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HEALTH

Germany’s Covid intensive-care numbers stay above 4,000

For the second day running, there were more than 4,000 patients with Covid-19 in intensive care units in Germany, numbers not previously seen since early February.

Germany's Covid intensive-care numbers stay above 4,000
Medical staff take care of a Covid-19 patient in Robert Bosch hospital in Stuttgart.(Photo by THOMAS KIENZLE / AFP)

According to the latest figures from Germany’s intensive care register on Monday, 4,143 people with coronavirus are currently being treated in intensive care.

This is an increase of 92 on Sunday’s figures.

Around 56 percent of the Covid-19 patients in intensive care were on ventilators.

Out of Germany’s total of 23,600 usable intensive care beds, 3,771 were free, including 1,457 Covid-specific intensive care beds.

The pictures below show how the situation varies in different parts of the country:

The left-hand map shows the proportion of total adult intensive care beds occupied by Covid-19 patients, while the one on the right shows the percentage of unoccupied intensive care beds as of April 5th.

The figures are based on the most recent data from the last seven days.

The number of coronavirus patients in intensive care units peaked at over 5,500 cases at the start of January in the second wave, dropping to below 3,000 patients at the start of March.

The below chart from Germany’s DIVI intensive care availability register shows the number of patients with Covid-19 that have been treated in intensive care from the start of pandemic.

As depicted in the above chart, Germany’s third wave has seen infections increasing again since around mid-March, ramping up pressure on hospitals.

Calls have been growing for Germany to take tougher action to stem the tide of new infections and take the pressure off hospitals.

READ ALSO: Is Germany heading for a tougher Covid lockdown?

On Easter Monday, Germany’s Robert Koch Institute’s daily situation report showed 8,497 new Covid-19 infections and 50 new deaths in the last 24 hours.

The actual numbers may be even higher as the RKI said that generally, fewer tests are carried out and reported over public holidays, such as Easter.

The number of new infections per 100,000 residents stood at 128 on Monday, just above Sunday’s 127, and a sharp increase from three weeks ago, when the figure stood at 83.

However, as further case reports come in, RKI revises the figure up or down accordingly.

In the last few weeks, values reported at the start of the week have typically been revised slightly higher, Germany’s public health body said.

As shown in the below chart from the Robert Koch Institute, the seven-day R value (in pale orange), or reproduction number, is around 1. 

This means that, on average, every 100 infected people will pass the virus on to a further 100 people.

When the figure is below 1 for a longer period of time, it means the epidemic is shrinking. But when the number is above 1, an outbreak can grow exponentially.

The blue columns show the number of new cases, highlighting the rising trend established in mid-March.

Member comments

  1. It would be wonderful if there were more context to your articles. For example, what is the ICU patient load typically like during this time of year? Trends over the past 5 years? –including 2019 when Germany experienced an exorbitant number of flu cases. These numbers don’t mean anything without perspective.

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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