics Council, which advises the government on its vaccination strategy, has cautiously stated that mandatory jabs for specific professions could be considered under certain circumstances.

“However, I would say that these circumstances do not apply at all” at the moment, council president Alena Buyx told the ARD broadcaster, noting that vaccination rates among German health workers and teachers were high.

Jens Michow, executive president of the German events industry association (BDKV), told Die Welt newspaper that compulsory jabs for customers and staff were “the only way” to save the industry from ruin.

By Femke COLBORNE

Member comments

  1. Unfortunately, “Laughing Boy” Laschet is probably going to drag the Union down with him to make the SPD a credible alternative, particularly in alliance with the Greens. The Union need to ditch him for Söder to have any chance in these Fall elections!

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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