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HOUSING

REVEALED: The German regions where house prices have doubled in six years

In just six years, existing properties in Germany rose in price by an average of 77 percent, according to Postbank’s 2023 Housing Atlas. Here’s where they have gone up the most - and the one district where they have gone down.

The city of Bayreuth
The city of Bayreuth where two suspects were arrested. Photo: picture alliance / Daniel Karmann/dpa | Daniel Karmann

Overall, housing prices in Germany have become enormously more expensive between 2016 and 2022. The average price increase in all 400 German regions is 77 percent – from €1,757 to €3,075 per square metre. 

That’s according to the Postbank’s recently published Housing Atlas, which is calculated annually by the Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI). 

We look at where purchases prices have shot up the highest – often over 100 percent – and the one district in all of Germany where they actually went down.

READ ALSO: Why Germany’s housing crisis is expected to drag on

Where in Germany has seen the largest increase?

Anyone who purchased a property in Bayreuth six years ago can consider themselves lucky: the birthplace of Richard Wagner saw purchase prices for existing properties rise by an average of 270 percent from 2016 to 2022, by far the highest increase in any other German city or district. 

In Bayreuth the price per square metre rose from an average of €1,023 to €3,785 in six years.

This puts the northern Bavarian city at the top of the scoreboard by a wide margin. The location that saw the second highest price increase, however, is a mere 50km away. In the district of Wunsiedel in the Fichtelgebirge, prices rose by an average of 163 percent over the six year timeframe.

Third place goes to Uckermark in Brandenburg with 151 percent, followed by two more Bavarian cities, Bamberg (142 percent) and Passau (140 percent).

Picturesque Passau.

Passau in the spring. Photo: picture alliance / Armin Weigel/dpa | Armin Weigel

More expensive that Berlin: its suburbs

It’s well-known that the capital has seen housing prices skyrocket in recent years, with a 82 percent price increase between 2016 and 2022. But its neighbouring districts have been hit even harder by the price explosion.

The highest increases have been in Havelland (107 percent), Oberhavel (112 percent), Barnim (114 percent), Märkisch-Oderland (127 percent), Oder-Spree (123 percent), Dahme-Spreewald (112 percent), Teltow-Fläming (104 percent) and Potsdam-Mittelmark (122 percent). 

READ ALSO: EXPLAINED: How Berlin rents and property prices soared in 2022

Other over-100 percent price increases

Germany-wide, the cities which have seen an over-100 percent increase in price are Oldenburg (127 percent), Kassel (110 percent), Karlsruhe (114 percent) and, not surprisingly, Munich (108 percent).

READ ALSO: Housing: How did it get so expensive to live in Munich?

The Bavarian capital takes the lead as the most expensive city in the country. Per square metre, housing now costs €9,734.

Other areas where prices have shot up are coastal regions on the North Sea and Baltic Sea – mostly due to holiday properties – and the surrounding areas of major cities such as Cologne and Düsseldorf in North Rhine-Westphalia.

Otherwise districts with very high and very low price increases are spread across the country. In some cases they even sit next to each other. 

The district of Celle in Lower Saxony, for example, has seen costs go up by 121 percent, while prices next door in the district of Gifhorn have risen only very slowly at 51 percent.

Where are prices the most stable?

The eastern German state of Thuringia has arguably been the least affected by price increases: nine out of 22 regions are among those with the lowest price increases in all of Germany and 16 out of 22 regions have below-average increases. 

A view over Jena, Thuringia.

A view over Jena, Thuringia. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Martin Schutt

Only the state’s Kyffhäuserkreis with an increase 133 percent stands out. The district of Greiz, on the other hand, is the only one in the whole of Germany where prices for existing properties have actually fallen since 2016. 

From once €1,000 per square metre, it went down between 2016 to 2022 by 2.3 percent to €977. The Saale-Orla district is also one of the more stable in the country, with only a 9.4 percent increase.

More surprisingly though, the more popular region of northern Bavaria has also seen lower-than-average increases. While the city of Bamberg itself has seen price rises, the district of Bamberg only saw prices go up by 18 percent.

Among the large cities, the largest prices increases were seen in Ingolstadt (34 percent), Wolfsburg (40 percent) and Freiburg (45 percent) saw the smallest price increases.

READ ALSO: REVEALED: The German regions where property prices are falling and rising the most

How much will prices go up in the future?

These prices increases are only a moderately good indicator for the future, according to an analysis in Focus Online. By 2035, the HWWI expect the highest price increases in cities such as Munich and Potsdam, which were already above average in the past. 

HWWI said they expected prices to fall slightly on average until the middle of the next decade. However, the experts previously predicted this five years ago – and so far the exact opposite has occurred.

