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TERRORISM

Why has Denmark not raised terror threat level like Sweden?

Denmark’s police intelligence service PET has not raised its rating of the terror threat against the country despite neighbouring Sweden taking the decision to raise its own level.

Why has Denmark not raised terror threat level like Sweden?
Sweden raised its terror threat level from three to four on Thursday. Denmark rates its own threat at four on a five-point scale. Photo: Henrik Montgomery/TT/Ritzau Scanpix

Denmark and Sweden both stepped up border security at the beginning of the month following the backlash in several Muslim countries in response to public desecrations of the Quran in the Scandinavian countries.

But neither country had raised its specific terror threat level until Thursday, when the step was taken by Stockholm but not Copenhagen.

“I have today made the decision to raise the terror threat level from an elevated to a high threat. We’re moving from three to four on a five-point scale,” Charlotte von Essen, head of the Swedish Security Service (Säpo), told a press conference.

But PET, the equivalent of Säpo in Denmark, is retaining its current terror threat rating, which was already at four out of five, the security service confirmed to news wire Ritzau.

“The terror threat against Denmark and against Danish interests abroad has been at the level ‘serious’, which is four out of five, for a number of years. That is equivalent to the level that Sweden is now going up to,” PET said in a written comment.

The agency has previously said that the threat level against Denmark had been “sharpened” by the Quran burnings and their fallout, but not to the extent that the terror threat level should be raised to five, termed “very serious” by PET.

Earlier this week, Denmark’s Justice Minister Peter Hummelgaard said the government was “taking seriously” a call by terror group al-Qaida for “revenge” attacks on the two Nordic countries over the Quran burnings.

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After the the al-Qaida statement was issued — but before Säpo raised the threat level in Sweden — PET said it was monitoring the situation closely.

“PET is aware of the call to action [by al-Qaida, ed.]. There is no doubt that the recent Quran burnings in Denmark have resulted in significant negative attention from militant Islamists and others, which affects the threat level in Denmark and for Danish interests abroad,” the agency told Ritzau.

“PET is following the current situation closely and will continuously assess what this means for the overall threat level and will implement any necessary security measures. This will be done in close consultation with relevant authorities in Denmark and abroad,” it said.

PET’s definitions of the terror threat level describe level five or ‘very serious’ as a “specific threat” with “capacity, intention, planning and possible implementation”.

Level four, or a ‘serious’ threat entails “a recognised threat” with “capacity, intention and planning”.

Sweden last had a terror threat level of ‘four’ in 2016, which reflects a difference in criteria applied by authorities in each country to their scales.

For Sweden to move to level four, there must be deemed a specific threat from an actor that has the intention and capacity to carry out an attack, according to Swedish news wire TT.

When Sweden was last at level four in 2015-2016, Europe had received threats from the Islamic State (Isis) terror group and the country was taking in a higher than usual number of refugees.

“PET is naturally in close contact with the Swedish authorities and is following the situation as it develops and assessing how it affects the overall threat level in Denmark,” PET said on Thursday.

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TERRORISM

Denmark’s terror threat ‘heightened’ by Israel-Hamas war and radicalisation risk

The terror threat in Denmark has worsened since the war between Hamas and Israel began in October last year due to an increased risk of radicalisation, according to an expert.

Denmark’s terror threat 'heightened' by Israel-Hamas war and radicalisation risk

In an interview with newspaper Berlingske, Michael Hamann, head of national intelligence service PET’s Centre for Terror Analysis (CTA) said the potential for radicalisation has grown during the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas.

“We have not seen a situation with such a broad basis for mobilisation and such a great radicalisation potential for many years. The intensity and violent expedition of the current conflict alone has on its own the potential to radicalise,” Hamann told Berlingske.

The heightened terror threat is likely to be a factor in 2024, he said, with Israeli attacks on Gaza ongoing and costing tens of thousands of civilian lives.

Hamann also told the newspaper that Hamas’ attack on Israel on October 7th was one of the “most drastic terrorist attacks since 9/11”.

The situation is concerning for Denmark, the analyst said, naming radicalisation a number of times during the interview.

READ ALSO: Why has Denmark not raised terror threat level like Sweden?

Another newspaper, Dagbladet Information, reports that CTA concluded in December that young people under the age of 18 were increasing becoming susceptible to radicalisation online.

Hamann said at the time that CTA was taking the issue serious and using resources on it.

He added that “the virtualisation of radicalisation – especially right-wing extremism – has caused us to see new groups in extremist circles which would not previously have been able to join these circles.”

READ ALSO: Danish police link suspected terror plan to Hamas

This new potential for online radicalisation could increase the terror threat against Denmark, he said.

The overall terror threat level in Denmark is, however, unchanged at level four out of five.

Hamann told Berlingske that the intensification of the terror threat after last summer’s Quran burnings, as well as the Israel-Hamas war, remains within level 4.

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