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HEALTH

‘More young people will become ill’: Germany facing tough battle against Covid-19 variants

Despite lockdown measures, the number of coronavirus infections are now stagnating in Germany, while mutations are fuelling fears of a new wave.

'More young people will become ill': Germany facing tough battle against Covid-19 variants
Health Minister Jens Spahn, RKI chief Lothar Wieler and Bavarian health minister Klaus Holetschek. Photo: DPA

The president of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), Lothar Wieler, on Friday warned that Germany has reached a difficult moment in the pandemic.

“The downward trend (in cases) is no longer continuing,” said Wieler at a press conference in Berlin. “The nationwide 7-day incidence is no longer declining everywhere.”

It looks as if some federal states are heading for a plateau “but the plateau is still too high”, he said.

Wieler said the B 1.1.7 virus variant first discovered in Britain was spreading rapidly in Germany, and that controlling the pandemic was becoming more difficult.

“Nevertheless, we can and must manage to keep the virus in check,” he said, adding that people had to stick to the current measures.

“Please also wear a mask in the car, in the office and on public transport,” he said. “Limit your contacts to the bare minimum.”

READ ALSO:

'Back to Christmas Covid levels'

Wieler warned against opening public life up too quickly.

“The virus has been given a boost, any ill-considered relaxation will set us back – then in a few weeks we'll be back to where we were at Christmas,” he said.

The number of new infections per 100,000 residents in seven days stood at 56.8 nationwide – slightly lower than the previous day (57.1), the RKI said on Friday. In the past days there has been no significant drop in this number. Some areas are also seeing a major increase in cases with the variant – including in Flensburg.

The federal and state governments are aiming for an incidence rate of less than 50, with further opening steps possible at less than 35 new cases per 100,000 residents in seven days.

At the peak of the second wave just before Christmas the incidence was at nearly 200.

Wieler said he expects more cases among younger people in the coming weeks because the British variant is more contagious.

“More young adults, adolescents and children will fall ill,” he said.

He reiterated that vaccinations are an important tool in the fight against the pandemic. It came after there were reports of some people in Germany refusing the AstraZeneca vaccine.

“All vaccines available in Germany are safe and effective. All of them protect against Covid-19 disease, and as far as we know, they also protect against the new variants.”

'The virus doesn't give up'

Health Minister Jens Spahn, of Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats, also stressed that the situation was tense.

“The virus just doesn't give up,” Spahn said.

He said the need for an end to the lockdown in Germany is “palpable, almost tangible”, but added that the country must move forward cautiously “in order not to gamble away what has been achieved”.

READ ALSO: How and why Germany tightened its target for lifting lockdown measures

However, Spahn said some districts with very low figures (such as under 10 new cases per 100,000 residents in seven days) could be allowed to start opening up locally.

Germany has been in a state of shutdown since November, with most of public life now closed and people urged to cut contact to a minimum.

Pressure from the business community has been mounting to get public life back on track. Chancellor Merkel was on Friday talking to local politicians about the reopening debate.

But fears of a possible third wave in Germany are growing. Calls for a relaxation of the lockdown are countered by speculation about tougher measures. RKI head Wieler recently spoke to a German broadcaster about a race between vaccinations and virus variants.

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HEALTH

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

It’s back again: amid sinking temperatures, the incidence of Covid-19 has been slowly rising in Germany. But is this enough to merit worrying about the virus?

Could there be a new wave of Covid-19 in Germany this autumn?

More people donning face masks in supermarkets, friends cancelling plans last minute due to getting sick with Covid-19. We might have seen some of those familiar reminders recently that the coronavirus is still around, but could there really be a resurgence of the virus like we experienced during the pandemic years?

According to virologists, the answer seems to be ‘maybe’: since July, the number of people newly infected with Covid-19 has been slowly rising from a very low level.

According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), nine people per 100,000 inhabitants became newly infected in Germany last week. A year ago, there were only around 270 reported cases.

Various Corona variants are currently on the loose in the country. According to the RKI,  the EG.5 (also called Eris) and XBB.1.16 lines were each detected in the week ending September 3rd with a share of just under 23 percent. 

The highly mutated variant BA.2.86 (Pirola), which is currently under observation by the World Health Organisation (WHO), also arrived in the country this week, according to RKI. 

High number of unreported case

The RKI epidemiologists also warned about a high number of unreported cases since hardly any testing is done. They pointed out that almost half of all registered sewage treatment plants report an increasing viral load in wastewater tests.

The number of hospital admissions has also increased slightly, but are still a far cry from the occupation rate amid the pandemic. Last week it was two per 100,000 inhabitants. In the intensive care units, only 1.2 percent of all beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients.

Still, a good three-quarters (76.4 percent) of people in Germany have been vaccinated at least twice and thus have basic immunity, reported RKI. 

Since Monday, doctors’ offices have been vaccinating with the adapted vaccine from Biontech/Pfizer, available to anyone over 12 years old, with a vaccine for small children set to be released the following week and one for those between 5 and 11 to come out October 2nd.

But Health Minister Karl Lauterbach has so far only recommended that people over 60 and those with pre-existing conditions get vaccinated.

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: Who should get a Covid jab this autumn in Germany?

“The pandemic is over, the virus remains,” he said. “We cannot predict the course of coming waves of corona, but it is clear that older people and people with pre-existing conditions remain at higher risk of becoming severely ill from Covid-19”

The RKI also recommended that people with a cold voluntarily wear a mask. Anyone exhibiting cough, cold, sore throat or other symptoms of a respiratory illness should voluntarily stay at home for three to five days and take regular corona self-tests. 

However, further measures such as contact restrictions are not necessary, he said.

One of many diseases

As of this autumn, Covid-19 could be one of many respiratory diseases. As with influenza, there are no longer absolute infection figures for coronavirus.

Saarbrücken pharmacist Thorsten Lehr told German broadcaster ZDF that self-protection through vaccinations, wearing a mask and getting tested when symptoms appear are prerequisites for surviving the Covid autumn well. 

Only a new, more aggressive mutation could completely turn the game around, he added.

On April 7th of this year, Germany removed the last of its over two-year long coronavirus restrictions, including mask-wearing in some public places.

READ ALSO: German doctors recommend Covid-19 self-tests amid new variant

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