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WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM: DAVOS

EUROPEAN UNION

‘Europe missed chance to fix economy’: Weber

Europe has squandered three years of opportunity to carry out badly needed economic reforms, former Bundesbank chief Axel Weber said in Davos on Wednesday, warning the ECB against taking too much action to compensate for governments' failure to act.

'Europe missed chance to fix economy': Weber
Former Bundesbank chief Axel Weber. Photo: AFP/File

The European Central Bank has come to the rescue of the eurozone on several occasions since Greece nearly dragged down the bloc with its debt, with the bank unleashing an arsenal of unconventional measures since late 2011 to calm jittery markets.
   
However, growth remains sluggish, unemployment is stubbornly high and the eurozone is now in danger of sliding into deflation, forcing the ECB to consider deploying yet another unusual measure — this time the massive purchase of sovereign debt.
   
"The real issue is the ECB has continuously bought time for European policy makers to fix the issue," Weber said.
   
But "they didn't do that" in the past few years.
   
"Now Europe's not back, the problems are back. Now you have to (carry out the reforms) under the scrutiny of the international financial markets.
   
"Europe has lost the good opportunity to do many necessary things they could have done in a more benign environment."
   
Weber also urged European central bankers to consider if it is time to pull the plug on aid to boost growth in the bloc, saying that governments should not pass the buck.
   
"The ECB can only be part of a fix in Europe. In my view they shouldn't go too far because the more they do, there is the incentive for governments to do less.
   
"And the problem is if you continue to buy time and the time is not used for reforms, you have to ask yourself if more of the same is the best recipe," he said.
   
The ECB was modelled after the once mighty Bundesbank, reputed for its unflinching anti-inflationary stance.
   
But as the eurozone crisis unfolded and deepened, the Bundesbank's imprint on the institution began to fade.
   
Weber quit in 2011 because of unease over the bank's looser monetary policies.

Clash of views

But not everyone shares his views.

Adam Posen, the former central banker who sat on the policy committee of the Bank of England for three years, told AFP the threat of deflation was too great to be ignored any longer.
   
"What's dangerous are the people who oppose QE, who I think are wrong, are trying to make sure QE fails," said Posen, who was a major proponent of QE at the BoE.
   
"We are very late in the game and I'm very concerned that Germany is going to keep the QE from as being as aggressive as they need it to be," Posen said.
   
Germany's aversion to the plan was also borne out in remarks by the ECB's former chief economist, who also resigned angrily after the bank accepted unconventional measures.
   
The European Central Bank "wants to drive down the refinancing costs of individual countries," Jürgen Stark told the business daily Handelsblatt.

"That is very different from traditional monetary policy." 

To placate Germany's opposition, reports from Berlin say the ECB has devised a bond-buying programme that will cater to their deep reservations about QE.
   
The news magazine Der Spiegel reported on Friday that ECB chief Mario Draghi presented this scheme to Chancellor Angela Merkel and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble aimed at allaying such concerns.
   
Under the revised scheme, only national central banks will be allowed to buy the sovereign debt of their respective countries.
   
Crucially, Germany, Europe's paymaster, will not be on the hook to bail out another country, the magazine said.
   
Kenneth Rogoff, the IMF's former chief economist, said if confirmed this step was politically necessary but would falter in the longer-term.
   
"Even if (the ECB) makes the national banks hold debt I think they'll see it doesn't work as well and they'll go to something else," Rogoff told AFP.
   
"I think it is part of a long process to get (QE) to work and it's a major step," he said.

"It's the first vague step towards the mutualization of debt."

Germany is increasingly singled out on the global stage for its resistance to looser monetary policy, with even China's top central banker lending his support to Draghi.
   
"I agree with Mario Draghi," said Zhou Xiaochuan.

"Monetary policy may create room, a time period for other policies to come out, to be implemented."    

While a policy such as QE "is not a panacea . . . it is still useful," he said.

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TRAVEL NEWS

EES: Could the launch of Europe’s new border system be delayed again?

After being postponed several times already Europe's new biometric Entry/Exit border system (EES) is set to be rolled out in October, but with fears of lengthy queues, problems with a new app and demands for more time, could it be postponed again?

EES: Could the launch of Europe's new border system be delayed again?

Could the entry into operation of the EU entry/exit system (EES), the new biometric passport checks for non-EU citizens at the Schengen area’s external borders, be delayed yet again?

Originally planned for May 2022, EES has already been postponed many times.

The current launch date, set for October 2024, was chosen to avoid periods of peak traffic and France in particular had requested to avoid it being launched until after the Paris Olympics this summer.

When asked to confirm the October start date this week a spokesperson for the EU’s Commission told The Local that the “roadmap” for the EES IT system foresees it will be ready for Autumn 2024. But the actual start date, in other words, the day when passengers will have to register, would be confirmed nearer the time.

The spokesperson said: “The exact date will be determined by the European Commission and announced on the EES official website well in time for the start of operations.”

