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IMMIGRATION

Why is Germany seeing fewer immigrants from other EU countries?

Germany is seeing fewer immigrants from within the EU than before the pandemic, according to new figures from the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (Bamf). Why have the numbers of EU migrants dropped so dramatically?

German Polish border crossing
Cars at a German-Polish border crossing in Swinemünde, Poland. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Stefan Sauer

In 2022, slightly more than 480,000 EU citizens migrated to Germany, according to a report published on Wednesday by the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF). 

That’s 2.8 percent more than in 2021, but nowhere near as many as in the years before the Covid-19 outbreak.

Just under 340,000 EU citizens emigrated from Germany in 2022, about the same number as the year before. According to the BAMF figures, net migration from within the EU – i.e. the number of people who move to the country minus the number who leave – stood at 143,515.

This migration balance is slightly higher than in the previous year, but less than half as high as it was six years ago and in the years before.

READ ALSO: Germany’s population grows to 84.3 million amid record migration

Where do most immigrants from within the EU come from?

Germany has seen the most inter-EU migration from eastern European countries such as Poland, Romania and Bulgaria.

Citizens from these countries still make up the majority of EU immigrants since 2022, although far less are moving to the Bundesrepublik than in the years before. 

Last year, about 160,000 Romanians, 80,000 Poles and 60,000 Bulgarians moved to Germany, but about 110,000 Romanians, 55,000 Poles and 40,000 Bulgarians also left the country. 

The net influx from Romania and Bulgaria is thus only half, and that from Poland only a third as high as in 2015. 

This decline is even more pronounced among Croatians: whereas in 2015 about 39,000 more Croatian citizens entered the country than left, in 2022 the figure stood at just 3,300.

Why are less people coming to Germany?

Experts cite three main reasons for this dramatic decline over the years: first, many of those who wanted to emigrate to Germany from their eastern European countries of origin have long since arrived. 

More than five million EU nationals currently live here, with Romanians and Poles making up the largest groups at the end of 2022 with about 880,000 people each.

In addition, most countries in eastern Europe are now doing much better economically than they were a few years ago, and young people are increasingly finding good jobs at home, so they don’t have to emigrate. 

And thirdly, almost all European countries are facing similar demographic developments as Germany: their societies are aging, with a far smaller pool of young workers than in the past.

However, young people between the ages of 16 and 35 make up by far the largest share of EU immigrants to Germany.

READ ALSO: IN NUMBERS: Five things to know about Germany’s foreign population

EU flag

The EU flag waves in the wind in front of the Reichstag building in Berlin. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Monika Skolimowska

This trend is becoming a problem for the local economy in particular, because it exacerbates the shortage of skilled workers.

For a long time, domestic companies were able to compensate for the lack of German applicants by employing eastern Europeans, who are allowed to work in the Bundesrepublik without any problems due to the EU’s Freedom of Movement regulation.

The fact that the influx from EU countries is weakening significantly – and probably permanently – is one of the main reasons why the German government is trying to make the Bundesrepublik more attractive for skilled workers from non-EU countries.

A new points-based system would also look favourably at immigrants who have a high proficiency in English and have a qualification in one of the fields in which Germany is currently seeing a shortage.

READ ALSO: Germany set to introduce ‘one of most modern immigration laws in the world’

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POLITICS

Citizenship reform: How a German minister you’ve never heard of is changing the lives of foreigners

Germany's coalition government is struggling. It's flagging in polls, sports few concrete policy wins, and its foreign policy is hotly debated. A notable exception is Interior Minister Nancy Faeser - a Social Democrat who remains a little discussed figure - despite overseeing legislation that hits at the core of Germany's identity.

Citizenship reform: How a German minister you've never heard of is changing the lives of foreigners

After all, few things are as existential to a country’s identity as deciding who gets to be a national or who gets to settle there and be a part of its community.

As Germany’s Interior Minister since late 2021, Faeser has been responsible for overseeing historic legislation on both. At a time when other European countries are tightening up citizenship and immigration rules – even for skilled, well-integrated immigrants – Faeser’s German Interior Ministry is betting on more openness.

March saw sweeping immigration reforms – designed to make it easier for skilled workers to come to Germany, bring their parents if they wish, and even come before having their foreign qualifications recognised by Germany’s notorious bureaucracy.

Skilled workers also have a faster route to permanent residence in Germany – after just 21 months in some cases.

