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WEATHER

Snow in early November. Will this winter be ice cold?

With 20cm of snow already lying on the ground in parts of northern Germany, winter has bitten early. But meteorologists say it probably won't last.

Snow in early November. Will this winter be ice cold?
The Hamburg television tower on November 10th. Photo: DPA

In Lower Saxony and along the Baltic coast, 20cm of snow has fallen in recent days, with temperatures plummeting to -16C overnight on Wednesday.

Andreas Friedrich, spokesperson for the German Weather Service (DWD), says that snowfall so early in the lower regions of Germany is unusual.

While in the Alpine regions it is normal to see snowfall earlier in November “in the low-lying plains the snow usually comes at the end of the month,” he says.

“What we have seen in Lower Saxony, where huge amounts of snow have fallen, is very unusual for November and happens at most once every ten years.”

But Friedrich cautions that a cold November does not say anything about how the rest of the winter will pan out.

He explains that the DWD uses modelling systems to work out weather trends for the upcoming seasons.

“With these we can see whether it is statistically likely that the season will be warmer or colder in comparison with the previous 30 years,” Friedrich says, adding that winter 2016-17 is expected to be somewhat mild in historical comparison.

“But this is a statement which has only a very limited use to the wider public. You can’t tell from this assessment when in the winter it will turn cold. With a long-term forecast, you can’t plan anything exactly.”

As for whether we are likely to have a white Christmas in the Bundesrepublik, the weatherman says that it is way too early to tell.

“It feels like I start hearing this question in September every year!” he says. “At the very earliest we will be able to give an assessment in the middle of December on whether snow is likely over the festive period.”

But even then, the sky readers are only right 65 to 75 percent of the time.

“If the weather conditions are very difficult, it is often only possible to tell one or two days beforehand whether fresh snow will fall on Christmas,” says Friedrich.

“Particularly in the chaotic weather system of central Europe, it is very hard to read the tea leaves.”

The weatherman has his own suggestion for those who want a guarantee of a white Christmas.

“On Zugspitze [Germany’s highest mountain] there had been snow on the 3,000-metre summit since we have started recording it. Whoever simply must have snow on Christmas should head for Zugspitze or other Alpine peaks over 2,000 metres.”

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WEATHER

More rain forecast as storms hit western Germany

Severe storms and heavy rain affected parts of Germany on Thursday, creating disruptions. More rain is forecast on Friday but weather warnings have been lifted.

More rain forecast as storms hit western Germany

Major storms hit western Germany on Thursday, causing travel disruption and flooding. 

In parts of Baden-Württemberg, streets were flooded and rivers swelled. Bisingen, southwest of Tübingen, was particularly hard hit, with cellars and streets plunged under water.

Police said there was also traffic disruption. In Baden-Württemberg’s state capital Stuttgart, severe storms and lightning caused issues and some roads were closed.

A lightning strike in the Sigmaringen area resulted in a broken signal box on the railway line. According to Deutsche Bahn, no train journeys were possible in the region in the early evening with several delays and cancellations.

Other states were also affected.

There were around 300 relief operations in the Ahrweiler district in Rhineland-Palatinate, which was hit by the 2021 deadly flood disaster.

Police said no-on was injured, although basements and streets were flooded. The water levels of the Ahr were being closely monitored.

Emergency services in Bisingen on Thursday.

Emergency services in Bisingen on Thursday. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Silas Stein

In Trier, too, streets were flooded after heavy rain and there were hailstorms. The Koblenz police headquarters reported fallen trees. Significant property damage due to full cellars and flooded streets was also reported in some areas. 

Heavy showers also fell in Hesse, accompanied by thunder storms. In Frankfurt, according to the fire department, the heavy rain caused water to enter the Bethanien Hospital and even reach the intensive care unit of the clinic.

“We were able to contain the damage relatively quickly and prevent it from spreading,” said fire department spokesman Thorben Schemmel, adding that no patients were affected.

In Rhineland-Palatinate, the Eifel region was particularly affected, with reports of flooded streets after heavy rain and hailstorms.

North Rhine-Westphalia also saw storms late in the afternoon on Thursday. 

The German Weather Service (DWD) said it expected some heavy rain and hail in parts of the country on Friday – particularly in the west – and at the weekend but warnings of severe weather have been lifted. 

The DWD said there could still be one or two strong thunderstorms in the northeast on Friday. However, it will be a significantly quieter day compared to Thursday. Temperatures of up to 25C can be expected.

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