READ ALSO: Your key questions answered about Europe’s new EES passport checks

But the reasons are adding up to suggest an October start date is optimistic, perhaps even unlikely.

In the annual report on the ‘State of Schengen’ published last week, the European Commission spelt out that severe challenges remain if member states are to be ready on time.

“In 2023, efforts to ensure the entry into operation of the Entry-Exit System in the autumn of 2024 were accelerated… While important progress has been made across the Schengen area, some Member States are still falling behind, notably regarding the effective equipment of border crossing points. The Commission calls on all Member States to urgently accelerate preparations to ensure the timely implementation of the system…”

A map in the report shows that preparation is still “in progress” in 13 Schengen area countries, including Germany, Norway and Switzerland. “Outstanding issues” still impact Portugal, Malta and Bulgaria.

The state of play for the preparations for EES across EU and Schengen states. Image: European Commission.

There are also reports that EU heavyweight Germany is trying to persuade Brussels to delay.

Matthias Monroy, editor of the German civil rights journal Bürgerrechte & Polizei/CILIP claimed on his website that “the German government is lobbying in Brussels to postpone the date once again, as otherwise the German tests of the EES cannot be completed in full. Other EU countries are also behind schedule, with only eight of them having reported successful integration.”

Even on a French government website it talks of EES being rolled out some time “between the end of 2024 and 2025” rather than stating October 2024.

And according to recent media reports, French airports have been advised to be ready for November 6th, rather than October. 

READ ALSO: EES and Etias – what are the big upcoming travel changes in Europe?

A planned EU app, believed to be essential to the smooth operation of EES because it would allow non-EU visitors to register in advance of travel will not be ready, Gwendoline Cazenave, Managing Director of Eurostar International, the company operating train services via the Channel Tunnel, has told the BBC. The EU however insists the app does not need to be up and running before EES is introduced.

In the UK, which will be heavily impacted by EES due to the fact it is no longer in the EU and so British travellers are no longer EU citizens, the House of Commons European scrutiny committee is conducting an inquiry on the potential disruption the introduction of the EES will cause at the border.

Several respondents have recently raised the alarm about the possible delays the system could cause, especially at the UK-France border, which is used by millions of passengers each year who head to France and other countries across Europe.

Ashford Borough Council in Kent has warned of the possibility of more than 14 hours queues to reach the Port of Dover, which has already been struggling increased checked after Brexit.

The BBC reported that back in March, a P&O Ferries director said the IT system should be delayed again.

Airlines have also complained about the fact pre-travel EES requirements would make last minute bookings impossible.

The Union des Aéroports Français (UAF), which represents airports in France, has simply said more time is needed.

In other words, it would be little surprise if the roll out was delayed again beyond October 2024.

But the Commission spokesperson told The Local that “the timeline for the entry into operation of the EES took into account all the necessary activities to be performed by all relevant stakeholders to ensure a timely entry into operation. 

“The Commission is working very closely with eu-Lisa [the EU agency in charge of the IT system], the Member States and carriers to ensure that everything is ready for the timely and successful launch of the Entry Exit System.

“The roadmap for the delivery of the new IT architecture foresees that the Entry/Exit system will be ready to enter into operation in Autumn 2024.”

New digital border

The EES is a digital system to register travellers from non-EU countries when they cross a border in or out of the Schengen area, the travel-free area. It will be deployed in 29 countries across Europe including 25 EU states plus Norway, Switzerland, Iceland and Liechtenstein. Ireland and Cyprus are the only EU members who won’t apply the EES system.

It doesn’t apply to non-EU nationals who are legally resident in an EU/Schengen area country or those with dual nationality of an EU /Schengen county. The system was designed to increase security and to ensure that non-EU nationals visiting the Schengen area short-term do not stay more than 90 days in any 180-day period.

Instead of having the passport stamped, travellers will have to scan it at self-service kiosks before crossing the border. However, fingerprints and a photo will have to be registered in front of a guard at the first crossing and there are huge concerns the extra time needed could generate long queues in the UK, where there are juxtaposed border checks with the EU.

Preparations are ongoing throughout Europe and some countries have made good progress.

In France, Getlink, the operator of the Channel Tunnel, has recently reported that new EES infrastructure is finished at its French terminal of Coquelles, which will allow travellers to register their biometric data while travelling.

Eurostar is also installing 49 kiosks in stations for the registration of passengers. But the Union des Aéroports Français (UAF), which represents airports in France, said more time is needed.

Exempted

Meanwhile, the Polish government has urged UK citizens who are beneficiaries of the EU-UK Withdrawal Agreement to get a residence permit “in the context of EES/ETIAS”, even though there was not such an obligation to stay legally in Poland post-Brexit.

“Having such a document is beneficial as it will exempt from future Entry/Exit System (EES) registration when crossing external borders and from the need to obtain an ETIAS travel permit in relation to short-term travel to EU/Schengen countries,” the government page says.

This article as published in collaboration with Europe Street news.

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