Late 2024 will also see the introduction of the points-based Chancenkarte – or “opportunity card”. A German first, people with enough points could theoretically come to Germany without a firm job offer and look for work while already here. They might even be able to come if they don’t speak German yet – if they have enough points in other areas. In a country not normally known for its flexibility, Faeser’s Interior Ministry is showing much more of it in a bid to combat the country’s skilled labour shortage.

READ ALSO: The changes to Germany’s immigration rules in March 2024

Landmark citizenship reform

Many Local readers will also be familiar with another landmark piece of legislation from Faeser’s desk – Germany’s long-awaited dual nationality reform. After having seen repeated delays due to disputes between the three governing coalition parties, the Federal President finally signed and certified the new citizenship law in late March – starting a three-month countdown for the country’s bureaucracy to adapt to the new rules.

On June 26th, German citizenship law will allow people to hold multiple nationalities when naturalising and shorten the time someone will have needed to be in Germany before applying for citizenship from eight years to five.

Many people are becoming German

American Rick Hoffmann, Aussie-Italian Joe Del Borrello and Brazilian-Canadian Dini Silviera are looking forward to applying to becoming German following passage of the government’s dual citizenship reform. Photos: Rick Hoffmann, Joe Del Borrello, Dini Silviera

It’s not been without its controversy, with the country’s Christian Democrats (CDU) remaining vocal opponents until the end. CDU MP Alexander Throm described it as a “citizenship devaluation law” that has “the most wide-reaching negative consequences for our country” during the Bundestag session that saw the law’s final passage.

During that same debate, SPD MP Dirk Wiese pointed out a historical symmetry – namely that Faeser, a Social Democrat from Hesse, was responsible for passing dual nationality legislation that a CDU Premier of Hesse has originally torpedoed 25 years ago.

READ ALSO:

Throm was right about one thing. The results of Faeser’s legislation are likely to have long-lasting, far-reaching effects. Both the new law’s supporters and detractors can at least agree on its importance.

It may well end up being one of the longest-lasting legacies of the traffic light government. Even if the CDU take the Chancellery again in 2025 – as current polls would suggest – no other possible coalition partner is likely to agree to repeal the law. Dual nationality in Germany – and with it the acceptance of multifaceted identity – is likely here to stay, even if a future CDU-led government manages to tighten up immigration or asylum law in the future.

Nancy Faeser Boris Rhein

SPD candidate and Interior Minister Nancy Faeser and CDU candidate Boris Rhein in Wiesbaden, Hesse during the election campaign. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Boris Roessler

Faeser’s non-flashy style

Despite the weighty nature of the legislation she’s shepherded through her ministry and the Bundestag, Faeser isn’t known for grand pronouncements. She’s largely left it to others to make the public case for the dual nationality law’s importance, like parliamentary rapporteurs Hakan Demir (SPD), Filiz Polat (Green), and Stephan Thomae (FDP). She’s comfortable giving breakfast show interviews but rarely hits the evening talk show circuit.

A legislative workhorse, Faeser just seems to move on to her next task without a lot of fanfare for the one she just completed. The reason is likely equally unglamorous – she just has a lot to get done. Today immigration and citizenship reform, tomorrow proposals to tighten gun controls in Germany or issue visa bans for Russian athletes. She also found time to be her party’s top candidate in last autumn’s state election in her home state of Hesse.

Having never had a federal office before becoming Interior Minister, Faeser came from Hessian state politics, where she served as a member of the state parliament from 2003 to 2021, eventually becoming the Hessian SPD state party leader in 2019. At the time she became a minister in 2021, few Germans outside of Hesse had heard of her – never mind internationals.

Nancy Faeser smiles in November 2015 at the SPD state party conference in Kassel (Hesse).

Nancy Faeser smiles in November 2015 at the SPD state party conference in Kassel (Hesse). Photo: picture alliance / dpa | Uwe Zucchi

Media outlets both inside and outside of Germany keep their main focuses on politicians like Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck or Finance Minister Christian Lindner. With the controversy over Berlin’s strategy in Russia’s war against Ukraine, this is perhaps understandable.

But such a focus might sometimes miss another fundamental shift currently underway in Germany – as the country changes its approach to who gets to be a member of its national community. Nancy Faeser may well be one of the few members of the current German government to have a legacy that lasts well beyond her time in office.

Agree with her policies or not, that deserves more German and international reflection.

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