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VACCINE

6 Covid-19 vaccine challenges Germany is facing right now

From hundreds of thousands of unused doses to organisation difficulties, why is Germany struggling so much with its vaccination programme?

6 Covid-19 vaccine challenges Germany is facing right now
A Kita worker receiving her vaccine in Bremen. Photo: DPA

As of Friday, around 4.4 percent of the population had received at least one jab against coronavirus. Almost 2 million people have received both doses, and about 3.8 million people have received one jab. 

German Health Minister Jens Spahn also said that 11 million coronavirus vaccine doses will have been delivered to the 16 federal states by the end of next week.

So although progress has been made in the inoculation campaign that started at the end of December, impatience is growing over Germany’s slow rollout of the vaccine. 

Here are some of the challenges that the country is facing right now.

Supply problems

It’s been well documented that many European countries have struggled with supplies, and this has been blamed on the EU’s purchasing strategy. Critics say the Commission signed its contracts too late and paid the pharma firms too little money.

Adding to the supply issues is that the main vaccine providers – BioNTech, Moderna and AstraZeneca – all failed to deliver the agreed amount of doses for the first quarter of the year.

Health Minister Spahn said recently that the vaccination campaign would not speed up until the second quarter, from April onwards, when more doses are delivered. 

READ ALSO: How can Germany increase its supply of vaccines?

People refusing AstraZeneca

In the past week, The Local and other media outlets have been reporting how Germany is struggling to give out the AstraZeneca vaccine. 

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), only around 270,000 shots have been administered from the first delivery of around 1.5 million doses. 

There have been several reports of people refusing the AstraZeneca jab – saying they would prefer the BioNTech/Pfizer or Moderna jab, which are also approved in Germany.

Citing a lack of data about efficacy in the elderly, Germany’s vaccine commission said AstraZeneca was recommended only for people aged 18 to 64 years old.

But there has also been misleading coverage in the media about the jab. Business paper Handelsblatt and Bild daily had reported that efficacy among above-65s was below 10 percent – claims that were rejected by the German government and the company.

READ ALSO: ‘Millions could be vaccinated quickly’: Should Germany grant wider rollout of AstraZeneca

People are also reacting to studies that show the AstraZeneca vaccine is slightly less effective than the other two vaccines approved in Germany, as well as reports of side effects after receiving the jab. However, health officials say effects, such as feeling unwell, can be expected after all vaccinations.

The government is trying to address these problems by assuring those aged 18-64 who qualify for it that AstraZeneca is safe and effective.

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s spokesman Steffen Seibert tweeted on Monday to say the AstraZeneca vaccine is “safe and highly effective”.

“It prevents many infections and protects against serious illness,” he said. “Vaccination can save lives.”

Adding to the misleading coverage are foreign media headlines that say Merkel “refused” the AstraZeneca vaccine. 

In an interview with German daily FAZ this week, Merkel had said AstraZeneca was a “reliable vaccine, effective and safe”, approved by the European Medicines Agency and “recommended in Germany up to the age of 65”.

When asked whether she would accept the jab herself, the German Chancellor, who is 66-years-old, said she did not belong to the recommended age group for AstraZeneca. 

This led to several headlines on English language newspapers worldwide saying Merkel refused the AstraZeneca vaccine.

As commentators pointed out, Merkel does not qualify for AstraZeneca because of her age – this is not the same as refusing it.

Vaccine not being rolled out efficiently

As we said earlier, Germany is struggling with supply issues. So even if some people do not want the AstraZeneca vaccine, that still doesn’t explain why there are so many doses hanging around. 

The whole debacle is exasperated by organisational problems and the fact not all priority groups are allowed to book appointments yet. 

Due to what appeared to be a lack of leadership on moving away from strict rules, health officials remained focused on the highest priority group which includes over 80s and health care employees with a high risk of contracting Covid-19.

“We should release the AstraZeneca vaccine for the first three priority groups,” Social Democrat health expert Karl Lauterbach told Spiegel on Monday.

However, the country is beginning to open up the AstraZeneca doses to other priority groups (remember that only under 65s qualify for it in Germany), including school teachers. 

Spahn on Friday also said that to speed up the rollout, Germany will aim to quickly distribute the shots through its network of family doctors’ practices.

Earlier this month, Chancellor Merkel admitted that the sluggish start of the vaccine campaign has been a “disappointment” and added that the vaccination centres will soon operate “at full capacity”. Let’s hope so.

READ ALSO: ‘Take AstraZeneca now’: Health officials plead for people to take vaccine

Different procedures across the country

Many people across Germany have reported confusion and stress over trying to get a vaccine appointment. The system differs from state to state. Some areas, like Berlin, are sending letters out to people eligible for appointments. Other regions say that people who qualify for a jab should call up or book an appointment online. 

There is also no plan that’s been made public on how the mass rollout will work. The German government has said it will update the public on how people will be able to get a vaccine appointment in due course.

But many people, including readers of The Local, are looking for an idea of the plan now to see how vaccinations will be carried out when the rollout speeds up from April onwards. 

Vaccine hesitancy 

Polls suggest that more Germans could be losing confidence in vaccines.

A recent study by Germany’s Bertelsmann Foundation found a third of respondents said they did not want any Covid-19 vaccine.

