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How did Stefan Löfven secure a second term as PM against all odds?

Swedish Prime Minister Stefan Löfven has managed to hold on to power for a second term, after months of political wrangling.

How did Stefan Löfven secure a second term as PM against all odds?
Stefan Löfven with his wife Ulla outside parliament. Photo: Jessica Gow/TT

Keeping one of Europe's last centre-left governments in power is seen as a major victory for the 61-year-old Löfven, a former welder and union leader.

And the feat is even more exceptional given Sweden's splintered political landscape after the September 9th legislative elections, when the left wing scored just one more seat in parliament than the right and the anti-immigration far-right came in third, looking set to be kingmakers.

Going into the election, Löfven appeared more isolated than ever, roasted on the right for leaving the country's door open to asylum seekers and lambasted by the left for later slamming it shut.

But the rightwing opposition failed in repeated efforts to form a government that didn't rely on the support of the far-right nationalist Sweden Democrats.

Löfven, with a reputation as a talented tactician and negotiator, emerged the winner after he cemented a deal with two centre-right parties, the Centre and the Liberals, to support his minority coalition government comprising of the Social Democrats and the Greens in parliament.

READ ALSO: Stefan Löfven voted back in as prime minister


Stefan Löfven was head of the IF Metall trade union before he became a politician. Photo: Jonas Ekströmer/TT

The Centre and the Liberals had until now been part of the four-party, centre-right Alliance that challenged Löfven in the election.

“Löfven has reached his strategic goals: to remain in power and to split up the non-socialist Alliance opposition,” political scientist Olof Petersson told AFP.

Liberal reforms

But that victory may come at a price, namely, the risk of a backlash in the next election in 2022, analysts said.

To secure his collaboration with the centre-right, Löfven signed a 16-page policy document that reflects large parts of the rightwing's election platform – and which will undoubtedly alienate part of his party base.

“In exchange for the position of prime minister, the Social Democrats are paying the price with liberal reforms,” Sweden's paper of reference, the liberal Dagens Nyheter, wrote.

FOR MEMBERS: What does Sweden's government deal mean for internationals?


Stefan Löfven after being reelected as Swedish prime minister on January 18th. Photo: Jessica Gow/TT

Sometimes called a “rightwing socialist”, Löfven will now have a hard time improving his image among his old socialist friends.

Löfven has already lost points in his own camp by shutting Sweden's borders to immigrants at the end of 2015, after welcoming more than 240,000 asylum seekers since 2014.

On November 24th, 2015, he announced Sweden was aligning its asylum policy with the European Union's minimal levels and cracking down on family reunifications.

“It pains me to say that Sweden can no longer take in asylum-seekers at the same high level… Sweden needs some breathing room,” Löfven told a news conference, his Green Party deputy prime minister Åsa Romson at his side, with tears in her eyes.

Just two months earlier he had said: “My Europe doesn't build walls, my Europe takes in refugees.”

TIMELINE: Everything that's happened in Swedish politics since the election

“Even Angela Merkel in Germany had to do a U-turn on immigration. But no leader in Europe did as brutal an about-face as Stefan Löfven,” wrote Dagens Nyheter in May.

Löfven's detractors had said his stance on immigration and integration was “naive” and “irresponsible”.

To counter that image, he took a hard line during the election campaign last autumn, repeatedly stressing that new arrivals in Sweden have both “rights and responsibilities”.

'Genuine'

Born in Stockholm in 1957, poverty forced his mother to give him up when he was ten months old to a foster family in Sollefteå, 500 kilometres north of the capital, where his foster father was a factory worker.

He became a welder and spent 15 years working in a defence factory, joining the union in the early 1980s and ending up as head of the metal workers' union IF Metall from 2006 to 2012.

IN PICTURES: 15 times Stefan Löfven looked incredibly Swedish


Stefan Löfven is seen by many Swedes as down to earth. Photo: Susanne Lindholm/TT

Seen by some as a poor orator who lacks charisma, he is nevertheless popular with many Swedes who see him as genuine.

A Skop poll last year showed a majority of Swedes would rather break bread with him than with the leader of the opposition, conservative Moderate Party leader Ulf Kristersson.

After governing Sweden through a long period of growth and favourable economic conditions from 2014 to 2018, Löfven is now likely to have to contend with a downturn in the domestic and international economy, as forecast by experts.

