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Italy defiant after IMF slashes growth forecasts

The Italian government was defiant after IMF revised down GDP growth forecasts yesterday, saying Italy is a not a risk factor for the global economy - but the IMF's own policies are.

Italy defiant after IMF slashes growth forecasts
IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde gives a press conference ahead of the World Economic Forum yesterday in Davos, Switzerland. Photo: Fabrice COFFRINI/AFP

The International Monetary Fund said it had revised down its 2019 GDP growth forecast for Italy 0.6 percent, down from the one percent it predicted in October

The prediction is in line with a similar reduction in forecast by the Bank of Italy last week.

“We have revised downwards our forecasts for advanced economies slightly, mainly due to downward revisions for the euro area,” the IMF said.

The IMF said Italy's financial situation was one of the biggest risk factors for the global economy.

“In Europe the Brexit cliffhanger continues, and the costly spillovers between sovereign and financial risk in Italy remain a threat,” the IMF said in an update of its World Economic Outlook.

READ ALSO: Italy must 'play by the rules' on budget: IMF chief

But the Italian government ministers hit back at the IMF's statement.

Italy is a not a risk factor for the global economy but the IMF's own policies are, Italy’s Finance Minister Giovanni Tria reportedly said.

Photo: AFP

His words were echoed by Italian Deputy Prime Minister and Interior Minister Matteo Salvini.

“Is Italy a threat and a risk for the global economy? On the contrary, the IMF is a threat to the worldwide economy, with its recent history of economic recipes featuring mistaken forecasts, few successes and many disasters,” Salvini told reporters in Rome.

Co- Deputy Prime Minister Luigi Di Maio said the International Monetary Fund's listing Italy and Brexit as global growth threats “does not discourage us” and there is “no turning back” on economic policy.

“The European Commission president has already replied to the IMF saying they were wrong to trust the IMF on Greece with austerity,” he said.

He said “there's no turning back” after the approval of the country’s new anti-austerity budget last week, which includes a revised welfare and pension system.

“We are creating a new welfare state: we're aren't turning back, vis-a-vis people who actually define Italy as one of the causes of the economic recession. We can't accept it…If they think they can discourage us with some figures they're wrong.”

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POLITICS

Italian minister indicted for Covid-era fraud

Prosecutors on Friday charged Italy's tourism minister with fraud relating to government redundancy funds claimed by her publishing companies during the coronavirus pandemic.

Italian minister indicted for Covid-era fraud

Opposition lawmakers immediately requested the resignation of Daniela Santanche, a leading member of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s far-right Brothers of Italy party.

Santanche, 63, has strongly rejected the allegations, including in a defiant appearance in parliament last year.

“The Milan prosecutor’s office today requested the indictment of the Minister Santanche and other persons as well as the companies Visibilia Editore and Visibilia Concessionaria,” the office said in a brief statement.

They were indicted “for alleged fraud of the INPS (National Institute for Social Security) in relation to alleged irregularities in the use of the Covid 19 redundancy fund, for a total of 13 employees”.

According to media reports, Visibilia is accused of obtaining state funds intended to help companies struggling with the pandemic to temporarily lay off staff — when in fact the 13 employees continued to work.

Santanche sold her stake in Visibilia when she joined the government of Meloni, who took office in October 2022.

The investigation has been going on for months, but with the decision by prosecutors to indict, opposition parties said Santanche should resign.

“We expect the prime minister to have a minimum of respect for the institutions and ask for Daniela Santanche’s resignation,” said Elly Schlein, leader of the centre-left Democratic Party.

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