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NATO

Hungary set to approve Sweden’s Nato application after almost two years

Hungary is expected to ratify Sweden's Nato application on Monday afternoon, the final obstacle for an enlargement of the alliance spurred by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Hungary set to approve Sweden's Nato application after almost two years
Sweden's Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, left, listens to his Hungarian counterpart Viktor Orban during a press conference on Friday. Photo: AP Photo/Denes Erdos

The vote would end a long delay that left fellow Nato partners furious as Ukraine has battled Russian troops.

Russia’s February 2022 invasion prompted Sweden to apply to join the bloc in May 2022, alongside neighbouring Finland, ending a long-standing stance of non-alignment.

Finland became the 31st member of the US-led defence alliance in April 2023.

But while Hungary repeatedly said it supported Swedish membership in principle, it kept prolonging the process by asking Sweden to stop “vilifying” the Hungarian government.

Budapest also accused Swedish officials of being “keen to bash Hungary” on rule-of-law issues.

After a meeting on Friday between Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and his Swedish counterpart Ulf Kristersson in Budapest, the nationalist leader announced progress.

“We have managed to clarify our mutual good intentions,” Orban told journalists after signing a deal to acquire four Swedish-made fighter jets, expanding its existing fleet of 14 Jas-39 Gripen fighters.

Orban’s nationalist Fidesz party – whose ruling coalition with the Christian Democratic KDNP holds a two-thirds majority in parliament — had already indicated it would support Sweden’s bid.

All opposition parties except the far-right Our Homeland movement are in favour of ratification.

Lawmakers were widely expected to greenlight the Nordic nation’s bid in the parliamentary vote at around 4.20pm on Monday.

Once parliament has approved the bid, the president is expected to sign it in the coming days.

Sweden will then be invited to accede to the Washington Treaty and officially become a Nato member.

In the case of Finland, for example, Ankara gave the green light on March 30th, 2023, and Finland became a Nato member on April 4th.

Maintaining domestic popularity

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, most Nato members were keen to quickly approve the membership bids of both Finland and Sweden.

Hungary and the other holdout Turkey held up the process, especially for Sweden.

While Ankara cited security concerns, Budapest invoked a range of different reasons for delaying ratification.

For some experts, it was a strategy to wring concessions from Brussels to unlock billions of euros in frozen funds. Others argued it underlined Orban’s closeness to the presidents of Russia and Turkey.

For analyst Mate Szalai of Venice’s Ca’ Foscari University, Orban was simply playing to his domestic audience.

“Orban wanted to go as far as he could without causing serious problems to the Transatlantic community while proving that Hungary is a power to be reckoned with,” he told AFP.

While Hungary’s “confrontational behaviour” did not reap any tangible results, it might have “been beneficial domestically for the ruling Fidesz party”, he added.

“Many initiatives of the Hungarian government are designed to provoke a backlash in Europe,” said Szalai.

“And most criticism expressed towards the Orban government actually helps Fidesz to maintain its popularity in the country.”

Hungary approved Finland’s membership last March, but despite its earlier promises, Budapest ended up being the last to vote on Sweden’s Nato aspirations.

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MILITARY

Swedish parliament group urges 52 billion kronor hike in defence spending

A Swedish parliamentary commission on Friday recommended moves to strengthen the country's armed forces that would add 52.8 billion kronor to the national defence budget by 2030.

Swedish parliament group urges 52 billion kronor hike in defence spending

That would bring spending to 2.6 percent of GDP, thereby exceeding the Nato target of two percent.

The Swedish Defence Commission said the Scandinavian country needed to respond to new conditions, citing heightened tensions in Europe following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Sweden’s recent integration into the Nato military alliance.

The commission recommended additional army brigades and navy personnel, a rise in the number of conscripts trained up every year and the creation of Sweden’s first ever rocket artillery unit.

“Together, the (recommended) additions for military defence amount to 52.8 billion kronor in 2030,” the commission said in a report presented to the government on Friday.

The commission is composed of MPs from all parties in parliament, as well as experts and representatives of various authorities, including the armed forces.

Its report will form the basis for a decision on defence spending in parliament this autumn, which the commission said would be “historic”.

“The deteriorating security situation, combined with Sweden’s obligations as an Ally, requires an increased ambition for the military defence,” the government said on its website on Friday.

Sweden’s defence budget for 2024 is around 119 billion kronor.

With the proposed increase, it would reach 185 billion kronor, defence commission chair Hans Wallmark told a press conference.

More troops

Wallmark said the commission wanted to bring forward the deployment of two new army brigades so the force had a total of four by 2030.

MPs wanted there to be three mechanised brigades and one infantry brigade, he told reporters.

The commission also proposed the creation of Sweden’s first rocket artillery unit, saying it believed the creation of a full battalion was “pressing” but needed to be evaluated further.

It recommended a 50-percent expansion in the number of conscripts trained every year.

“We want to train 12,000 conscripts a year by 2032”, said Wallmark, up from the 8,000 a year currently trained.

More personnel should also be provided for the navy, he said.

Civil Defence Minister Carl-Oskar Bohlin made waves in January when he told a defence conference “there could be war in Sweden”.

Shortly after, armed forces commander Micael Bydén also said Swedes needed to “mentally prepare for war”.

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Sweden drastically slashed its defence spending after the end of the Cold War but reversed course following Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea.

In March 2022, after Russia’s fully fledged invasion of Ukraine, Stockholm announced it would increase spending again, aiming to dedicate two percent of GDP to defence “as soon as possible”.

Late last year, the government said military spending would exceed the two-percent goal in 2024.

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