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ECONOMY

German parliament approves controversial 2024 budget

Germany's parliament on Friday approved a revised 2024 budget that will reinstate strict debt limits after a shock legal ruling forced Chancellor Olaf Scholz to redraw his spending plans.

Finance Minister Christian Lindner and Economics Minister Robert Habeck in the Bundestag on Friday.
Finance Minister Christian Lindner and Economics Minister Robert Habeck in the Bundestag on Friday. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Britta Pedersen

The €477-billion ($519 billion) budget, the result of months of wrangling, includes €39 billion in new borrowing.

The figure brings Europe’s top economy back into compliance with its constitutionally enshrined “debt brake”, which prevents the state from borrowing more than 0.35 percent of annual GDP, barring exceptional circumstances.

The debt brake had been suspended since 2020, first because of the pandemic and then because of the economic fallout from Russia’s war in Ukraine.

The Bundestag lower house of parliament passed the budget with 388 votes in favour and 279 votes against.

READ ALSO: Five budget cuts set to impact people in Germany in 2024

The revised budget includes a higher ticket tax on passenger flights, changes to social benefits as well as an agricultural subsidy cut that has angered farmers.

Scholz’s three-party coalition has scrambled to find savings after a constitutional court ruling in November upended its spending plans.

The court found that the government had broken the debt rule when it transferred €60 billion earmarked for pandemic support to a climate fund.

The ruling tore a €17-billion hole in the government’s 2024 finance plans.

After tense negotiations, Scholz’s Social Democrats and their coalition partners from the Greens and the pro-business FDP agreed cuts to help make up the shortfall.

Among the most controversial was the proposed phaseout of a diesel tax break for agricultural vehicles, triggering nationwide protests by farmers last month.

The government however scrapped a plan to also abolish a vehicle tax discount for agricultural machinery.

The Bundesrat upper house, which represents the regional states, has yet to approve the phaseout of agricultural diesel tax relief. A vote on the measure is expected on March 22nd.

The budget crisis has revived debate about the “debt brake” at a time when Germany’s economy is struggling and huge investments are needed to finance the green transition and modernise outdated infrastructure.

This has deepened tensions within Scholz’s coalition, already facing a slump in popularity among the German public.

The liberal FDP strongly supports the debt cap while the Social Democrats and the Greens are more open to relaxing the rules – especially if more help were needed for Ukraine.

The next showdown is already looming in the shape of the 2025 budget, when the government will have to plug a hole of €13-20 billion in its budget plans.

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ECONOMY

German economy rebounds from recession, but growth stays weak

The German economy grew only very slightly between January and March, official figures published Tuesday showed, dodging a recession after a weak end to 2023.

German economy rebounds from recession, but growth stays weak

Output rose by 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2024 in comparison with the previous three months, federal statistics agency Destatis said in preliminary figures.

By contrast, Europe’s largest economy shrank 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to a revised figure out from Destatis. That revised figure was worse than its previous estimate that GDP fell by 0.3 percent in the quarter.

The statistics agency however upgraded its estimate for the whole of 2023, suggesting the German economy contracted only 0.2 percent over the year instead of 0.3 percent.

The increase in the first quarter of 2024 reflected an improvement in the construction industry and in exports, Destatis said. Household consumption however fell in the quarter, according to the agency.

The economic mood in Germany has been pessimistic in recent months, as businesses have had to manage increased energy costs, high inflation and rising interest rates. But with the costs for energy coming down and inflation easing, the outlook has improved. The government last week adjusted up its forecasts for 2024, predicting growth of 0.3 percent instead of 0.2 percent.

The first quarter improvement showed “the German economy can still grow after all”, ING bank analyst Carsten Brzeski said. “Optimism has returned to the German economy.” 

The rebound would however be limited by “structural weaknesses”, Brzeski said.

“Higher oil prices as a result of the military conflict between Iran and Israel, as well as the ongoing tensions in the Red Sea, are likely to weigh on industry and exports once again,” he said.

An increasing number of insolvencies could also weaken the labour market, Brzeski warned.

Unemployment in Germany however remained stable, according to figures published by the federal employment agency on Tuesday. The joblessness rate stood at 5.9 percent in April, the BA federal labour agency said.

READ ALSO: Can Germany revive its struggling economy?

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