Health experts say more public health information campaigns on the vaccines should be rolled out to increase trust.

The weekend effect

Many vaccination points in Germany do not open, or are partially opened at the weekend. Social Democrat health expert Karl Lauterbach said lots of centres only vaccinate five days a week for eight hours at a time.

Lauterbach, among others, has urged Germany to open up the AstraZeneca vaccine to all priority groups and “increase the utilisation of vaccine centres to seven days a week”.

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ANALYSIS

Will Spain have a sixth coronavirus wave?

While Covid infections are rising across Europe, Spain has managed to keep cases and hospitalisations low so far this autumn. But there are already signs things may be changing. 

people walk without masks on ramblas barcelona during covid times
Spain’s epidemiological situation is the most favourable in the EU and a sixth wave but will there be a sixth wave? Photo: Pau Barrena/AFP

Coronavirus cases have been rising quickly across Europe since October but not so in Spain, which has maintained one of the lowest infection, hospitalisation and death rates on the continent. 

According to prestigious medical publication The Lancet, Spain could well be on the verge of reaching herd immunity, a statement the country’s Health Minister tends to agree with.  

READ ALSO: Has Spain almost reached herd immunity?

Add the favourable epidemiological indicators to the almost 80 percent rate of full vaccination of Spain’s entire population and the immunity claim doesn’t seem so far-fetched. 

But if there’s one thing this pandemic has taught governments around the world – or should have – is to not assume Covid-19 can be eradicated after a few encouraging weeks. 

Not that Spain is letting down its guard, the general public continues to take mask wearing in indoor spaces seriously (outdoors as well even though not required in many situations) and there are still some regional restrictions in place. 

READ MORE: What Covid-19 restrictions are in place in Spain’s regions in November?

And yet, Covid infections are on the rise again, although not at the pace seen during previous waves of the virus. 

On Thursday November 4th Spain re-entered the Health Ministry’s “medium risk” category after the national fortnightly infection rate surpassed 50 cases per 100,000 people.

From Friday 5th to Monday 8th, it climbed five more points up to 58 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. 

It’s the biggest rise since last July but this shouldn’t be cause for alarm, especially as hospitalizations, ICU admissions and deaths all remain low and steady.

A closer look at the stats shows that 1.52 percent of hospital beds across the country are currently occupied by Covid patients, 4.41 percent in the case of ICU beds. 

Daily Covid deaths in October were under 20 a day, the lowest rate since August 2020. 

With all this in mind, is a sixth wave of the coronavirus in Spain at all likely?

According to a study by the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, Spain will have a sixth wave.

The Seattle-based research group predicts an increase in infections in Spain from the second half of November, which will skyrocket in December reaching the highest peak towards the end of the year. 

The country would reportedly need about 24,000 beds for Covid patients (4,550 for critical ones) and there would be almost 2,000 deaths. 

Increased social interactions would mean that on December 30th alone, daily Covid infections in Spain could reach 92,000, the study claims. 

If restrictions were tightened ahead of the holiday period, including the use of face masks, the sixth wave’s peak wouldn’t be as great, IHME states

It’s worth noting that the IHME wrongly predicted that Spain wouldn’t be affected by a fifth wave whereas it ended up causing more than a million infections and 5,000 deaths. 

two elderly women in san sebastian during covid times
The vaccination rate among over 70s in Spain is almost 100 percent. Photo: Ander Guillenea/AFP
 

The latest message from Spain’s Health Minister Carolina Darias is that currently “the virus is cornered” in the country, whilst admitting that there was a slight rise in cases. 

“I do not know if there will be a sixth wave, but first we must remember that immunisation is not complete in all patients despite vaccinations,” Dr. José Polo , president of the Spanish Society of Primary Care Physicians (Semergen), told El Periódico de España

“That’s because 100 percent effectiveness doesn’t exist in any drug, or in any medicine”.

Despite having one of the highest vaccination rates in the world, Spain still has around 4.2 million eligible people who haven’t been vaccinated, mostly people aged 20 to 40. 

The majority of Covid hospitalisations across Spain are patients who have not been vaccinated: 90 percent in the Basque Country, 70 percent in Catalonia and 60 percent in Andalusia.

Among Covid ICU patients, 90 percent of people in critical condition across all regions are unvaccinated. 

“Although there are many people vaccinated in Spain, there will be an increase in cases because we know how the virus is transmitted and when the cold comes and the evenings are darker we will tend to go indoors, and the virus spreads there,” Cesar Carballo, Vice President of the Spanish Society of Emergency Medicine of Madrid, told La Sexta news.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has already warned that Europe is at a  “critical point of regrowth”  and that it has once again become the “epicentre”  of the pandemic, due to the generalised spike in cases in recent weeks.

Does that mean that Spain’s daily infections won’t be in the thousands again as winter nears? Or that regional governments won’t reintroduce Covid measures ahead of Christmas to prevent this from happening?

Nothing is for certain, but as things stand Spain’s epidemiological situation is the most favourable in the EU and a sixth wave seems unlikely, but not impossible.

The Spanish government continues to push ahead with its vaccination campaign, reopening its vaccination centres, administering booster shots to its most vulnerable and considering vaccinating under 12s to meet an immunity target of 90 percent. 

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