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ECONOMY

KEY POINTS: What is in Denmark’s 2023 budget proposal?

Denmark’s coalition government presented on Thursday a new budget proposal in which it said it was “stepping on the brakes” on state spending.

KEY POINTS: What is in Denmark’s 2023 budget proposal?
Ministers from Denmark's coalition government presented the 2023 budget proposal on Thursday. Photo: Martin Sylvest/Ritzau Scanpix

Danish budgets are usually tabled and eventually adopted during the autumn, but last year’s election disrupted the normal timetable.

The proposed budget, given the title “A Responsible Way Forward” (En ansvarlig vej frem) was presented by ministers from the three coalition parties on Thursday: Finance Minister Nicolai Wammen, acting Defence Minister Troels Lund Poulsen and Culture Minister Jakob Engel-Schmidt.

A cautious economic approach to spending is needed given global circumstances including the war in Ukraine, inflation and last year’s energy crisis, Wammen said.

“Even though a lot of things look good when we look at the Danish economy, that doesn’t change where we are. Uncertain times,” he said.

Engel-Schmidt added that some might describe the proposed budget as “boring”, given that it “doesn’t bring a shower of presents”.

Key points from the proposed budget are outlined below. The proposal will go into negotiations with other parties in parliament before being voted through in its final form.

Inflation assistance to lower income groups 

Last year saw the highest inflation rate for 40 years in Denmark, and the effects will still be felt in 2023 even if the inflation percentages themselves are less severe.

Although the government wants to “step on the brakes”, it has still set aside 2.4 billion kroner for financial assistance to people vulnerable to rising prices.

Some 1.1 billion kroner will be spent on 5,000 kroner “cheques” for elderly persons who receive social welfare. People who have high medicine costs and students who receive subsidies because they must provide for others, such as single parents (SU-forsørgertillæg) are also among groups to be assisted with the inflation spending.

READ ALSO: Danish government agrees inflation package for vulnerable families 

‘Acute plan’ for hospitals

An agreement with regional health authorities on an “acute” spending plan to address the most serious challenges faced by the health services has already been agreed, providing 2 billion kroner by the end of 2024.

The agreement was announced by the government along with regional and municipal officials in February.

READ ALSO: What exactly is wrong with the Danish health system?

‘Lower than ever’ reserve fund

A so-called “negotiation reserve” (forhandlingsreserve), a pool of money in the budget that can be allocated at a later date based on agreements between parties, has been significantly cut to 200 million kroner.

A 2023 budget proposal from August last year, which was not adopted due to the election, had the fund at 600 million kroner. The reserve has been as high as 1.5 billion kroner in the past, according to broadcaster DR’s report on Thursday’s proposal.

The previous, single-party Social Democratic government was reported to favour mental health services and the elderly as areas which could benefit from the fund in 2023.

The lower amount is partly due to the shorter timescale of this year’s budget. The 2024 budget will be proposed and passed in late 2023 under the regular timetable.

“There are still things we can prioritise but we are asking you to take responsibility to get Denmark through while inflation is still a major challenge,” Wammen said.

Spending on courts system

Some 32.2 million kroner has been put aside to specifically target a reduction in waiting times for court dates, DR writes. The money is part of a larger amount, 185 million kroner, to be spent on the courts.

Denmark’s courts system has in recent years seen a rising number of criminal cases and lengthy processing times.

Broadband internet to get boost in rural spending

The “broadband fund” or bredbåndspulje will get an additional 100 million kroner to improve coverage in areas that still have patchy connection.

Another 100 million kroner will go into the landsbypulje or “Village Fund”, giving rural municipalities funding for demolition or renovation of deteriorated buildings.

Ukraine

A majority in parliament has already voted in favour of a seven-billion kroner fund in 2023 to help Ukraine defend itself against the Russian invasion.

The fund will be spent on Danish military, civilian and commercial assistance to Ukraine.

Part of the spending is funded by Denmark’s international development budget, while over 5 billion comes from spending an increased portion of the national GDP on the 2023 budget.

READ ALSO: Denmark announces seven-billion kroner Ukraine fund

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ECONOMY

Explained: Why Denmark’s economy is looking in such extremely good shape

Denmark's economy is growing faster than the government expected, inflation is falling faster, and employment is holding up better. We explain why the new economic forecast shows Denmark has achieved the softest of soft landings.

Explained: Why Denmark's economy is looking in such extremely good shape

 “When I stood here a year ago and presented my first financial statement, it was with a message that the Danish economy was heading for a soft landing. We have since been strengthened in that assessment,” Stephanie Lose, Denmark’s economy minister, said at a press conference announcing the government’s Økonomisk Redegørelse, or financial statement, for May. 

In the press statement, she said, “optimism is returning to the Danish economy”, with the economy likely to improve further in the coming year.

“We have carried out reforms that make Denmark richer and help to secure the necessary workforce for Danish companies,” she said. 

How has the government changed its growth forecasts? 

The government has increased its expectation for Denmark’s growth rate since its last statement in December, with it now expecting 2.7 percent growth in 2024, up from the1.4 percent it expected for the year in December. 

It has also upgraded its expectations for 2025, predicting growth of 1.8 percent compared to the 1 percent it expected back in December. 

Lose said that the pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk, which is expanding rapidly as a result of the success of its weight-loss drugs Ozempic and Wegovy, had driven much of Denmark’s recent growth, with the reopening of Denmark’s gas field, the Tyra field, would start to contribute to growth soon.

“In the past two years, the pharmaceutical industry in particular has driven growth in the Danish economy, while there has been stagnation or decline in large parts of the rest of the economy,” she said. “In the coming years, other industries again look set to contribute to growth. Added to this is the reopening of the Tyra field in the North Sea, which also contributes to growth in GDP.” 

What does the government expect to happen to inflation? 

Denmark’s inflation rate fell rapidly from a peak of over 10 percent in October 2022 to below 2 percent in September 2023, where it has stayed ever since. But Lose said she expected the rate to edge up over the coming years. 

“Inflation has fallen quickly and faster than expected,” Lose said. “In the new forecast, we expect inflation to rise in the coming months, as the prices of services and energy pull in the direction of slightly higher inflation.” 

What does the government expect to happen to employment? 

Thanks mainly to Novo Nordisk increasing staffing to manage the success of its new drugs, and the bounce back from the pandemic, employment has also held up better than expected.

Employment soared by some 160,000 people between 2021 and 2023, and the government now expects the number of employed people to grow by a further 13,000 in 2024 but to then fall by 18,000 in 2025. 

“Employment has long been at a sky-high level, so it is estimated that we will see some adjustment. But we do not expect an extensive setback, because the Danish economy stands on a rock-solid foundation,” Lose said.

What does the government expect to happen to housing prices? 

The government has significantly upgraded its expectations of what will happen to the price of domestic property this year. It now expects prices to increase by an average of 3.2 percent in 2024 and 3 percent in 2025, a rise of two percentage points on the 1.2 percent rise for 2024 it expected when it made its last forecast in December. 

This is due to the continued strong labour market, which has seen rising incomes and wage increases in Denmark as a result of new collective agreements, at the same time as Denmarks Nationalbank is expected to cut interest rates. 

This rise follows two consecutive years of falling real house prices in 2022 and 2023. 

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