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MIGRANT CRISIS

EU leaders primed for clash over migration at Spain summit

Leaders of the EU's 27 nations met to tackle the divisive question of migration at a summit in the Andalusian city of Granada on Friday, two days after agreeing a reform package furiously opposed by Warsaw and Budapest.

EU leaders primed for clash over migration at Spain summit
European Heads of state pose for a group picture in the Lions Patio after a visit of the Alhambra, during the European Political Community summit in Granada, southern Spain on October 5, 2023. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP)

After a tense day of talks at Thursday’s European Political Community summit, EU leaders began an informal council meeting in the southern city of Granada, with migration topping the agenda.

Poland’s populist government, facing a general election next week, lashed out at Europe’s plans for overhauling the rules on asylum seekers and irregular migrants as a “diktat” from Brussels and Berlin.

There was also a furious response from Hungary, whose Prime Minister Viktor Orban said the law, which obliges states to take in a share of migrants or pay those who do so, was tantamount to being “legally raped”.

“Poland and Hungary were not satisfied with the proposal… so after this, there’s no chance of having any kind of compromise and agreement on migration. Politically, it’s impossible… because legally we were — how to say it — we were raped,” he said.

One of the most-hotly disputed issues among EU member states, migration tops Brussels’ agenda after thousands of asylum-seekers landed on the Italian island of Lampedusa, highlighting the urgency of consolidating a unified European response.

The Spanish hosts failed to put the crisis on the agenda of Thursday’s European Political Community summit, which groups the EU with their European neighbours.

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky (R) shakes hands with Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban (L) next to Spain’s acting Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP)
 

But Italy and Britain’s leaders staged a side-meeting, backed by France and the Netherlands, to push a plan to prevent boats carrying asylum seekers even setting off for Europe.

Earlier this week, member states agreed by majority the final part an overhaul of the rules on handling asylum seekers and irregular migrants, setting up push for the European Parliament to make it law before elections next year.

The new Pact on Migration and Asylum would seek to relieve pressure on so-called frontline countries such as Italy and Greece by relocating some arrivals to other EU states, while those opposed to hosting asylum-seekers would be required to pay those that do.

Italian Prime Minister Georgia Meloni said she was “satisfied” with the direction Europe was heading.

“Europe’s ambitions in terms of migration are becoming more pragmatic in terms of legality with a desire to combat human traffickers, and to stop illegal immigration,” she said on arriving at the EPC summit on Thursday.

A key part of the pact is an obligatory mechanism to help member states faced with a sudden influx of asylum seekers, like in 2015-2016 when hundreds of thousands arrived, mostly from Syria.

Both Poland and Hungary have repeatedly fought against the pact and have relentlessly pushed, in vain, for the final declaration of the Granada summit to include a reference for the need for unanimity over the migration reform, diplomatic sources said.

Disagreement over the pact could block a joint declaration on migration as happened at a Brussels summit in early July.

But the text being discussed for Friday’s summit includes stronger language.

According to a draft seen by AFP, it says illegal immigration must be “immediately addressed in a determined manner” and refers to “stepping up returns” of migrants.

It also affirms the EU’s determination to forge “mutually beneficial comprehensive partnerships with countries of origin and transit”, such as the one signed in July with Tunisia to reduce the number of migrants arriving from there.

The migration pact must now be put to the European Parliament for further debate in the hope it will be in place before the upcoming elections, which could see a significant shift in the assembly’s makeup given the rise of right-wing parties in several EU nations.

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POLITICS

What will Spain’s PM do next after resignation threat?

Sánchez's shock threat of resignation after a dubious corruption probe into his wife has kicked off a period of political uncertainty. What card will the Spanish PM play next according to the experts, or is he truly planning to step down?

What will Spain's PM do next after resignation threat?

Pedro Sánchez, in office since 2018, wrote in a four-page letter posted on social media on Wednesday that he would suspend public duties while he “reflects” on whether he wants to continue leading the government.

The Socialist leader denounced “the seriousness of the attacks” against him and his wife, saying it was part of a campaign of “harassment” waged by the right and far right who “do not accept the election results”.

READ ALSO: Who is Begoña Gómez? Spanish PM’s partner thrust into spotlight

Sánchez, an expert in political survival who has made a career out of taking political gambles, said he would announce his decision on Monday.

Some analysts said he could decide to stay on, with this move aimed at rallying support and regaining the initiative in the face of the right-wing opposition at a time of extreme polarisation in Spanish politics.

“Sánchez is a political animal,” said Oriol Bartomeus, a political scientist at the Autonomous University of Barcelona, adding “he has decided to go on the attack” to try to “change the rules of the debate”.

Paloma Román, a political scientist at Madrid’s Complutense University, said Sánchez had “slammed his fist on the table” as part of a “strategy aimed at putting the spotlight where he wants it”.

Sánchez could file a confidence motion in parliament to show that he and his minority government are still supported by a majority of lawmakers in parliament.

Catalan separatist leader Carles Puigdemont, whose JxCat party is an unpredictable ally of the government, has urged Sánchez to pick this option.

READ ALSO: What happens and who takes over if Spain’s Prime Minister resigns?

For the confidence motion to succeed, Sánchez would just need the backing of a simple majority in the assembly and most of the parties which prop up his minority government have already shown their unconditional support.

Catalan separatist party ERC said it would vote in favour of a confidence motion while hard-left party Podemos, which has clashed with Sánchez in the past, blasted attacks by “the political, media and judicial right” on the prime minister and the left in general.

While the conservative opposition has accused Sánchez of playing the victim to rally support, analysts said the possibility that he will resign cannot be completely ruled out.

“Sánchez’s closest advisers and the leadership of the Socialist party will probably spend the coming days trying to convince him to stay,” said Teneo analyst Antonio Barroso.

“The fact that the prime minister allegedly did not consult any of his advisers when drafting the letter suggests personal reasons might be his main motivation. This makes Sánchez’s decision particularly hard to predict.”

If Sánchez does step down, the Socialist party could propose that parliament appoint someone else as head of the government, with Budget Minister María Jesús Montero, who also serves as deputy prime minister, touted as a likely contender.

But Barroso said it “would probably be hard for Montero to cobble together a majority” in Spain’s highly fractured parliament.

Sánchez could instead resign and call snap elections but he would not be able to do so before May 29 since a year must pass between consecutive dissolutions of parliament.

With the Socialists trailing the main opposition conservative Popular Party in opinion polls, this is a risky strategy, although analysts said Sánchez may bet that leftist voters will be galvanised by the controversy sparked by his resignation.

READ ALSO: Spanish prosecutors question credibility of corruption probe against PM’s wife

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