SHARE
COPY LINK

WEATHER

Snow in early November. Will this winter be ice cold?

With 20cm of snow already lying on the ground in parts of northern Germany, winter has bitten early. But meteorologists say it probably won't last.

Snow in early November. Will this winter be ice cold?
The Hamburg television tower on November 10th. Photo: DPA

In Lower Saxony and along the Baltic coast, 20cm of snow has fallen in recent days, with temperatures plummeting to -16C overnight on Wednesday.

Andreas Friedrich, spokesperson for the German Weather Service (DWD), says that snowfall so early in the lower regions of Germany is unusual.

While in the Alpine regions it is normal to see snowfall earlier in November “in the low-lying plains the snow usually comes at the end of the month,” he says.

“What we have seen in Lower Saxony, where huge amounts of snow have fallen, is very unusual for November and happens at most once every ten years.”

But Friedrich cautions that a cold November does not say anything about how the rest of the winter will pan out.

He explains that the DWD uses modelling systems to work out weather trends for the upcoming seasons.

“With these we can see whether it is statistically likely that the season will be warmer or colder in comparison with the previous 30 years,” Friedrich says, adding that winter 2016-17 is expected to be somewhat mild in historical comparison.

“But this is a statement which has only a very limited use to the wider public. You can’t tell from this assessment when in the winter it will turn cold. With a long-term forecast, you can’t plan anything exactly.”

As for whether we are likely to have a white Christmas in the Bundesrepublik, the weatherman says that it is way too early to tell.

“It feels like I start hearing this question in September every year!” he says. “At the very earliest we will be able to give an assessment in the middle of December on whether snow is likely over the festive period.”

But even then, the sky readers are only right 65 to 75 percent of the time.

“If the weather conditions are very difficult, it is often only possible to tell one or two days beforehand whether fresh snow will fall on Christmas,” says Friedrich.

“Particularly in the chaotic weather system of central Europe, it is very hard to read the tea leaves.”

The weatherman has his own suggestion for those who want a guarantee of a white Christmas.

“On Zugspitze [Germany’s highest mountain] there had been snow on the 3,000-metre summit since we have started recording it. Whoever simply must have snow on Christmas should head for Zugspitze or other Alpine peaks over 2,000 metres.”

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.

WEATHER

Severe weather warnings issued as Germany braces for more storms

Extreme weather warnings for heavy rainfall remain in place in parts of Germany on Friday following flooding in the south. There is also a chance of thunderstorms at the weekend.

Severe weather warnings issued as Germany braces for more storms

Severe weather is expected in the southwest of the country on Friday, with the heaviest rain expected in Saarbrücken, as well as the surrounding areas of Saarland and southern Rhineland-Palatinate.

In these areas Germany’s weather service (DWD) has level 4 warnings in place – meaning that the rain is expected to be extremely heavy (more than 40 litres per square metre in an hour, or 60 litres per square metre in 6 hours).

Slightly less severe, but still heavy continuous rain can also be expected in the surrounding regions, extending as far as Stuttgart and Mainz.

Speaking to Bild newspaper, Climatologist Dr. Karsten Brandt suggested that the heavy precipitation and thunderstorms will continue to move northwest, even into southern North-Rhine Westphalia (Aachen).

There are also wind warnings in parts of the country, with squalls expected on the Brocken and the Fichtelberg mountains, as well as in the Black Forest and in the Alps.

Currently, the highest wind warnings are in Dresden and southern Bavaria near the Alps.

Friday’s weather warnings come in the wake of chaotic weather that flooded Nuremberg and parts of Bavaria Thursday night, where many roads flooded. Cars were submerged in water and bus routes were cancelled.

A number of household cellars also flooded as well as a large underground car park at the Technical University.

READ ALSO: Record heat deaths and floods – How Germany is being hit by climate change

What will the weekend bring?

Beyond the area of severe weather warnings but not beyond the reach of the storm, Cologne will have some rain on Friday which may continue on through the weekend.

Germany’s northern and eastern regions have dodged the recent bout of storms so far, but in Berlin scattered thunderstorms can be expected to move in by Sunday afternoon. This may put a dampener on the Karneval der Kulturen parade. 

In Bremen and Hamburg, residents can expect some rain showers on Sunday and Monday, with a chance of thunderstorms as well.

In Munich and Nuremberg, it looks as if the worst is over. Some small showers may continue into Saturday, but Bavarian residents can look forward to a sunny Sunday ahead of the public holiday on Monday for Pentecost. 

READ ALSO:

SHOW COMMENTS