SHARE
COPY LINK

COVID-19

Omicron likely to become dominant in Germany ‘within three weeks’

The Omicron variant of Covid-19 is expected to become the dominant strain in Germany in the next "one, two or three weeks at the latest ," RKI chief Lothar Wieler said Wednesday.

RKI boss Lothar Wieler and German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach at the press conference.
RKI boss Lothar Wieler and German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach at the press conference on Wednesday. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Kay Nietfeld

Speaking at a press conference, the President of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) said Omicron will take over as the dominant variant in Germany very soon.

Wieler said Covid cases in general have been declining “but unfortunately this is not a sign of an easing”.

“We have to get the still very high case numbers down,” he said, adding that a wave of infections was coming which threatens to overburden the health system.

In Germany, about 540 Omicron confirmed cases – and around 1,848 suspected cases – had been registered with the RKI so far. But most of this data is one to two weeks old, Wieler said.

“The trend is crystal clear: with numbers doubling roughly every three days, the new variant could account for the majority of all infection cases in our country in the next one, two, three weeks at the latest.”

He urged people to stay cautious over the holidays.

“Christmas must not be the spark that ignites the Omicron fire,” said Wieler. He therefore made an appeal to the population: “I urge you – spend Christmas in the smallest circle of the family.”

READ ALSO: The rules and official advice for Christmas and New Year in Germany

Health Minister Karl Lauterbach, of the Social Democrats (SPD), said there are now so many Omicron cases in Germany that “we have to assume that the Omicron wave can no longer be prevented”. 

But Lauterbach stressed that Germany will be able to get the situation under control. The German government and states ordered fresh measures to come into force after Christmas, including limits on social gatherings. 

READ ALSO: Germany agrees tougher Covid restrictions from December 28th

“The measures we have taken are working,” he said.

The most important tool is a “particularly offensive” booster vaccination campaign, Lauterbach said.

The booster strategy will not prevent the wave, “but it is the most important thing that can be done to prevent many people from becoming seriously ill”, said the Health Minister.

Current studies show that booster vaccinations are effective at protecting against infections and severe illness caused by the Omicron strain of Covid-19.

In contrast to the second jab, the protective effect of the booster vaccination sets in after only one week, according to the studies.

When it comes to symptomatic infections, the effectiveness of booster jabs is “somewhere between 70 and 80 percent”, Lauterbach said, while the protection against getting severely ill is probably “above 90 per cent”, he said.

Earlier on Tuesday, the RKI had called for immediate tougher measures in Germany that included “maximum contact restrictions, maximum measures to protect against infection, maximum speed in vaccinating and reducing travel to what is absolutely necessary”.

The federal and state governments went against the call and the German media has subsequently reported a rift between the government and the RKI public health agency.

However, during the press conference Lauterbach said that the RKI is a “very important source”. He added: “We will work on communication.”

On Wednesday, the nationwide 7-day incidence was 289 Covid infections per 100,000 people. Health authorities in Germany reported 45,659 new Covid infections within the latest 24 hour period and there were 510 deaths. 

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.

HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

SHOW COMMENTS