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FLYING

‘Competition is fierce’: Another German budget airline goes down as sector struggles

Budget airline Germania has filed for bankruptcy, becoming the latest low-cost carrier to go under after the highly competitive industry suffered from rising fuel prices last year. We broke down some of the challenges facing low-cost airlines and asked if the industry can recover.

'Competition is fierce': Another German budget airline goes down as sector struggles
Germania planes in Nuremberg on Tuesday. Photo: DPA

The Berlin-based airline had filed for bankruptcy on Monday and ended flight operations Tuesday, resulting in all of its scheduled flights being cancelled.

The staff affected – around 1700 employees – will be paid wages until the end of March, DPA reported Tuesday.

Administrators estimate that 60,000 passengers will be affected by the suspension of Germania flight operations in the next two weeks.

Germania recommended passengers who booked as part of a package holiday to contact the tour operator for replacement flights. However, passengers who bought their ticket directly from the airline are not entitled to a replacement flight.

SEE ALSO: Flights cancelled as Germania airline files for bankruptcy

It's not the first airline to struggle in an industry full of challenges.

Nosedive

Almost 10 low-cost airlines collapsed in 2018, including Belgium's VLM Airlines, Denmark's Primera Air and Cyprus' Cobalt Air.

This year has not started much better with Germania, which transported more than four million passengers a year, not only filing for bankruptcy but cancelling all flights with immediate effect.

The airline, which flew mainly Mediterranean, North African and Middle Eastern holiday routes for German sun-seekers on package trips, said it “ultimately failed to successfully complete our financing efforts to meet short-term liquidity needs”.

Other ailing airlines have only narrowly escaped folding this year, such as the British Flybe, which a consortium led by Virgin Atlantic is bidding to buy for just one pence per share.

Even the Irish budget airline Ryanair — the industry leader — has felt the pressure, revealing on Monday it would restructure after a net loss of €20 million in the last three months of 2018, its first quarterly loss since 2014.

In 2017, meanwhile, Air Berlin, formerly Germany's second-largest airline, went bust in 2017 after shareholder Etihad Airways withdrew funding following years of losses.

'Unrestrained competition'

Competition is fierce for short-haul flights in Europe as airlines drop prices hoping to win over thrifty holiday seekers, pushing their profit margins lower.

The average cost of a Ryanair flight, for example, is now below €30.

Olivier Fainsilber, aviation analyst at consultancy Oliver Wyman, said it was a time of “unrestrained competition” after relatively low barriers allowed many new companies to enter the market.

“Economic Darwinism has always been strongly at work in the airline sector,” he said.

“To be successful you must be very efficient.”

Companies have also faced stiff competition from low-cost subsidiaries set up by big operators such as British Airways parent company IAG, which has also ventured into budget long-haul flights.

Sebastian Zank, an analyst at Scope Ratings, said Germania's collapse “shows again that to survive in Europe's crowded sector, carriers need to be niche players or have an extensive network as is the case with budget leader Ryanair and multi-brand operators like Lufthansa Group and IAG”.

“The marginalization of smaller airlines and more industry consolidation appear inevitable,” he added.

Oil slick

Surging oil prices have added to the industry's woes. At the height of the spike in July 2018, the price of an oil barrel nearly reached $75 — up from $50 at the same time the previous year.

“There will always be highs and lows, but it is when a period gets tense that we see who manages to hold on,” said Fainsilber.

“You need to have a little war chest.”

European airlines were also hit by a drop in the euro, which lost five percent against the dollar in 2018.

But the outlook for this year is not so bleak, with oil prices ebbing and passenger numbers expected to remain stable.

“There is also growth, it's just that the incline is not as steep as in the past,” said Fainsilber.

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TOURISM

EU authorises €4 billion bailout of Air France, despite Ryanair’s objections

The EU authorised the French government on Tuesday to double its stake in Air France and inject up to four billion euros into the struggling airline after the pandemic hit passenger traffic.

EU authorises €4 billion bailout of Air France, despite Ryanair's objections
Photo: Kenzo Tribaullard/AFP

The agreement follows weeks of negotiations with the EU commission, which must ensure that state aid does not give companies an unfair advantage.

Air France posted a €7.1 billion loss in 2020 as its business, like that of the rest of the world’s airlines, suffered from coronavirus restrictions which all but grounded global air traffic.

In return for its green light, the commission, which is the EU’s anti-trust regulator, said Air France would relinquish about 18 slots per day at Orly, Paris’ second-largest airport after Charles de Gaulle.

“This gives competing carriers the chance to expand their activities at this airport, ensuring fair prices and increased choice for European consumers,” EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager said.

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said the EU had also allowed the French state to raise its stake in Air France-KLM group to 30 percent, up from the current 14.3 percent.

The Netherlands’ flag-carrier KLM, which forms an alliance with Air France, will not benefit from the aid.

Nevertheless, the Dutch government welcomed the approval of additional aid.

In a joint statement Le Maire and his Dutch counterpart Wopke Hoekstra said a recapitalisation of KLM by the government of the Netherlands was being looked at.

The recapitalisation of Air France will take place by converting loans it received from the French state last year into perpetual hybrid Air France-KLM bonds that can be converted into equity.

Shares in Air France-KLM fell by 1.4 percent in Amsterdam and 1.6 percent in Paris, while both markets were trading higher.

Independent aviation analyst John Strickland told AFP that “competitors will not be happy and it is important to see that the proposed slot remedy at Orly has real meaning in terms of facilitating additional competing services.”

Rival airline Ryanair, whose criticism of state subsidy for legacy airlines often finds a sympathetic ear at the European Commission, has lambasted previous French aid for Air France, saying it distorts competition.

The Irish-based low-cost carrier has long railed against the support given to national champions, and is often backed by Brussels.

Ryanair — Europe’s biggest airline in terms of ridership — is also seeking to challenge Germany’s massive bailout of Lufthansa in the EU courts as well as schemes in Spain, the Netherlands, Denmark and Portugal.

The French and Dutch ministers defended their support for their airline group.

“The connectivity of France and the Netherlands is of great importance for both economies and therefore the recovery of the Air France – KLM Group is in the best interest of the two states,” they said in their statement.

They also noted that the airlines have restructured to shore up their financial positions and made commitments to accelerate their transition towards environmental sustainability.

“It’s not surprising to see further government investment in Air France but the key question is whether it will lead to attempts to impose political direction on the group’s management beyond their commercial objectives,” said Strickland.

The ministers said France does not intend to raise its stake in the group any higher and that there are no plans to nationalise the respective airlines.

European airlines are hoping vaccination campaigns will pick up pace to allow for a resumption of travel ahead of the summer vacation season, which is when they traditionally make most of their money, to help them recover financially.

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