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Swedish optimism on economy grows

A research institute has revealed that while optimism among Swedes regarding the country's economy has increased, they are feeling less positive about their own household finances.

The National Institute of Economic Research’s (Konjunkturinstitutet, KI) Economic Tendency Survey, which reveals the mood of the country regarding the economy, rose nearly four points to 114.1 this month from 110.3 in October, on a par with the record highs recorded in the autumn of 2000 and spring of 2007.

All sectors of the economy contributed to the indicator’s lift. However, the outlook of households remained bleak about the future.

The increase in the measurement was primarily due to solid gains for the indicator in building and construction activity, as well as the private service sector.

“The confidence indicators for the construction industry and the private service sector in particular rose considerably, 10 and 15 points respectively,” Roger Knudsen, head of the Business Tendency Survey division at KI, said in a statement on Thursday.

He added that the indicators for the manufacturing industry and the retail trade rose more moderately at three and two points respectively during the period.

Separately, the Consumer Confidence Indicator fell further in November, but only by a fraction of a point, meaning the indicator remains considerably above the historic average. The measure dropped to 22.6 from 23.4, slightly larger than expected, according to a Reuters poll, following a sharp decline in October.

The perception of Swedish households in November of their own finances was slightly more positive than the previous month, but in terms of expectations for the next year, the outlook has deteriorated.

Consumer confidence in the Swedish economy has also worsened to a degree, a process that began in September. All the same, the attitude towards the Swedish economy is more positive than normal, according to KI.

At the same time, household inflation expectations rose compared with October by 0.7 percentage points to 3.2 percent over the next year. Wages are expected to increase by 2.9 percent over the next year.

Households estimated the variable mortgage rate estimated households would be 3.5 percent over the next year, compared with 3.4 percent in October.

As a result of several positive indicators in the Swedish economy, several economic observers are anticipating even higher GDP growth than earlier predictions.

Swedbank wrote in a monthly briefing that it has increased its latest forecast from the autumn. On Wednesday, SEB also increased its growth forecast to 5 percent this year.

According to Reuters on Thursday, KI director Mats Dillén said that growth this year is expected to reach closer to 5 percent. In its September forecast, KI predicted growth of 4.3 percent in 2010.

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Greece scares consumers off spending

Consumer confidence in Germany is beginning to be dampened slightly by the uncertainty surrounding Greece, a poll found on Thursday.

Greece scares consumers off spending

“The so far unsuccessful efforts to find a solution to the debt crisis in Greece and ward off the country's imminent bankruptcy appear to be dampening the economic outlook for consumers,” market research company GfK said in a statement.

That was, in turn, weighing on consumers' willingness to open their purses and spend money. At the same time, households' income expectations rose to their highest levels since unification, the statement said.

News of the subdued mood among consumers came just a day after a sharp dip in the widely-watched Ifo business confidence index.

Looking ahead to next month, GfK's headline household confidence index was forecast to slip fractionally to 10.1 points in July from a rise of 10.2 points in June.

“Despite the slight drop, private consumption in Germany remains the main pillar supporting the economy. But the latest development shows that the consumer climate is also vulnerable to international risks,” GfK said.

“The battle to resolve the Greek debt crisis is escalating and it is looking ever more likely that the country will default. And that could cause the economic motor to start stuttering,” it warned.

The outlook for Europe's top economy is beginning to cloud over, according to other leading sentiment indicators, but analysts insist recovery is not yet jeopardised, as a weaker euro and falling oil prices provide a boost to the country's exporters and a robust labour market and rising wages fuel domestic demand.

SEE ALSO: Merkel greets 'progress' in Greece talks

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