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France trims down 2019 growth forecast

The French government has revised its growth forecast for 2019 downwards to 1.7 percent from 1.9 percent, Prime Minister Edouard Philippe told the Journal du Dimanche.

France trims down 2019 growth forecast
Prime Minister Edouard Philippe leaving his weekly meeting wat the Elysée palace. Photo: Geoffroy Van der Hasselt / AFP
“The growth forecast on which we will build this (2019) budget will be 1.7 percent,” he told the weekly in an interview, while promising to maintain “the pace”.
   
“When we came up with last year's budget, we projected 1.7 percent for 2018 and 2019,” he said. “We were criticised because we were too cautious, and today we're back to  that number. Predictions are important, but what matters is the policy that is being pursued, and we are staying the course and keeping up the pace.” 
   
On August 1, Budget Minister Gerald Darmanin also trimmed the growth forecast for 2018 from 2.0 percent, estimating that it would be “not less than 1.8 percent”. 
   
The government had lowered its forecast after a slowdown in the first half of the year, with the French economy expanding just 0.2 percent in the first and second quarters, compared with 0.7 percent growth in the last three months of the 2017.
   
Darmanin, however, had said the target of a 2.3 percent deficit for the current year would not be changed. But Philippe conceded that “if growth slows, there will inevitably be an impact”. 
   
“But that will not prevent us from being in line with our commitments,” to control public expenditure and debt, he said.
   
The prime minister also pointed out that 4,500 civil service positions would be eliminated in 2019, and more than 10,000 in 2020.
   
“For the state civil service, we will hold to the goal of the president of the republic to cut 50,000 posts by 2022,” he said.
   
During his election campaign, President Emmanuel Macron promised to cut a total of 120,000 civil service jobs during his five-year term, including 50,000 from the central government.

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ECONOMY

Sweden boosts spending on civil defence in spring budget

Sweden is to channel a further 800 million kronor to local government and other organisations to bolster Sweden's civil defence capabilities, the country's finance minister has announced.

Sweden boosts spending on civil defence in spring budget

The new funding, which will go to municipalities, regional government, and other organisations, was announced of part of the country’s spring budget, announced on Tuesday. 

“This will strengthen our ability to resist in both war and peace,” Sweden’s finance minister, Mikael Damberg, said in a press conference. “If the worst happens, it’s important that there is physical protection for the population.” 

The government is channelling 91m kronor towards renovating Sweden’s 65,000 bomb shelters, and will also fund the repair the country’s network of emergency sirens, known as Hesa Fredrik, or Hoarse Fredrik, many of which are currently out of order. 

A bomb shelter in Stockholm. Sweden’s government is spending 800m kronor in its spring budget to boost civil defence. Photo: Anders Wiklund/ TT

Sweden’s Social Democrats are currently ruling on the alternative budget put together by the right-wing opposition, making this spring budget, which makes changes to the autumn budget, unusually important. 

The budget includes extra spending of some 31.4 billion kronor (€299m), with 500m kronor going to extra spending on healthcare,  and 10.3 billion kronor going towards supporting Ukrainian refugees, of which nine billion will come from the aid budget. 

The spring budget also includes the so called “pension guarantee bonus”, or garantitillägg, which will see four billion kronor (€390m) going to those with the lowest pensions. 

The bonus, which was the price the Left Party demanded for letting Magdalena Andersson take her place as prime minister, risks being voted down by the right-wing parties in the parliament. 

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