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POLITICS

Why Germany could be on the brink of legalising cannabis

All three parties engaged in coalition talks in Germany plan to loosen the ban on cannabis possession. What exactly do they want and what do medical and legal experts think of the proposals?

Women smoke joints at a pro-cannabis demonstration in Berlin in 2019
A pro-cannabis demonstration in Berlin in 2019. Photo: dpa | Paul Zinken

While much of the discussion over the next government’s agenda has focused on climate change and state finances, one important change that could come into force in the next four years is a decriminalisation of cannabis.

All three of the parties currently engaged in coalition talks – the Greens, the Free Democrats (FDP) and the Social Democrats (SPD) – pledged in their election manifestos to reform the laws around cannabis use.

What exactly do the parties want?

The Green party make clear in their manifesto that they want a whole new approach to drug control starting with the controlled legalisation of marijuana.

Under their plans, licensed shops would be allowed to sell the psychoactive substance. The Greens state that “strict youth and user protection” would be the centre point of their legislation and hope to “pull the rug from under the black market”.

The FDP also favour the creation of licenced shops. Their manifesto highlights the health benefits, tax windfalls and reallocation of police resources that legalisation would create.

“Only the sale of cannabis in licensed stores ensures quality control and stops contaminated substances from being sold,” the liberal party believe. Up to €1 billion in new tax revenues would be invested in addiction and prevention programmes, they say.

The centre-left Social Democrats also think that a reform of Germany’s prohibition stance is long overdue.

“Prohibition and criminalisation have not reduced consumption, they prevent effective addiction prevention and tie up enormous resources in the judiciary and police,” the party manifesto states.

The SPD are nonetheless more cautious than the smaller parties in their legalisation plans. They would like to initially set up pilot projects that are accompanied by counselling for young people.

What is the current state of the law?

Possession of cannabis is currently illegal across the entire country. Those caught in carrying the substance can face anything from a fine to five years in jail.

However, the justice system generally looks away if you are caught carry small quantities for personal use. This won’t apply though if you have a previous conviction.

The definition of personal use differs from state to state, with Berlin having the most liberal rules and Bavaria the tightest.

People caught in possession of cannabis risk no longer being able to apply for a driving licence or having their driving licence taken away until they attend a psychological assessment.

Medical marijuana has been available on prescription since 2017 although many doctors are reportedly reluctant to prescribe it due to the hurdles involved in having the costs compensated by health insurers.

READ MORE: Patients in Germany still face hurdles accessing medical marijuana

What’s the reaction so far?

Police unions reacted with concern this week to speculation that the parties were hashing out a plan to legalise the drug.

Oliver Malchow, from the GdP police union, said that “it doesn’t make any sense to legalise another dangerous drug on top of alcohol”.

“We need to finally stop making light of the dangers of joints,” Malchow told the Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung, explaining that cannabis leads to social conflict between teenagers and youths.

Rainer Wendt from the German Police Union said that “if stoned people start getting into cars and driving anytime soon, we’re going to have a problem”.

Concerns about the negative consequences for teenagers are also shared by medical experts.

Meanwhile, Rainer Thomasius, a child psychiatrist from Hamburg who has conducted research into the effects of cannabis on teenage cognitive development, told broadcaster WDR that legalisation would be harmful.

“We have a whole set of scientific findings that show that cannabis consumption among teenagers is anything other than child’s play,” he said.

He warned that teenagers quickly become dependent on the drug and often cannot keep up in school as a result.

Doctors in regions of the US where cannabis has been legalised have reported an increase in cases of serious side effects among the young, claims Thomasius, who also warns that legalisation is being pushed by a cannabis lobby hoping to make billions of euros in profits.

‘Prohibition of cannabis is unconstitutional’

The issues of whether legalisation has been a blessing or a curse in the US, where cannabis is now legal for recreational use in over a dozen states, cause particular disagreement among German experts.

“Studies from abroad show that consumption among young people does not increase significantly after decriminalisation and strict regulation,” Lorenz Böllinger, a professor of criminology at Bremen University, told the Local. He points out that “cannabis has been easily available on the black market for a long time”.

Böllinger, who has long campaigned for legalisation, makes an even more fundamental point: he argues that prohibition is actually unconstitutional.

