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COST OF LIVING

What’s going to happen to food prices in Norway in 2024? 

Norwegian supermarkets have begun the year locked in a price battle, and the cost of many everyday goods has been slashed. However, industry experts forecast rises in the second half of the year. 

Pictured is a seafood counter in Bergen.
Food prices in Norway will see steadier increases in 2023 compared to 2024. Pictured is a seafood counter in Bergen. Photo by Georg Eiermann on Unsplash

Norway’s three supermarket chains that strive to be the cheapest in the country have started the year in a price war. 

Extra has cut the price of 150 everyday items, Rema 1000 has pledged to freeze the price on more than 1,000 items, and Kiwi has said that it would strive to be the cheapest supermarket in the country. 

READ MORE: Everything you need to know about supermarkets in Norway

“This is a gift for consumers. After all, prices are high in Norway. But now we see that all three large low-price grocery chains are lowering prices sharply,” Odd Gisholt, an expert on the grocery industry, told public broadcaster NRK

Norway’s supermarkets have abandoned the traditional price windows. This is when chains adjust prices twice a year after negotiations with suppliers. Now, supermarkets claim to negotiate continually. 

“Now we negotiate all year round, and when we receive a cut in prices, this goes straight to the customers straight away, through lower prices,” Pia Mellbye, sales and marketing director at Rema 1000, said. 

Extra said that it expects prices from suppliers in 2024 to be lower than last year, which is why it has abolished its price lock in favour of price cuts.

“Heading into the new year, the uncertainty about future prices is not the same, and we see that customers experience price caps as a less relevant and out-of-date price measure. With expectations of lower purchasing costs, we are concerned that such measures will mislead and create uncertainty among customers,” Håvard Jensen, director of COOP Norway, said in a press release. 

Lower inflation in other countries and a strengthening of the Norwegian krone have helped decrease the cost of food for suppliers and supermarkets. 

 “It means a lot to Norwegian consumers since much of what we buy comes from abroad,” Professor Øystein Foros at the Norwegian School of Economics told NRK. 

However, as the year progresses, food prices will begin to increase. The good news for consumers is that price rises should be steadier and less extreme than in recent years. 

Ivar Petterson, a food researcher at Alo Analyse, told broadcaster TV 2 that food prices are expected to rise by around four percent in 2024. 

Between November 2022 and November 2023, food prices increased by 9.1 percent. 

“It can be quite calm until April and towards the summer, but then the growth comes in the autumn. After the wage settlement and the agricultural settlement come into force,” Pettersen said. 

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ECONOMY

What lower inflation in Norway means for you 

Inflation in Norway continues to slow. However, the cost of living in the country isn’t slowing as quickly as economists expected. Here’s what that means to you. 

What lower inflation in Norway means for you 

Inflation is slowing 

Norway’s Consumer Price Index, CPI, which measures changes in prices for household goods and services, has slowed yet again. 

Between April last year and the same month this year, prices in Norway rose by 3.6 percent. It marks the third time that price increases have been below four percent since the start of 2022. 

The figures, released by Norway’s national data agency Statistics Norway, mark the fourth month in a row where the 12 monthly inflation figure has been lower than the yearly figure from the month before. This means prices are rising less rapidly than before. 

“Price growth decreased for the fourth month in a row in April. Prices are still higher than they were at the same time last year for most goods and services, but they are generally rising more slowly than before,” Espen Kristiansen at Statistics Norway said. 

Food remains one of the biggest contributors to inflation 

The price of food and non-alcoholic beverages rose by 3.3 percent from March to April, according to Statistics Norway. 

Chocolate, soft drinks, coffee, and citrus foods saw the biggest price increases, which the national data agency called “unusual.” 

What wasn’t unusual, however, was the cost of food rising following Easter, when many supermarkets ran offers to compete for customers. 

“The rise must be seen in the context of the fact that large offer campaigns in connection with Easter dampened prices in March,” Kristiansen said. 

The figures for April show that food prices in Norway have increased by 6.8 percent compared to a year ago. 

The rising cost of food and drink in Norway could potentially outgrow wages this year, even if expected pay bumps will outpace forecasted inflation overall. 

Economists expected inflation to fall more 

Inflation hasn’t eased as much as some experts were expecting. Core inflation, which excludes energy prices and taxes, was measured at 4.4 percent year on year in April. This is above what economists surveyed by the newswire Reuters expected. 

Norges Bank, the country’s central bank, raised the policy rate to a 16-year high of 4.5 percent in December. The bank has said that inflation should generally be around two percent, so it has used interest rates to curb price increases. 

As inflation isn’t falling much quicker than expected, economists predict that the central bank may wait until December before slashing rates – which for consumers means that loan and mortgage repayments will remain high for the foreseeable future. 

“The fall in inflation has not been much greater than Norges Bank has thought. This, therefore, indicates that an interest rate cut may come in December instead of September,” Kjersti Haugland, chief economist at DNB Markets, told public broadcaster NRK

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