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ANALYSIS: Why Italy’s Democratic Party is betting its future on an unlikely coalition

Italy's staunchly pro-European, centre-left Democratic Party -- riven by internal divisions and lagging in the polls -- is now betting its future on an audacious tie-up with the country's anti-establishment movement.

ANALYSIS: Why Italy's Democratic Party is betting its future on an unlikely coalition
Leader of the Democratic Party, Nicola Zingaretti (C). Photo: Filippo Monteforte/AFP

Founded in 2007, it currently effectively has two leaders: soft-spoken and measured chief Nicola Zingaretti, 53, and former prime minister Matteo Renzi, 44, who has seized on Italy's political crisis to flex his considerable party powers.

It was Renzi who touted uniting with a previously loathed group he once scoffed at for “calling into question the Moon landing”.

TIMELINE: 15 months of drama in Italian politics

The Democratic Party (PD) was left reeling after the anti-establishment Five Star Movement (M5S) triumphed at the general election last year, going on to form a coalition with the far-right, anti-immigrant League. After coming second in the vote, the PD proceeded to drop into third place in voter intentions as the League under strongman Matteo Salvini skyrocketed in popularity while painting the centre-left as a discredited political elite.

The social democrats had consistently ruled out an alliance with the M5S — until Salvini pulled the rug on the coalition last month and Renzi stepped back into the limelight to suggest a M5S-PD deal to save the country from fresh elections. Zingaretti, who was elected the party's leader in March and had been insisting such a deal would only favour Salvini, was forced to relent — on the condition that the coalition would last until the end of the legislature in 2023.

“The poor chap had no choice, because the PD has a leader, but its leader does not have [command of] the PD,” summed up political philosopher Massimo Cacciari in La Stampa.

READ ALSO: Understanding Italy's Democratic Party


The PD's former leader, Matteo Renzi. Photo: Andreas Solaro/AFP

Machiavellian manoeuvrings

The party hopes the accord will not only keep Salvini from power, but give it time to improve its standing for the next election. The PD will first face critical regional elections in the historical socialist strongholds of Emilia-Romagna and Umbria in November — areas where Salvini's League has been successfully drumming up support.

“If Salvini wins in Emilia-Romagna, the PD will melt like a snowflake the very next day,” Cacciari said.

The PD has been struggling to provide a convincing answer to Italy's migrant question, leaving the door open to a strident Salvini, who has wooed voters by closing the ports to charity ships rescuing people from the Mediterranean.

READ ALSO:

The tie-up with the M5S also risks alienating those of its members disgusted by the Movement's kowtowing to the hard right.

“A combination of weakness within the PD and the profound differences with 5-Star will not bring anything good to Italy or the party,” former industry minister Carlo Calenda said on Wednesday as he quit the PD in disgust.

Some fear that Renzi — who has ruled out a role in the new government — is preparing to betray the PD by splitting the party in the coming months in a power grab. The former boy scout leader has form in Machiavellian manoeuverings: after taking over the PD in 2013 he pushed out its number two Enrico Letta, who was prime minister at the time. The now notorious tweet he sent before the coup, reassuring Letta with the hashtag “#Enricostaisereno” ('don't worry Enrico'), became synonymous in Italy with back-stabbing.

'Not in good health'

The party initially blossomed under the boyish former mayor of Florence, winning 40 percent of votes at the 2014 EU elections and inspiring the entire European left.

But Renzi was soon accused of being an arrogant and authoritarian leader who favoured and trusted only a chosen few. In 2016 Italians rejected his ambitious reform plans and he resigned, first as prime minister then as party leader.

He may now be a simple senator, but he still has 3.4 million Twitter followers, compared with Zingaretti's 453,000.


Nicola Zingaretti. Photo: Vincenzo Pinto/AFP

Zingaretti, well known in Italy as the brother of the actor who plays famed television detective Inspector Montalbano, has posited himself as the man to bring unity to the fractured party. His biggest challenge, however, may lie not with party politics but with ordinary Italians.

“The problem is that Italians continue to believe in right-wing ideas,” political science professor Lorenzo Castellani from Rome's Luiss university told AFP, adding that the left was “not in good health”. The PD-M5S tie-up risks creating a dangerous division between ordinary Italians and the country's institutions, he said. 

By AFP's Ella Ide

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POLITICS

‘Worrying developments’: NGOs warn of growing pressure on Italian media freedom

Media freedom in Italy has come increasingly under pressure since Giorgia Meloni's hard-right government took office, a group of European NGOs warned on Friday following an urgent fact-finding summit.

‘Worrying developments’: NGOs warn of growing pressure on Italian media freedom

They highlighted among their concerns the continued criminalisation of defamation – a law Meloni herself has used against a high-profile journalist – and the proposed takeover of a major news agency by a right-wing MP.

The two-day mission, led by the European Federation of Journalists (EFJ), was planned for the autumn but brought forward due to “worrying developments”, Andreas Lamm of the European Centre for Press and Media Freedom (ECPMF) told a press conference.

The ECPMF’s monitoring project, which records incidents affecting media freedom such as legal action, editorial interference and physical attacks, recorded a spike in Italy’s numbers from 46 in 2022 to 80 in 2023.

There have been 49 so far this year.

Meloni, the leader of the far-right Brothers of Italy party, took office as head of a hard-right coalition government in October 2022.

A key concern of the NGOs is the increased political influence over the RAI public broadcaster, which triggered a strike by its journalists this month.

READ ALSO: Italy’s press freedom ranking drops amid fears of government ‘censorship’

“We know RAI was always politicised…but now we are at another level,” said Renate Schroeder, director of the Brussels-based EFJ.

The NGO representatives – who will write up a formal report in the coming weeks – recommended the appointment of fully independent directors to RAI, among other measures.

They also raised concerns about the failure of repeated Italian governments to decriminalise defamation, despite calls for reform by the country’s Constitutional Court.

Meloni herself successfully sued journalist Roberto Saviano last year for criticising her attitude to migrants.

“In a European democracy a prime minister does not respond to criticism by legally intimidating writers like Saviano,” said David Diaz-Jogeix of London-based Article 19.

He said that a proposed reform being debated in parliament, which would replace imprisonment with fines of up to 50,000 euros, “does not meet the bare minimum of international and European standards of freedom of expression”.

The experts also warned about the mooted takeover of the AGI news agency by a group owned by a member of parliament with Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini’s far-right League party – a proposal that also triggered journalist strikes.

READ ALSO: How much control does Giorgia Meloni’s government have over Italian media?

Beatrice Chioccioli of the International Press Institute said it posed a “significant risk for the editorial independence” of the agency.

The so-called Media Freedom Rapid Response (MFRR) consortium expressed disappointment that no member of Meloni’s coalition responded to requests to meet with them.

They said that, as things stand, Italy is likely to be in breach of a new EU media freedom law, introduced partly because of fears of deteriorating standards in countries such as Hungary and Poland.

Schroeder said next month’s European Parliament elections could be a “turning point”, warning that an increase in power of the far-right across the bloc “will have an influence also on media freedom”.

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