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NATO

Turkey’s foreign affairs committee opens debate on Sweden’s Nato bid

Sweden took one step closer to joining Nato on Thursday as Turkey's parliament opened debate on the Nordic country's application.

Turkey's foreign affairs committee opens debate on Sweden's Nato bid
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, left, at a meeting with Nato secretary-general Jens Stoltenburg and Sweden's Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson in July. Photo: Henrik Montgomery/TT

The discussions in parliament’s foreign affairs committee represent an important moment for both European security and Turkey’s relations with the West.

Sweden and Finland dropped decades of military non-alignment and sought the nuclear protection afforded by the US-led organisation in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last year.

Their bids won fast-track approval by all other Nato members except for Turkey and Hungary.

The two ultimately relented and accepted Finland into the bloc this year.

The step roughly doubled the length of Nato’s border with Russia and strengthened the security of three tiny Baltic nations that joined the bloc after the Soviet Union’s collapse.

But Turkey has vented fury at Sweden – a liberal Nordic nation that opened its doors to migrants in past decades – for refusing to crack down on Kurdish support groups that Ankara views as “terrorists”.

Hungary has been following Turkey’s lead in the 18-month saga.

Western allies worry that Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is using his close ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin to undermine Nato and sow divisions in Europe.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan formally signed off on Sweden’s application at a raucous Nato summit in July.

But Nato hopes that Turkey would finally ratify the bid when parliament returned from summer recess receded as war returned to the Middle East.

‘Balancing act’

Israel has vowed to eradicate Hamas in retaliation for the militants’ attacks of October 7th in which 1,200 people – most of them civilians – died and around 240 were taken hostage.

The Hamas-run health ministry says the death toll from Israel’s Gaza offensive has now topped 11,500 and includes thousands of children.

Erdogan continues to voice occasional displeasure at Sweden for allowing Kurdish groups that Ankara has outlawed to march in Stockholm.

But he has focused most of his anger at Israel and the West for the scale of the civilian toll of the Gaza war.

Erdogan has called Israel a “terror state” that was being used as a “pawn” to project the interests of the United States in the Middle East.

He has also warned that a broader war between “the cross and the crescent” was breaking out between Israel’s mostly Christian Western allies and the Muslim world.

And he has defended Hamas – proscribed as a terrorist organisation by the United States and European Union – as the legally elected rulers of Gaza who were fighting for their land.

His impassioned speeches are replayed throughout the day on Turkish television and feed bubbling anger at Israel across the mostly Muslim but officially secular nation.

Erdogan led a Palestinian support rally in October that he claimed brought 1.5 million people out on the streets of Istanbul.

Yet Turkey has developed a reputation for pragmatism in its foreign relations during Erdogan’s two-decade rule.

Eurasia Group analyst Emre Peker predicted that “Erdogan’s outbursts will not derail (Turkey’s) foreign policy balancing act”.

Turkey is keen to win approval from the US Congress for a major F-16 fighter jet package that Washington has made conditional on Sweden’s Nato bid.

Erdogan’s decision to submit Sweden’s application for parliamentary approval “was intended to showcase Turkey’s key role in – and commitment to – the alliance,” Peker wrote in a report.

Erdogan controls parliament through an alliance with a far-right group.

The full chamber is expected to vote through the application shortly after its approval by the foreign affairs committee this month.

Article by AFP’s Dmitry Zaks

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MILITARY

EXPLAINED: What you need to know about Sweden’s new military spending report

Sweden's parliamentary defence commission on Friday recommended adding 52.8 billion kronor to the national defence budget by 2030, taking defence spending to 2.6 percent of GDP.

EXPLAINED: What you need to know about Sweden's new military spending report

What is the Swedish Defence Commision? 

The Swedish Defence Commission is a cross-party forum which seeks to ensure broad political agreement around Sweden’s defence requirements. It brings together representatives of all eight parties in the Swedish parliament, with two each from the Moderates, Sweden Democrats and Social Democrats and one each for the other parties.

There are also advisers and experts from the Ministry of Justice, the Ministry for Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Defence, the Ministry of Finance, the Prime Minister’s Office, the Swedish Armed Forces, the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration and the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency. Members of the committee are supported by a secretariat comprising one principal secretary and five secretaries.

What is the report they have delivered? 

The committee on Friday delivered its final, report, “Strengthened defence capability, Sweden as an Ally“, meeting the deadline given by the country’s defence minister Pål Jonson when he ordered the committee to develop proposals for a new defence bill in December 2022, with a total of four reports, the first three of which were delivered in April 2023, June 2023, December 2023. 

What have they recommended? 

The committee have recommended that Sweden’s budget is increased from 119 billion kronor a year in 2024 to 185 billion kronor in 2030, which would bring total spending to 2.6 percent of Sweden’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). 

The committee said it agreed with the recommendations given by Micael Byden, Supreme Commander of the Swedish Armed Forces in November 2023, which were that Sweden should increase or improve: 

  • air defence and in particular its cooperation within NATO’s Integrated Air and Missile Defence (IAMD)
  • its ability to combat air, land and sea drones 
  • its integration with NATO’s command system
  • its logistics, so that it can provide Host Nation Support and serve as a base for other units from other Nato countries. 
  • its capacity to operate with military units outside Sweden’s borders 

But the committee also made additional recommendations beyong those given by the armed forces, calling for: 

  • two new army brigades, so that Sweden would have three mechanised brigades and one infantry brigade by 2030
  • a new Norrland Infantry Regiment,
  • an increase in the number of conscripts trained a year from the current level of 8,000 to 10,000 in 2030 and 12,000 in 2032, and possibly to 14,000 in 2035
  • a boost in Sweden’s air defence capability, particularly to counter drone attacks 
  • stocking up on additional ammunition, including air-to-air and cruise missiles, and spare parts 
  • 20 new companies and platoons dedicated to defending Sweden’s territories 
  • increased refresher courses for conscripts, extra funding of voluntary defence organisations, and expansion of the officer education programme

How will the cost of funding this military expansion be met? 

While they were agreed on what needed to be done, party representatives on the committee did not agree on how much needed to be spent or how ti should be financed. 

The Centre Party representative said that spending should be higher, comprising 3 percent of GDP. 

The representatives from the Social Democrats, Left Party, and Green Party, added a statement to the report when they called for a section on how the extra spending should be financed.  

Peter Hultqvist, who served as defence minister under the former Social Democrat government, called for a new beredskapsskatt, or “Readiness Tax” to fund the increase, saying it was disappointing that the committee had not been able to agree on financing. 

“This demand is so big that it risks pushing other pressing requirements out of government spending plans,” he said. “There is a risk that healthcare, education and elderly care will be hit.” 

But Ulf Kristersson, Sweden’s prime minister, rejected the idea of a new tax. 

“It’s no secret that the parties on the left always see reasons to raise taxes, and that’s the case this time as well, I assume. But that is not our way forward,” he said. “We must be able to prioritise Swedish defense, and I understand that there is now complete agreement that it is an important political task.” 

Anna Starbrink, a defence spokesperson for the Liberals, the smallest party in the government, said that the Swedish Defence Commission had not in the past been tasked with developing funding proposals. 

“This is a new idea from the opposition and from the Social Democrats’ side is about nothing more than forcing through a new tax hike through the defence commission, and that’s something the rest of us don’t want to go along with,” she said. 

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