“In criminal law, the state is only allowed to forbid things which impair and damage the fundamental rights of other people! Harming oneself is not a punishable offense,” he says. 

“The legal justification [for cannabis prohibition] is ‘damage to public health’. But this justification contradicts the German constitution. By that measure, consuming alcohol, tobacco or chocolate would have to be declared an offense.”

SEE ALSO: Seven things to know about weed in Germany

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ECONOMY

‘Turning point’: Is Germany’s ailing economy on the road to recovery?

The German government slightly increased its 2024 growth forecast Wednesday, saying there were signs Europe's beleaguered top economy was at a "turning point" after battling through a period of weakness.

'Turning point': Is Germany's ailing economy on the road to recovery?

Output is expected to expand 0.3 percent this year, the economy ministry said, up from a prediction of 0.2 percent in February.

The slightly rosier picture comes after improvements in key indicators — from factory output to business activity — boosted hopes a recovery may be getting under way.

The German economy shrank slightly last year, hit by soaring inflation, a manufacturing slowdown and weakness in trading partners, and has acted as a major drag on the 20-nation eurozone.

But releasing its latest projections, the economy ministry said in a statement there were growing indications of a “turning point”.

“Signs of an economic upturn have increased significantly, especially in recent weeks,” Economy Minister Robert Habeck said at a press conference.

The ministry also cut its forecast for inflation this year to 2.4 percent, from a previous prediction of 2.8 percent, and sees the figure falling below two percent next year.

READ ALSO: Can Germany revive its struggling economy?

“The fall in inflation will lead to consumer demand — people have more money in their wallets again, and will spend this money,” said Habeck.

“So purchasing power is increasing, real wages are rising and this will contribute to a domestic economic recovery.”

Energy prices — which surged after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine — had also fallen and supply chain woes had eased, he added.

Several months ago there had been expectations of a strong rebound in 2024, with forecasts of growth above one percent, but these were dialled back at the start of the year as the economy continued to languish.

‘Germany has fallen behind’

But improving signs have fuelled hopes the lumbering economy — while not about to break into a sprint — may at least be getting back on its feet.

On Wednesday a closely-watched survey from the Ifo institute showed business sentiment rising for a third consecutive month in April, and more strongly than expected.

A key purchasing managers’ index survey this week showed that business activity in Germany had picked up.

And last week the central bank, the Bundesbank, forecast the economy would expand slightly in the first quarter, dodging a recession, after earlier predicting a contraction.

German Economics Minister Robert Habeck

Economics Minister Robert Habeck (Greens) presents the latest economic forecasts at a press conference in Berlin on Wednesday, April 24th. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Michael Kappeler

Despite the economy’s improving prospects, growth of 0.3 percent is still slower than other developed economies and below past rates, and officials fret it is unlikely to pick up fast in the years ahead.

Habeck has repeatedly stressed solutions are needed for deep-rooted problems facing Germany, from an ageing population to labour shortages and a transition towards greener industries that is moving too slowly.

“Germany has fallen behind other countries in terms of competitiveness,” he said. “We still have a lot to do — we have to roll up our sleeves.”

READ ALSO: Which German companies are planning to cut jobs?

Already facing turbulence from pandemic-related supply chain woes, the German economy’s problems deepened dramatically when Russia invaded Ukraine and slashed supplies of gas, hitting the country’s crucial manufacturers hard.

While the energy shock has faded, continued weakness in trading partners such as China, widespread strikes in recent months and higher eurozone interest rates have all prolonged the pain.

The European Central Bank has signalled it could start cutting borrowing costs in June, which would boost the eurozone.

But Habeck stressed that care was still needed as, despite the expectations of imminent easing, “tight monetary policy has not yet been lifted.”

In addition, disagreements in Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s three-party ruling coalition are hindering efforts to reignite growth, critics say.

This week the pro-business FDP party, a coalition partner, faced an angry backlash from Scholz’s SPD when it presented a 12-point plan for an “economic turnaround”, including deep cuts to state benefits.

Christian Lindner, the fiscally hawkish FDP finance minister, welcomed signs of “stabilisation” in the economic forecasts but stressed that projected medium-term growth was “too low to sustainably finance our state”.

“There are no arguments for postponing the economic turnaround,” he added.

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