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ECONOMY

German unemployment declines amid virus uncertainty

Germany's joblessness rate fell slightly in December despite the return of health restrictions to tackle a new wave of coronavirus cases, official figures published Tuesday showed.

Federal Employment Agency Hannover
A sign stands outside the offices of the Federal Employment Agency in Hannover. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Julian Stratenschulte

The seasonally adjusted rate dropped to 5.2 percent from 5.3 percent the previous month, the BA federal labour agency said, the equivalent of 23,000 fewer unemployed people.

“The recovery seen in recent months continued in December,” agency head Detlef Scheele said in a statement.

In raw figures, the number of unemployed sat just under 2,330,000, down around 378,000 since December 2020.

Unemployment in Europe’s top economy climbed as high as six percent in the months following the rapid spread of the coronavirus through Europe in the first half of 2020.

READ ALSO: Covid and supply chain woes to dampen economic growth in Germany

Germany has relied heavily on subsidised short-term work schemes to help businesses and workers whether the pandemic storm, with nearly six million Germans placed on reduced hours at the peak of the crisis in April 2020.

The scheme was still supporting some 710,000 people according to the latest available figures from October, the BA said.

An uptick in applications made for the short-term work scheme at the end of the year showed the “uncertainty” caused by rising numbers of coronavirus cases and the emergence of the highly transmissible Omicron variant, the BA said.

Around 286,000 people were signed up to the programme in December, up from 104,000 the month before.

The overall improvement in the job market over 12 months was “encouraging” but “the new virus variant will be a difficult test for the German economy,” said Fritzi Koehler-Geib, chief economist at public lender KfW.

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ECONOMY

German economy rebounds from recession, but growth stays weak

The German economy grew only very slightly between January and March, official figures published Tuesday showed, dodging a recession after a weak end to 2023.

German economy rebounds from recession, but growth stays weak

Output rose by 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2024 in comparison with the previous three months, federal statistics agency Destatis said in preliminary figures.

By contrast, Europe’s largest economy shrank 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to a revised figure out from Destatis. That revised figure was worse than its previous estimate that GDP fell by 0.3 percent in the quarter.

The statistics agency however upgraded its estimate for the whole of 2023, suggesting the German economy contracted only 0.2 percent over the year instead of 0.3 percent.

The increase in the first quarter of 2024 reflected an improvement in the construction industry and in exports, Destatis said. Household consumption however fell in the quarter, according to the agency.

The economic mood in Germany has been pessimistic in recent months, as businesses have had to manage increased energy costs, high inflation and rising interest rates. But with the costs for energy coming down and inflation easing, the outlook has improved. The government last week adjusted up its forecasts for 2024, predicting growth of 0.3 percent instead of 0.2 percent.

The first quarter improvement showed “the German economy can still grow after all”, ING bank analyst Carsten Brzeski said. “Optimism has returned to the German economy.” 

The rebound would however be limited by “structural weaknesses”, Brzeski said.

“Higher oil prices as a result of the military conflict between Iran and Israel, as well as the ongoing tensions in the Red Sea, are likely to weigh on industry and exports once again,” he said.

An increasing number of insolvencies could also weaken the labour market, Brzeski warned.

Unemployment in Germany however remained stable, according to figures published by the federal employment agency on Tuesday. The joblessness rate stood at 5.9 percent in April, the BA federal labour agency said.

READ ALSO: Can Germany revive its struggling economy?

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