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BREXIT

No-deal or no impact: What do the French think of Brexit?

It's the question from friends and relatives that many Brits in France find themselves trying to answer - what do the French think of Brexit?

No-deal or no impact: What do the French think of Brexit?
France has spent €40 million on its own no-deal Brexit preparations. Photo: AFP

And, of course, the answer is – not much. While Brexit has dominated the British press for three long, weary and mostly screamingly tedious years, most lucky French people barely give it a thought from one season to the next.

When the subject is raised in bars, coffee shops and offices, we find that the general attitude is one of pity, incomprehension and mild mockery.

Fortunately, some proper scientists have now come along to conduct an in-depth opinion poll on French people's views on Brexit.

The Kantar Centre on the Future of Europe, which brings together a pan-European team of researchers with expertise in political and opinion polls, has conducted an online poll of 1,000 French adults to ask what they think of Brexit.

The results were then compared with similar polls in Germany, the Netherlands, Ireland, Spain and Poland, and produced some surprising variations between countries.

When asked to predict what will happen on October 31st (the current Brexit date), 29 percent of French people polled replied that the UK will not leave after all, 30 percent said Britain will leave with a deal, 16 percent said Britain leave without a deal and the remaining 25 percent said Je ne sais pas (presumably while shrugging in classic Gallic style).

READ ALSO LATEST: The ultimate no-deal Brexit checklist for Britons in France


Will the UK really go this time? The French are unsure. Photo: Kantar

Moving on to the question of whether or not Brexit is such a great idea, 40 percent of the French people surveyed said it was either a bad or very bad idea, 26 percent were undecided, while just 20 percent thought it was either a good or very good idea.

Asked about the impact of a no-deal Brexit on the UK, 59 percent of French people thought it would have an adverse impact on the country. And, on this topic, the French took the most optimistic view. In Germany, a full 82 percent of people thought that a no-deal Brexit would be bad for the UK, while in the Netherlands, Ireland and Spain, more than 70 percent of people thought it would have an unfavourable impact on the UK.

The French also took an optimistic view of the impact of a no-deal Brexit on the rest of the EU, with 35 percent saying they thought it would make no difference and 10 percent saying they think it will improve things for the rest of the bloc. France was again notably more optimistic on this matter than the other countries surveyed, with Germany and Spain leading the doom-mongers in saying that things would be worse for the EU in the case of a no-deal Brexit.

The survey also asked French people whether they would like a referendum on the subject of membership of the EU. The idea of leaving the EU had at one point gained some political currency in France, with the far right Rassemblement National advocating it for several years. However, after losing heavily in the 2017 election – and seeing the chaos across the Channel – it now seems to have been quietly dropped from Marine Le Pen's party manifesto, with the RN favouring reforming the institution from within instead.

But, when asked “Would you be in favour of France holding a referendum on its membership of the EU?”, 37 percent of people said they would be totally or partially in favour. A total of 30 percent were strongly or partly against, while 23 percent were neither for nor against and 10 percent of people didn't know.


An EU referendum in France looks like it would be a more decisive affair than the 48:52 nightmare that has plagued Britain

While opinion seemed a little vague on whether they want a referendum or not, there was at least one decisive vote – just 24 percent of people said they would vote to leave while 54 percent wanted to remain. Of the others, six percent wouldn't vote while the remaining 18 percent didn't know.

And France was the most Eurosceptic of the countries polled. Germany, the Netherlands, Ireland, Spain and Poland polled leave votes of respectively 17, 19, 12, 13 and 13 percent.

Boris Johnson, not a hugely popular figure in France anyway due to his long history of 'French bashing' did not come out well of the poll, with 42 percent of French people saying that they believed he played a negative role in the ongoing negotiations between the UK and the EU, compared to just 24 percent who believed that about his predecessor Theresa May.


Boris Johnson is not seen as playing a positive role by the French

If you live in France, or just spend time here, and are unsure what Brexit means for you, head to our Preparing for Brexit section for all the latest practical information.

 

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EES PASSPORT CHECKS

How will the new app for Europe’s EES border system work?

With Europe set to introduce its new Entry/Exit biometric border system (EES) in the autumn there has been much talk about the importance of a new app designed to help avoid delays. But how will it work and when will it be ready?

How will the new app for Europe's EES border system work?

When it comes into force the EU’s new digital border system known as EES will register the millions of annual entries and exits of non-EU citizens travelling to the EU/Schengen area, which will cover 29 European countries.

Under the EU Entry/Exit System (EES), non-EU residents who do not require a visa will have to register their biometric data in a database that will also capture each time they cross an external Schengen border.