Article by AFP's Gaël Branchereau, edited by The Local

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INSIDE SWEDEN

Inside Sweden: Why troll factory won’t spark a government crisis

The Local's editor Emma Löfgren rounds up the biggest stories of the week in our Inside Sweden newsletter.

Inside Sweden: Why troll factory won't spark a government crisis

Hej,

News that the Sweden Democrats are operating a far-right troll factory – which among other things the party uses to smear political opponents as well as its supposed allies – has caused probably the biggest rift yet between them and the three other parties that make up Sweden’s ruling coalition.

The leaders of the Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals all strongly criticised the Sweden Democrats’ blatant violation of the so-called “respect clause” in their Tidö collaboration agreement – the clause that states that the four parties should speak respectfully of each other in the media.

But after crisis talks held on Thursday, the conflict appears to be dying down.

The Sweden Democrats hit out strongly at the TV4 Kalla Fakta documentary where the troll factory was revealed, calling it a smear campaign and disinformation, but simultaneously went as far as to confirm that they do run anonymous social media accounts for which they refused to apologise.

They did say sorry to the Tidö parties for including them in the smear campaigns, and promised to remove some of the posts that had offended the other three parties, plus reassign a couple of members of staff to other duties until they’ve been given training on the Tidö “respect clause”.

But that doesn’t remove the fact that they vowed to continue the anonymous social media accounts whose existence they had prior to the documentary consistently denied, or the fact that some of the social media posts shared not only vague anti-immigration content, but white power propaganda.

The Liberals took the row the furthest, with Liberal leader Johan Pehrson describing people in his party as skitförbannade – pissed off as hell. He said ahead of the crisis meeting that they would demand that the Sweden Democrats cease all anonymous posting, which the latter rejected.

The party had two choices: walk out of the government collaboration and possibly spark a snap election, or walk back its strong words ahead of the meeting and wait for it to blow over.

They chose a kind of middle way, and called for an inquiry to be launched into banning political parties from operating anonymous social media accounts. The Social Democrats immediately accused the Liberals of trying to “bury the issue in an inquiry” – a classic Swedish political method of indecisive conflict avoidance which the Social Democrats themselves are well familiar with.

The Christian Democrats and Moderates both said that the Sweden Democrats had accepted their criticism and welcomed the party’s reshuffling of staff within its communications department, adding that it still had to prove its commitment to the Tidö agreement going forward.

So why isn’t this causing a bigger government crisis?

We asked Evelyn Jones, a politics reporter for the Dagens Nyheter daily, to come on the Sweden in Focus podcast to explain it to us:

“The Sweden Democrats are the biggest party in this coalition, even though they’re not part of the government. So the government really needs them. It’s hard for them to just stop cooperating with the Sweden Democrats,” she said.

“The cooperation between the government parties and the Sweden Democrats has been going pretty smoothly since the last election – more smoothly than a lot of people thought. This is probably the biggest crisis so far, but how big it is, is hard to say.”

You can listen to the full interview with her and the rest of the Sweden in Focus podcast here

In other news

If you are a descendant of a Sweden-born person and would like to find out more about them, there are ways to do that. I wrote this week about how to research your Swedish ancestry.

That guide was prompted by my interview with the chair of a community history group in a small parish in north-central Sweden, which has tried to get to the bottom of rumours that US mega star Taylor Swift’s ancestors hail from their village. I had so much fun writing this article.

The EU elections will be held on June 9th, but advance voting begins next week in Sweden. And poll cards are already being sent out, so if you’re eligible to vote you should receive yours soon.

Sweden’s consumer price index fell to 3.9 percent in April, below 4.0 percent for the first time in two years, reinforcing predictions that the central bank will keep lowering interest rates.

Sweden’s four-party government bloc has broken with the other parties in a parliamentary committee on public service broadcasting, adding what the opposition complains are “radically changed” proposals. How shocking are they?

Many people move to Sweden because of their partner’s career. Perhaps you’re one of these so-called “trailing spouses”. I’ve been asking readers in this situation how they’re settling in, and will have an article for you next week. There’s still time to answer our survey to share your experience.

Thanks for reading.

Have a good weekend,

Emma

Inside Sweden is our weekly newsletter for members which gives you news, analysis and, sometimes, takes you behind the scenes at The Local. It’s published each Saturday and with Membership+ you can also receive it directly to your inbox.

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