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COVID-19 STATS

Delta Covid variant to become dominant in Norway in a ‘few weeks’

The Delta variant of Covid-19, first identified in India, will soon become the dominant Covid-19 variant in Norway, the Norwegian Institute of Public Health has said.

Delta Covid variant to become dominant in Norway in a 'few weeks'
The Delta variant could soon become the dominant strain in Norway. Photo by Eirik Skarstein on Unsplash.

There have now been over 350 new cases of the Delta variant since it was first sequenced in Norway in March. It is only a matter of time before it replaces the Alpha variant, which was first identified in the UK, as the dominant virus mutation in Norway, according to the Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH).

Almost 250 of the 353 confirmed cases of the Delta variant had been recorded in the last four weeks. However, Line Vold, a director at the NIPH, told newspaper VG that it has not yet become the dominant variant in Norway despite the sharp rise in Delta cases.

“We cannot say that (it has become the dominant strain) at the moment. Outbreaks of the Delta variant characterise the current infection situation, and therefore a large proportion of the tests we sequence are the Delta variant. We assume that the variant will become dominant in a few weeks,” she said.

The vast majority of Delta variant cases have been registered in Vestfold and Telemark in South Norway. However, the virus has also been detected in Viken, Oslo, Fæeder, Trondheim and Bergen.

“We are following developments closely and have categorised it as a variant of concern. We will see an increasing prevalence of this variant over the summer. But we want the spread to be slow so that as many people as possible are vaccinated before Delta becomes widespread,” Vold told the newspaper.

READ MORE: What does the Delta Covid-19 variant mean for Norway’s opening plan 

She also added that she still expects the epidemic in Norway to be kept under control even once Delta emerges as the dominant strain in Norway.

Vold also added that more and more people are becoming vaccinated and because infection control measures that have helped contain the spread of coronavirus so far are also good at managing the spread of the Delta variant.

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COVID-19

Germany’s weekly Covid infection rate rises above 500

Germany recorded a weekly Covid incidence of more than 500 per 100,000 people on Monday as health experts warn that the fifth wave of the pandemic has only just begun.

Bar in Berlin's Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg district, which has the highest incidence in the country.
People sit outside bars in the Berlin district of Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg, where incidences are currently the highest in the country. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Christophe Gateau

On Monday, the 7-day incidence of Covid infections per 100,000 people stood at 528, up from 515 the day before and 376 a week ago. 

Infections have been rising rapidly as the highly transmissible Omicron variant tightens its hold in Germany. Monday marked the fourth day in a row in which the country posted record incidences.

Since the first incidence of the variant was discovered in the country around seven weeks ago, Omicron has swiftly taken over as the dominant variant in Germany.

It currently accounts for around 73 percent of Covid infections and is expected to almost entirely replace the Delta variant this week. 

Though Omicron generally causes a less severe illness than Delta, experts are concerned that deaths and hospitalisations could remain high due to the unprecedented number of cases Germany could see.

Unlike Delta, Omicron has a large number of mutations that allow it to evade previously built up immunity through vaccinations and illness. 

The World Health Organisation has warned that half of all Europeans could be infected with the virus by spring. 

“After the temporary decline in case numbers, severe disease courses and deaths towards the end of 2021 in the fourth wave, the fifth wave of the Covid-19 pandemic has begun in Germany with the dominant circulation of the omicron variant,” the Robert Koch Institute wrote in its weekly report on Thursday.  

Since the first Omicron case was discovered in Germany, there have been 191,422 suspected or proven cases of the variant.

As Welt data journalist Olaf Gersemann pointed out in Twitter, the number of Omicron cases has increased sixfold within a fortnight. 

Increase in hospitalisations

Before this weekend, Germany had hit its previous peak of infections back in November, when the country posted a 7-day incidence of 485 per 100,000 people at during the peak of the fourth wave.

Since then, Covid measures such contact restrictions and blanket 2G (entry only for the vaccinated and recovered) or 2G-plus (vaccinated or recovered with a negative test) have been relatively effective at turning the tide. 

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For the past few weeks however, infections have been on the up once again as the Omicron fifth wave begins.

The incidence of hospitalisations in the country appears to also be on the rise again after a few weeks of decline. On Friday, the 7-day incidence of hospitalisations stood at 3.24 per 100,000 people, up from 3.13 the day before.

Over the weekend, Health Minister Karl Lauterbach warned that Omicron could place additional pressure on the general hospital wards as fewer people end up in intensive care. 

“Depending on how things develop, we may face shortages not only in the intensive care units, but also in the normal wards. There is a threat of entire departments being closed,” he said.

“Rapid spread of the virus would mean hundreds of thousands will become seriously ill and we will have to mourn many thousands of deaths again.” 

Karl Lauterbach

Health Minister Karl Lauterbach (SPD) speaks at a weekly press conference on Friday, January 14th. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Kay Nietfeld
 

Northern states post record incidences

Since the start of the Omicron wave, northern Germany has been disproportionately affected by the virus.

As of Monday, the city-state of Bremen had the highest incidence in the country, with 1389 new cases per 100,000 people recorded in a week.

This was followed by Berlin, which currently has a 7-day incidence of 948, and Hamburg, which recorded a 7-day incidence of 806. The district with the highest incidence in Berlin Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg, which posted a weekly incidence of 1597 on Monday. 

In contrast to the fourth wave, the lowest Covid incidences were recorded in the eastern states of Thuringia, Saxony-Anhalt and Saxony. 

On Monday, Thuringia had a weekly incidence of 198 per 100,000 people, while Saxony’s incidence was 249 and Saxony-Anhalt’s was 280.

Somewhat inexplicably, the incidence has been declining in Thuringia in recent weeks, though there is speculation that this could be to do with the fact that Omicron has not yet spread in the state.

Nine of the sixteen German states have incidences of more than 500 per 100,000 people. 

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