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IMF urges Spain to raise VAT, cut spending and push labour reform

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised up its prediction for Spanish growth on Tuesday but warned "structural weaknesses persist," particularly in the form of sky-high unemployment.

IMF urges Spain to raise VAT, cut spending and push labour reform
Photo: AFP

“The Spanish economy has continued its impressive recovery and strong job creation,” the IMF wrote in a report unveiled in Madrid.   

But “unemployment, especially long-term and youth joblessness, is still very high, while the use of temporary contracts for new jobs remains widespread.”

In its report, the IMF estimates that Spain's economy will grow 3.2 percent this year and will continue to expand in 2017, albeit at the more moderate rate of 2.3 percent — still better than its initial prediction of 2.2 percent.   

Spain's economic growth is one of the most dynamic in the eurozone after the country emerged from five years of on-and-off recession at the end of 2013 caused by the burst of a property bubble in 2008.

During those years, millions of Spaniards lost their jobs and unemployment reached close to 27 percent in 2013.

The conservative government launched a series of spending cuts and a labour law reform that reduced severance pay and introduced a new permanent contract with a one-year trial period.

This shortened Spain's jobless queue, and unemployment stood at 18.9 percent in this year's third quarter, a marked decrease but still the second-worst rate in the European Union after Greece.

The reforms “continue to pay off,” the IMF said, adding they must nevertheless “be expanded to sustain strong growth and employment prospects over the medium term.”

“There is still too much incentive for employers to hire on a temporary basis,” said Andrea Schaechter, mission chief for Spain at the IMF.   

The organisation called on Spain to continue to make efforts to reduce its public deficit, which is expected to come in at 4.6 percent of GDP this year and at 3.1 percent in 2017 — just short of the three-percent limit set by the European Union.

But in order to be “growth- and job-friendly,” it suggested raising revenues – by for instance reducing value-added tax exemptions or increasing excise duties and environmental levies – rather than cutting more spending.

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PENSIONS

The best private pension plans in Spain

Spain's ageing population and falling birth rate has led many people to expect that public pensions will be affected in the future. Knowing the best private pension plans available in Spain could save you some stress in the long-term.

The best private pension plans in Spain

Spaniards don’t tend to invest in private pensions. Estimates suggest that just 16.4 percent of them have at least some of their retirement savings deposited in private plans, meaning that the vast majority of payouts come from the public coffers.

In fact, OECD data on pension plans shows that the weight (in terms of GDP) allocated to private pensions products in Spain is seven times lower than the OECD average.

Spain’s total private assets amount to just 14.3 percent of GDP, a far cry from the OECD average, which is slightly above 105 percent, and Spain ranked 25th out of 38 countries in one OECD report.

This has led many to worry that Spain’s public pensions could be at risk in the medium-term future.

You can read more of The Local’s coverage of the uncertainty of Spain’s public pension system below, but in short the reasoning is that long-term demographic change, slowing birth rates among Spaniards, plus the looming prospect of a larger than usual cohort of baby boomer retirees and the types of pensions they usually claim mean that, if Spain is to avoid pensions payouts swallowing up more and more of its economy, then changes will be needed — sooner rather than later.

READ ALSO: Will there be no public pensions in Spain in the future?

As such, for fear of there not being a public pension for them in the future, many younger people in Spain may now be considering private plans. And owing to the fact that the vast majority of Spaniards opt for public pensions, private pensions often get overlooked.

Here are some of the best available in 2024

Best variable income pension plans in 2024

A variable income plan is essentially one in which the payout fluctuates depending on how well the plan’s investments (ie. where your pension money is actually invested) perform over time.

Here’s a list of the best variable pension plans in 2024, ranked by annual performance:

Azvalor Global Value PP: 47.40 (percent)
Cobas Global PP: 9.73
Magallanes European Equities PP: 5.39
Horos International PP: 5.22
Ontinyent Magallanes PP: 4.84
Caser Magallanes: 4.78
Caser Gestión de Valor PP: 4.78
SA Nostra Magallanes Equity PP: 4.57
Santander ASG Acciones España: 3.57 percent
Santander ASG Equities Spain: 3.82
Dunas Selección Europe F&F: 3.38

Best mixed pension plans for 2024

Mixed pensions plans are generally when the investment in variable income products may not exceed a third or 30 percent, depending on the bank or entity, and the remainder of the pot is fixed.

Azvalor Consolidation: Annual return: 15.98 percent, 3 year return: 8.03 percent
Cobas Mixto Global: Annual return: 6.94, 3 year return: 3.12 percent
Feelcapital 50: Annual return: 3.07, 3 year return: 2.93
Dunas Valor Flexible F&F: Annual return: 2.84 percent, 3 year return: 3.67 percent
Dunas Flexible Value 2: Annual return: 2.18, 3 year return: 2.98 percent
Dunas Balance Value F&F: Annual return: 2.02 percent, 3 year return: 2.11
Atl Capital Conservador: Annual return: 1.71 percent, 3 year return: 1.89 percent
PP Ind. Gesnorte: Annual return: 1.46 percent, 3 year return: 1.55 percent

READ ALSO: How many years do I have to work in Spain to get a pension?

Long-term returns

Obviously, pension plans are long-term investments, especially if you’re young and thinking ahead. A pension plan that performs well in one year doesn’t necessarily mean it will perform as well later on down the line.

Therefore, you should also think about long-term performance when choosing a pension plan. Below is a list of the best variable income pension plans in Spain according to their three-year annualised returns:

Azvalor Global Value PP: 23.53 percent
Magallanes European Equities PP: 15.53
Horos International PP: 12.39
BK International Variable PP: 9.93
Merchbanc Global PP: 9.56
BBVA Telecomunicaciones PP: 8.93
Ibercaja Pensiones Bolsa USA: 8.93
CNP Partners Activo: 8.80
CNP Partners Assets: 8.16
Santander ASG American: 8.10
Orange S&P 500 PP: 7.50

READ ALSO: The best high-yield savings accounts in Spain

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