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Polling: Covid-19 law looks set to win approval of Swiss voters

The most recent polling figures indicate that Switzerland’s contentious coronavirus legislation will be accepted in a referendum on November 28th.

Switzerland’s Covid-19 law is at stake in the November 28 referendum.
A woman in the French-speaking part of Switzerland is casting her ballot by mail. Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP

The issue of government’s role in managing the pandemic has been stirring much controversy in Switzerland, leading to a second referendum on this issue in the span of four months.

The Covid Act, which grants the federal government broad powers to manage the pandemic, was already passed by a previous referendum on June 13th.

On Sunday, the voters are called to weigh in on the version of the law revised by parliament on March 19th relating to the Covid certificate, which Switzerland started to issue on June 7th to people who have been fully vaccinated, recovered from coronavirus, or tested negative for the disease.

READ MORE: What’s at stake in Switzerland’s Covid referendum on November 28th?

Supporters of the law, including most political parties as well as the Federal Council, say the certificate requirement makes it possible to avoid closures and bans in the event of a new outbreak of the pandemic,  and lessens the pressure on the health care system.

In addition, the certificate is essential for travel abroad.

Opponents, on the other hand, claim the certificate requirement that is currently in place until at least January 24th, 2022, creates discrimination and division within society, implicitly forcing vaccination and  “state access to our body”.

Even though the opponents have stepped up their campaign in recent weeks by demonstrating in the streets in cities across Switzerland, it appears that their cause will not win the majority of votes at the ballot box.

 An unauthorised protest against coronavirus measures in Bern. Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP

This is what the latest polls show

Supporters of the Covid law are maintaining a stable and comfortable lead, with more than 60 percent of voters in favour of the legislation, according to a survey published by Swiss Broadcasting Corporation last week.

A similar result comes out of a poll released by Tamedia media group in mid-November: 68 percent of respondents said they are in favour of the law, while 31 percent are against.

“If you break it down by various parties, you get a very clear picture”, Tamedia said, pointing out that the smallest proportion of supporters, 36 percent, are in the right-wing Swiss People’s Party (SVP) .

All the other parties are clearly in favour of the law: 74 percent of The Liberals (PLR), 76 percent of Greens, 81 percent of Center, 85 percent of Social Democrats, and 88 percent of Green Liberals.

Both polls also indicate support for another issue voted on in the Sunday referendum — a proposal to improve working conditions for nurses.

This initiative is predicted to be accepted by 67 percent of voters in the SSR poll, and 72 percent according to Tamedia’s.

READ MORE: Referendum: Why are the Swiss voting on nursing conditions?

The Sunday referendum could reach one of the highest turnouts in Swiss history, with members of both the ‘yes’ and ‘no’ camps expected to vote in record numbers.

Based on early voting by mail, a 75-percent turnout rate  is expected, which would be just a few percentage points lower than the highest mark ever for a referendum in Swiss history:  78.7 percent for the referendum on European Economic Area membership in 1992. 

READ MORE: Switzerland braces for ‘highest ever’ turnout ahead of Covid referendum

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Could Geneva be first Swiss canton to grant foreign residents more voting rights?

Voters in the country’s most "international" canton Geneva will soon have their say on whether non-Swiss citizens living in their midst should have more political rights.

Could Geneva be first Swiss canton to grant foreign residents more voting rights?

Foreigners are not allowed to vote on national level anywhere in Switzerland.

Though there had been attempts in the past to change this rule, the latest such move was turned down by legislators in 2022.

However, five cantons are permitting foreign residents to cast their votes in local referendums and elections: Geneva, Vaud, Fribourg, Neuchâtel, and Jura. Conditions vary from one canton to another, but in all cases a certain length of stay and a residence permit are required.

(In Zurich, a similar move was rejected in 2023).

Of the five cantons, only Neuchâtel and Jura authorise foreign residents to vote on cantonal level in addition to communal one; in the others, they can cast municipal ballots only. 

Additionally, three other cantons have similar laws on their books, but they this legislation remains mostly inactive.

Basel-City, Graubünden, and Appenzell-Ausserrhoden have authorised their communes to introduce the right to vote, the right to elect, and the right to be elected for their non-Swiss residents. 

However, only few of the communes in these cantons have actually introduced these measures.

Wait…Geneva’s foreigners already have the right to vote?

Yes, they have had this right since 2005, but only on municipal level.

However, this could change on June 9th, when Geneva residents will go to the polls to weigh in on an initiative launched by the trade unions and political left, calling for foreigners who have lived in the canton for at least eight years, to be able to vote and stand as candidates for political offices at the cantonal level.

This ‘upgrade’ to the cantonal voting rights is important, supporters argue, because it would enable foreigners to have more political impact.

“Municipal votes are quite rare, and the issues at stake are relatively limited,” the initiative committee said.

Therefore, “access to the cantonal vote will allow these same people to express their views on wider subjects that affect them on a daily basis.”

Is this  measure likely to be accepted?

No reliable forecasts exist at this point.

And while foreigners constitute nearly 40 percent of Geneva’s population — the highest proportion in Switzerland —  it will be up to Swiss citizens to decide on the outcome.

However, some members of the Geneva parliament are urging the ‘no’ vote on June 9th.

“No canton, no country, provides such generous rights to their foreigners,” the MPs from the centre parties pointed out in an interview with Tribune de Genève over the weekend.

(Neuchâtel and Jura allow voting, but not standing for election, at cantonal level).

“The only path for foreigners to obtain full political rights is through naturalisation,” the MPs added.

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