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ELECTION

How can Sanchez avoid fresh elections in Spain?

Spain's caretaker prime minister has vowed not to "throw in the towel" after he lost a post-election vote of confidence in parliament on Thursday but his options to remain in power and avoid fresh elections are limited.

How can Sanchez avoid fresh elections in Spain?
Photo: AFP

His Socialists came first in a national poll in April with 123 parliamentary seats out of 350 and are the only ones capable of cobbling together a majority with the backing of other parties. But three months have passed since the election and he has yet to do it.

If a government is not formed by September 23, parliament will be automatically dissolved and fresh polls called in what would be Spain's fourth general election in as many years.

“I am not throwing in the towel. I am going to work so that we have a government as soon as possible,” Sanchez said in an interview with private television Telecinco after losing the confidence vote.

Sanchez repeats he is willing to govern alone in minority by negotiating support for legislation with other parties on a case by case basis, as he had done since coming to power in June 2018. No other party has agreed to this option.

He would first need to win a confidence vote in parliament, which would require him to convince either far-left Podemos or centre-right Ciudadanos to at least abstain from voting “in exchange for practically nothing” in return, said Lluis Orriols, political science professor at Madrid's Carlos III University. Orriols said this is unlikely to happen.

Sanchez also proposes to form a minority Socialist government with the backing of other smaller leftist parties once they have all agreed on a joint program, as in Portugal.

Portugal Prime Minister Antonio Costa has since 2015 headed a minority Socialist government backed by the Communist Party and the far-left Left Bloc.

Spain's Socialists and Podemos could agree on program since they have overlapping positions on many issues. But it is hard to see the far-left party accepting this option now after it came close to obtaining several cabinet posts in a coalition government with Sanchez.

The Socialists on Friday once again called on the conservative Popular Party (PP) and Ciudadanos to abstain in a confidence vote so that Sanchez can be voted in without the support of Catalan separatist parties. The rightist parties accuse him of cozying up to the separatists.

Deputy Prime Minister Carmen Calvo on Friday blamed the two parties for
“remaining with their arms crossed without assuming their responsibilities”.

But PP leader Pablo Casado refuses to give Sanchez a “blank cheque” and Ciudadanos leader Albert Rivera has refused to even meet with the Socialist leader.

After a 2016 general election, Sanchez and Rivera signed an agreement to form a government but then failed to gain the necessary support on a parliamentary confidence vote.

This time around the two parties together would have an absolute majority in parliament.

The Socialist leader could try again to form a coalition government with Podemos. But the two sides have accused each other of blocking negotiations before Thursday's failed confidence vote and mutual distrust is high.

“This has been rejected and it remains rejected,” Calvo said Friday, indicating Sanchez is in no rush to resume talks with his rival Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias.

Metroscopia analyst Francisco Camas told AFP this option would be difficult because the two parties “do not trust each other”.

If no candidate is sworn in by the September 23 deadline, new elections will be called for November 10.

This is the most likely outcome in the current political stalemate, with the risk that turnout will drop as frustrated voters stay away from the ballot box, Camas said.

As it is, Spaniards already see “politicians, parties and politics” as their biggest concern after unemployment, according to the latest poll by the state Centre for Sociological Studies.

READ ALSO: Pedro Sanchez loses confidence vote: Spain heading for ANOTHER election

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ELECTION

German Greens’ chancellor candidate Baerbock targeted by fake news

With Germany's Green party leading the polls ahead of September's general elections, the ecologists' would-be successor to Angela Merkel has become increasingly targeted by internet trolls and fake news in recent weeks.

German Greens' chancellor candidate Baerbock targeted by fake news
The Greens chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock on April 26th. Photo: DPA

From wild claims about CO2-emitting cats and dogs to George Soros photo collages, 40-year-old Annalena Baerbock has been the subject of a dizzying array of fake news, conspiracy theories and online attacks since she was announced as the Greens’ chancellor candidate in mid-April.

The latest polls have the Greens either ahead of or level with Merkel’s ruling conservatives, as the once fringe party further establishes itself as a leading electoral force in Europe’s biggest economy.

Baerbock herself also consistently polls higher than her conservative and centre-left rivals in the race to succeed Merkel, who will leave office after 16 years this autumn.

Yet her popularity has also brought about unwanted attention and a glut of fake news stories aimed at discrediting Baerbock as she bids to become Germany’s first Green chancellor.

READ ALSO:

False claims

Among the false stories circulating about Baerbock is the bizarre claim that she wants to ban household pets in order to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

Another fake story firmly denied by the party claimed that she defied rules on mask-wearing and social-distancing by embracing colleagues upon her nomination earlier this month.

Baerbock has also been presented as a “model student” of Hungarian billionaire George Soros – a hate figure for the European far-right and anti-Semitic conspiracy theorists – in a mocked-up social media graphic shared among others by a far-right MP.

More serious online attacks include a purported photo of Baerbock which in fact shows a similar-looking naked model.

The Greens’ campaign manager Michael Kellner said that the attempts to discredit Baerbock had “taken on a new dimension”, that “women are targeted more heavily by online attacks than men, and that is also true of our candidate”.

Greens co-leader Annalena Baerbock earlier this month. Photo: DPA

Other false claims about the party include reports of a proposed ban on barbecues, as well as plans to disarm the police and enforce the teaching of the Quran in schools.

While such reports are patently absurd, they are potentially damaging to Baerbock and her party as they bid to spring a surprise victory in September.

“She has a very real chance, but the coming weeks are going to be very important because Baerbock’s public image is still taking shape,” Thorsten Faas, a political scientist at Berlin’s Free University told AFP.

In a bid to fight back against the flood of false information, the party has launched a new “online fire service” to report fake news stories.

READ ALSO: Greens become ‘most popular political party’ in Germany

Russian disinformation

Yet stemming the tide is no easy job, with many of those who peddle disinformation now using private messaging services such as WhatsApp and Telegram rather than public platforms such as Facebook.

The pandemic and ongoing restrictions on public life will also make it harder for the campaign to push through their own narratives at public events.

Miro Dittrich of Germany’s Amadeu-Antonio anti-racism foundation claims that lockdown has “played a role” in the spread of fake news.

“People are isolated from their social environment and are spending a lot more time online,” he said.

Another factor is Russia, which has made Germany a primary target of its efforts to spread disinformation in Europe.

According to the European anti-disinformation platform EUvsDisinfo, Germany has been the target of 700 Russian disinformation cases since 2015, compared to 300 aimed at France and 170 at Italy.

As an outspoken critic of the controversial Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline between Germany and Russia, Baerbock may well become a target of such attacks during the election campaign.

By Mathieu FOULKES

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