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SCHOOLS

School drop-outs rise across Germany as resources and teachers spread thin

Germany sees a high number of school drop-outs each year compared with most other European countries. The problem feeds into the country’s labour shortage, and is made worse by an education system that lacks teachers and resources.

empty chair in a classroom
Compared with most EU countries, German students are more likely to leave school after secondary, leaving them with no real qualifications to help them start a career. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Marijan Murat

Germany has long been criticised for not doing enough to reduce the number of young people who lack basic job qualifications – such as a high school diploma (Abitur) or completion of vocational training (Ausbildung).

According to the European Statistical Office (Eurostat), a little more than 12 percent of young people in Germany were classified as “early leavers from education and training” in 2022. This makes Germany the country with the 4th highest rate of early leavers in the EU, and puts it well above the EU’s average rate of 9.6 percent.

This early leavers rate includes those who completed the most basic level of mandatory schooling in Germany, which ends after the 10th year, but didn’t choose to go on to enrol in higher education or further vocational training programs.

In the German school system, children attend four to six years of basic school and then are enrolled in different secondary schools based on their performance and goals. 

Across every German state a number of students drop-out before finishing secondary school. Additionally, the number of pupils who need to repeat a grade level is rising across the country, according to newly published figures from Germany’s Statistics Office.

Who accounts for the largest group of drop-outs?

Pupils with a migration background are more likely to be school drop-outs or early leavers from education, according to research by the Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB). 

The rate of pupils with migrant backgrounds attending academically-oriented high school (Gymnasium) has risen in the past ten years, but it is still lower than pupils without migrant backgrounds. As of 2022, 38 percent of 15-year old women with a migrant background attend Gymnasium, whereas 47 percent of those without a migrant background do so.

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Gymnasium enrolment rates are likely linked to challenges that start from a young age. The same BiB research found that children from migrant backgrounds under three years old are much less likely to attend a Kita, a daycare or preschool facility, than their peers. By five years old, roughly 80 percent of children from this group enrol in Kita.

Pupils who don’t speak German at home are far more likely to experience challenges in keeping up with a German-language school curriculum. 

Across the country, roughly one in five children aged three to six don’t speak German at home. In multicultural hubs like Berlin and Bremen, its closer to one out of three.

Second-language speakers often require more individual support from education specialists or language teachers to keep up with native language speakers in school. 

READ ALSO: What foreign parents in Germany need to know about Sprach-Kitas

Growing teacher shortage

But Germany is also suffering a nationwide teacher shortage, and specialists and additional human resources are hard to find.

The nation’s teacher supply gap is expected to grow until 2035 – though there are some recent studies that suggest the current low birth rate could help to balance things out.

Nevertheless, addressing Germany’s teacher shortages and the related drop-out problem will be difficult in the short-term. 

In the meantime, programs like “Productive Learning” aim to catch young people at risk of failing out of school, and offer them work experience opportunities in place of some of their classroom time.

According to the Institute for Productive Learning in Europe, about two-thirds of the pupils who enrol in the program achieve their educational certificates.

READ ALSO: Why Germany could soon see an end to its teacher shortage

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STATISTICS

Why experts say Germany’s rising crime rate is misleading

Police statistics reveal that the number of crimes in Germany was up significantly in 2023. Some politicians have been quick to put the blame on foreigners, but experts say there are more factors to consider.

Why experts say Germany’s rising crime rate is misleading

According to the Police Crime Statistics (PKS) for 2023 published on Tuesday, crime rates rose across Germany last year. 

In total, police recorded 5.94 million crimes nationwide in 2023, which is 5.5 percent more than in the previous year. Excluding violations of immigration law, crime was still up by 4.4 percent. In 2022, the crime rate had increased even more, by 11.5 percent compared to 2021 figures.

Statistically, crime rates are rising across the Bundesrepublik, but opinions vary as to the cause.

According to the Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA), there are three significant factors to consider: the aftermath of Covid, high inflation, and rapid immigration.

How does immigration affect the crime rate?

For politicians who campaign on anti-immigration policies, the 2023 crime statistics offer ample opportunity to blame foreigners and immigrants. For example, Bavaria’s Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann (CSU) had cited immigration as the main reason for the increased number of crimes in his state before the report was published.

When violations of immigration law are omitted, non-German citizens were suspected in 34.4 percent of the crimes recorded in 2023. 

That may at first appear to be a disproportionate crime rate, considering that foreign nationals make up just 16.5 percent of Germany’s population. But there is some important context to consider.

The crime statistics also include people without a residence permit, tourists, visitors, border commuters and foreign military personnel who are not part of Germany’s population. So not all of the ‘foreigners’ included in the crime statistics are foreign residents living in Germany.

Studies have shown that people are more likely to report a crime if they suspect that the alleged perpetrator is a foreigner. 

Additionally, the BKA notes that rapid immigration, as was seen in 2022 and 2023 in part due to Russia’s war in Ukraine, creates difficult living situations for asylum seekers in initial reception centres. 

Risk factors such as economic insecurity and experiences of violence occur much more frequently among asylum seekers and refugees, BKA President Holger Münch told DPA.

How Covid restrictions affected the crime rate

Three years after they began, Covid restrictions likely had a strong effect on 2023’s crime statistics.

Social restrictions in 2020 and 2021, caused crime rates to dip significantly during those years. With the number of public events returning to normal during 2022 and 2023, crime rates rebounded as opportunities arose.

While the crime rate has risen significantly compared with 2020 or 2021, it is not a record breaking figure for Germany – the total number of crimes committed last year was comparable to 2016 figures.

The BKA also points to studies that suggest stress from school and university closures have had negative psychological effects on young people that remain after the end of government measures.

The crime rate and poverty rate are related

Economic insecurity is also a known driver of crimes, and one that may be influencing Germany’s crime statistics.

The BKA suggests that social and economic burdens, which were exacerbated by inflation in 2022 and 2023, lead to an increase in crime. The report found that the number of crime suspects tends to be higher in economically weaker regions.

On Wednesday, Germany’s statistical office (Destatis) published figures that confirmed more than 20 percent of the German population is at risk of poverty.

READ ALSO: ‘No job, no money’ – How German immigration office delays hurt lives of foreign workers

The link between poverty and certain types of crimes, such as petty theft, is obvious. But research has linked financial insecurity with an increase in all kinds of crimes.

Are police crime statistics really relevant?

According to reporting by ZDF, Kiel criminologist Martin Thüne suggests police crime statistics (PKS) in their current form should be abolished entirely. 

Thüne suggests that the way these statistics are presented is problematic, and therefore he advocates for “radically questioning this PKS system, sitting down and developing something new.”

One example of how these statistics can be misleading is seen in the number of violent crime reports, which have tended to increase in recent decades, according to police statistics. 

But Tobias Singelnstein, a Professor of Criminal Law at Goethe University Frankfurt, suggests the uptick in violent crime stats has more to do with higher reporting rates. Singelnstein told ZDF: “We as a society are becoming more sensitive to violence, [so] such acts are more ostracised than before.”

Interior Minister Nancy Faeser (SPD), who presented the PKS report on Tuesday emphasised: “Germany continues to be one of the safest countries in the world.”

READ ALSO: EU plagued by hundreds of dangerous crime gangs – Europol report

With reporting by DPA

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