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‘Burst bubble’: Germany sees record drop in property prices

Prices for residential houses and flats in Germany fell by an average of 10.2 percent this year, marking the biggest decline since records began.

Blocks of flats in Berlin
Blocks of flats in the German capital of Berlin. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Florian Schuh

After years of soaring prices in Germany’s property market, the turnaround has been swift and painful. 

According to data from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), residential property prices fell by an average of 10.2 percent in the third quarter compared to the same period last year – the sharpest decline since the time series began in 2000. 

Both in cities and rural regions, the drop in prices seen in the first two quarters of the year continued – though the price of flats fell less dramatically than houses. 

In the metropolises of Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, Cologne, Frankfurt am Main, Stuttgart and Düsseldorf, detached and semi-detached houses became 12.7 percent cheaper in the third quarter, while buyers had to pay an average of 9.1 per cent less for flats than a year earlier.

In sparsely populated rural districts, prices for detached and semi-detached houses fell by 12.4 percent, while apartments were 5.6 percent cheaper year-on-year.

READ ALSO: Where are property prices in Germany falling the fastest?

Compared to the second quarter, residential properties became 1.4 per cent cheaper, Destatis announced on Friday. The news marks the first year-on-year drop in prices since 2010.

The main reason for the fall in prices is the sharp rise in interest rates, which have made loans more expensive, as well as high construction costs.

Many people can no longer or no longer want to afford their own four walls, while banks are struggling to sell mortgages at the current eye-watering rates. 

This is in spite of the fact that demand for housing remains high, not least due to the high level of immigration in Germany and lanquid house-building rates.

On Thursday, Housing Minister Klara Geywitz announced that the government would once again miss its building target of 400,000 new homes per year, with 270,000 newbuilds expected in 2023 and around 265,000 expected in 2024. 

READ ALSO: What will happen to the German property market in 2024?

‘Speculative price bubble’ 

The decline in the third quarter marks the first price fall in the current year since 2010, when the property boom began. Major cities such as Berlin, Hamburg and Munich are particularly affected, according to an analysis published on Wednesday by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW).

The DIW calculations show that the road to home ownership remains rocky for buyers.

Despite the declines of recent quarters, property is still much more expensive than at the start of the boom: prices for detached and terraced houses doubled between 2010 and 2023, according to the researchers.

Rents rose much less during this period, by a total of 53 percent. Buying an apartment in major cities currently costs as much as 27 annual rents, compared to 28 annual rents last year.

READ ALSO: Why renting is still cheaper than buying in Germany

“Until 2022, there was a speculative price bubble in Germany, one of the biggest in the last 50 years,” said DIW study author Konstantin Kholodilin. “Since then, prices have been falling. The bubble has burst.”

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PROPERTY

EXPLAINED: What fees do you have to pay when buying a home in Germany?

Few experiences in Germany will take you through the full German bureaucratic, tax, and legal experience the way buying property here will - and there are plenty of fees. Here's what you need to know about extra charges so you don't face a nasty surprise.

EXPLAINED: What fees do you have to pay when buying a home in Germany?

One of the big reasons as to why property ownership is so low in Germany? The fees.

Depending on where you buy your own piece of paradise – you could be on the hook for taxes and fees that add up to over 10 percent of the purchase price! It’s a figure that’s high enough to make some wonder if the investment is worth it – and often used to explain why figures on German home ownership, at around 50 percent – are some of the lowest in Europe.

READ ALSO: Why is home ownership in Germany so low?

Land transfer tax

When you sign a contract to buy property in Germany, you’ll get a letter soon after from your local tax office – telling you how much land transfer tax you have to pay. Such a tax triggers whenever property ownership changes hands in Germany and needs to be paid by the new owner.

It’s calculated based on property value – most often the agreed purchase price – and varies depending on the federal state where the property is located.

The lowest transfer taxes are found in Bavaria – whose 3.5 percent rate is significantly lower than any other Bundesland. Five percent rates apply in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-West Pomerania, Rhineland-Palatinate, Bremen, Lower Saxony, and Baden-Württemberg. 

Hamburg and Saxony follow with 5.5 percent rates, whereas Berlin and Hesse start going to the high end of tax rates at six percent.

At the highest end with 6.5 percent rates – lie North Rhine-Westphalia, Brandenburg, Saarland, Schleswig-Holstein, and Thuringia.

You won’t be able to add your name to the land registry – or Grundbuch – until you pay your tax.

READ ALSO: Why property prices in Germany are likely to rise this year

Real estate agent fee

In most German states, you’ll also have to pay your estate agent a commission amounting to about 3.57 percent of the property purchase price.

There are four federal states where this fee is lower though – and even a slightly lower percentage could make a big difference given the amounts involved. Hamburg and Mecklenburg-West Pomerania have commission fees of 3.18 and 3.08 percent, respectively.

At 2.98 percent, the lowest real estate commission fees are found in Bremen and Hesse.

These commission fees are also a reason why it may be an attractive option to buy a newer build property directly from a real estate developer – as you won’t pay any commission if you purchase from the developer directly. Private selling or buying foreclosed properties at a court auction also allows you to avoid this fee entirely.

If buying from a developer though, you may have to wait months or years to be able to actually move in though, as the places are often sold while still under construction.

EXPLAINED: What you need to know about buying property in Germany

Notary fee

No matter where you buy property in Germany, a notary must read out the contract in front of both parties.

This can be tedious and take hours – but the idea is to allow both parties the chance to ask questions on the terms of a neutral party.

Unfortunately, you’ll pay for the privilege and there’s no avoiding it. Notary fees are about 1.5-2 percent of the purchase price around Germany in most cases. Some shopping around might help you find a notary who charges the lower end at 1.5 percent.

If you’re not comfortable with legal German, you’re allowed to bring an accredited translator with you to the reading. This is, of course, at your own cost as well.

READ ALSO: Is it a good time to buy a home in Germany?

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