Passports will no longer be manually stamped, but will be scanned. However, biometric data such as fingerprints and facial images will have to be registered in front of a guard when the non-EU traveller first crosses in to the EU/Schengen area.

Naturally there are concerns the extra time needed for this initial registration will cause long queues and tailbacks at the border.

To help alleviate those likely queues and prevent the subsequent frustration felt by travellers the EU is developing a new smartphone app.

READ ALSO: What will the EES passport system mean for foreigners living in Europe?

The importance of having a working app was summed up by Uku Särekanno, Deputy Executive Director of the EU border agency Frontex in a recent interview.

“Initially, the challenge with the EES will come down to the fact that travellers arriving in Europe will have to have their biographic and biometric data registered in the system – border guards will have to register four of their fingerprints and their facial image. This process will take time, and every second really matters at border crossing points – nobody wants to be stuck in a lengthy queue after a long trip.”

But there is confusion around what the app will actually be able to do, if it will help avoid delays and importantly when will it be available?

So here’s what we know so far.

Who is developing the app?

The EU border agency Frontex is currently developing the app. More precisely, Frontex is developing the back-end part of the app, which will be made available to Schengen countries.

“Frontex is currently developing a prototype of an app that will help speed up this process and allow travellers to share some of the information in advance. This is something we are working on to support the member states, although there is no legal requirement for us to do so,” Uku Särekanno said in the interview.

Will the 29 EES countries be forced to use the app?

No, it is understood that Frontex will make the app available on a voluntary basis. Each government will then decide if, when and where to use it, and develop the front-end part based on its own needs.

This point emerged at a meeting of the House of Commons European scrutiny committee, which is carrying out an inquiry on how EES will impact the UK.

What data will be registered via the app?

The Local asked the European Commission about this. A spokesperson however, said the Commission was not “in a position to disclose further information at this stage” but that travellers’ personal data “will be processed in compliance with the high data security and data protection standards set by EU legislation.”

According to the blog by Matthias Monroy, editor of the German civil rights journal Bürgerrechte & Polizei/CILIP the Frontex app will collect passengers’ name, date of birth, passport number, planned destination and length of stay, reason for travelling, the amount of cash they carry, the availability of a credit card and of a travel health insurance. The app could also allow to take facial images. It will then generate a QR code that travellers can present at border control.

This, however, does not change the fact that fingerprints and facial images will have to be registered in front of a guard at the first crossing into the Schengen area.

So given the need to register finger prints and facial images with a border guard, the question is how and if the app will help avoid those border queues?

When is the app going to be available?

The answer to perhaps the most important question is still unclear.

The Commissions spokesperson told The Local that the app “will be made available for Schengen countries as from the Entry/Exit System start of operations.” The planned launch date is currently October 6th, but there have been several delays in the past and may be another one.

The UK parliamentary committee heard that the prototype of the app should have been ready for EU member states in spring. Guy Opperman, Under-Secretary of State at the UK Department for Transport, said the app will not be available for testing until August “at best” and that the app will not be ready in time for October. The committee previously stated that the app might even be delayed until summer 2025.

Frontex’s Särekanno said in his interview: “Our aim is to have it ready by the end of the summer, so it can then be gradually integrated into national systems starting from early autumn”.

READ ALSO: How do the EES passport checks affect the 90-day rule?

Can the system be launched if the app is not ready?

Yes. The European Commission told The Local that “the availability of the mobile application is not a condition for the Entry/Exit System entry into operation or functioning of the system. The app is only a tool for pre-registration of certain types of data and the system can operate without this pre-registration.”

In addition, “the integration of this app at national level is to be decided by each Schengen country on a voluntary basis – as there is no legal obligation to make use of the app.”

And the UK’s transport under secretary Guy Opperman sounded a note of caution saying the app “is not going to be a panacea to fix all problems”.

When the app will be in use, will it be mandatory for travellers?

There is no indication that the app will become mandatory for those non-EU travellers who need to register for EES. But there will probably be advantages in using it, such as getting access to faster lanes.

As a reminder, non-EU citizens who are resident in the EU are excluded from the EES, as are those with dual nationality for a country using EES. Irish nationals are also exempt even though Ireland will not be using EES because it is not in the Schengen area.

Has the app been tested anywhere yet?

Frontex says the prototype of the app will be tested at Stockholm’s Arlanda Airport, in Sweden. Matthias Monroy’s website said it was tested last year at Munich Airport in Germany, as well as in Bulgaria and Gibraltar.

According to the German Federal Police, the blog reports, passengers were satisfied and felt “prepared for border control”.

This article is published in cooperation with Europe Street News.

 
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