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HOUSING

Is there any hope for Berlin’s strained rental market?

Rents in Germany’s capital city have more than doubled in the last decade, according to a recent report from Investment Bank Berlin. What keeps pushing up prices, and is the trend set to continue?

Is there any hope for Berlin’s strained rental market?

According to Investment Bank Berlin’s 2023 housing market report, published earlier this month, found rent prices, excluding utilities, rose from €5.75 per square metre in 2014 to €13.99 per square metre in 2023. 

The average asking rent prices leapt to €19.85 per square metre for newly built flats. 

READ ALSO: ‘Tense housing situation’: Why a Berlin renter can’t be evicted for two years

Tale of ‘two housing markets’

Dr. Hinrich Holm, chairman of the Board of Investment Bank Berlin (IBB), said in the report the current state of Berlin’s housing market reveals a challenging situation for renters. 

“Berlin basically has two housing markets,” he said.  “One with moderate prices for existing rental agreements and one with high rents on offer. We must therefore expand the range and at the same time offer apartments subject to rent and occupancy in order to provide low-income population groups with social housing.”

The sharp rise in Berlin’s population after war-related refugee migration and the end of the pandemic isolation rules is partially to blame, he added. Nearly 80,000 people moved to Berlin after the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine in February 2022. 

Construction unlikely to solve Berlin apartment shortage

Construction for new builds is back in swing and has reached the levels seen in the mid-1990s after the wall fell. 

For the first time building completions exceeded the number of building permits issued. That amounted to the completion of 17,310 apartments which is 1,400 more than in 2021.  

Christian Gaebler, Senator for Urban Development, Building and Housing, said new construction could not immediately solve Berlin’s apartment shortage. 

Luxury flats in Berlin

Central Berlin apartments. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Christophe Gateau

“Housing construction is not meeting demand at the moment,” he said. “The causes are complex: rising land and construction costs, delivery bottlenecks, a shortage of skilled workers and also the development of interest rates.”

With a construction backlog of more than 62,000 apartments and a realisation rate of 86.5 percent, it is predicted that the majority of apartments will become available over the next few years. But that will not help those in the market for an apartment today. 

READ ALSO: Why does Germany keep missing its house building targets?

Berlin housing crunch increases competition

Molly Harison, an American English teacher in Berlin, found her current apartment through the website wg-gesucht. She said it was tough to find reasonably priced apartments within The Ring — what Berliners dub the part of the city encircled by the S-Bahn — and avoid potentially predatory renting situations during her search. 

“With all of the expats and foreigners that are moving here, rent is really high, unless you find a questionable living situation or an honest person,” Harison told The Local. “The amount of people I know who are renting out rooms in their apartment, and the person in the apartment is paying the majority of the rent is wild.”

Harison said competition was fierce to find her current living situation.  

“There’s just not a lot of long-term rental contracts because as soon as they’re up someone snatches them and they’re gone,” Harison said. 

“There were days where I’d try to go on and find things it would be like as soon as I had messaged three people, those same ads from those three people would be gone because someone else had already put the deposit down.”

Lucy, an Italian digital marketer who moved to Berlin in March to start a new job, agreed. 

“I definitely needed to be consistent with my search, I checked the posts twice a day and sent a lot of messages,” she told The Local. “It helped me to be one of the first people to send a message to the landlord, like as soon as they posted the offer.” 

Lucy said this method paired with some knowledge of German helped her find a place within her budget in just under three weeks. 

Still, it can also be a struggle to find long term housing that offers Anmeldung, or official registration at a German residence, which is a requirement for long term visas and work permits.  

“It was quite hard to find a place that was legit for the Anmeldung, I’ve noticed that most of the time it’s not possible,” Lucy said. 

Anmeldung is required to open some bank accounts, get a tax identification number for work, and sign up for wifi in Germany. Legally residents are required to register their address within two weeks of moving.  

And housing issues in Berlin have spread outside of the city’s metro area. Nearby cities like Potsdam also recorded marked rises in asking rent prices as some commuters choose to move outside of Berlin’s city limits for housing.  

But while rents in Berlin have soared to record highs, housing prices for those looking to buy are not as bleak. The prices of condominiums and one and two family homes bucked the trend and declined slightly from previous years. 

Condominium prices stagnated for the first time since the survey began analysing Berlin housing data. 

In 2023, condominiums were advertised for an average of €5,746 per square metre. The median for new condominium buildings fell by 4.4 percent to just over €8,000 per square metre. 

The median home price also fell 9.5 percent to €639,000. 

READ ALSO: Why property prices are falling in almost all German cities

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