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Norway rates hit record low as oil slumps

Norway's central bank has cut its main interest rate to a record low of 0.75% on fears that falling oil prices will hit the economy hard.

Norway rates hit record low as oil slumps
Norges Bank governor Øystein Olsen explains the drop in rate on Thursday. Photo: Terje Bendiksby / NTB scanpix

Norges Bank slashed 25 basis points from its overnight deposit rate, the amount banks earn by leaving their cash with the central bank, hoping to cushion the economy in the face of fast-slowing growth. 

“It is a new era for the Norwegian economy. We are no longer in a league of our own,” Øystein Olsen, the bank's governor, said in a press conference following the announcement. 

In its statement announcing the move, the bank said it now believed that Norway was about to go into a longer period of slow growth than it had previously believed. 

“Growth in the Norwegian economy is likely to remain low for a longer period than projected earlier owing to the fall in oil prices through summer,” it said. “Oil investment is expected to fall to a further extent than projected [at our previous meeting] in June and lower demand for goods and services from the petroleum sector will reduce activity in other parts of the economy.” 

The bank warned that it may have to again lower interest rates further in the coming year, raising the prospect of negative rates like those in neighbouring Sweden and Denmark. 
 
“I had expected a cut in interest rates, but not until November,” Øystein Dørum of DNB Markets told Norway's NRK broadcaster. “I am surprised that they chose to react now, as the krone is very weak, the unemployment rate has not increased, and property prices and credit markets show growth.” 
 
“There is little doubt that the central bank is nervous or scared of a much weaker development in Norwegian economy,” he added. 
 
The Norwegian krone fell 2.3 percent on the news, falling below the Swedish krona to its lowest level since December.
 
“Unexpected. Panic mode,” Aurelija Augulyte at Nordea Bank told the UK's Financial Times newspaper. Worst yet, they indicate a 0 per cent rate is possible if financial stability concerns are ignored. What then — QE? The dovish bias is clearly impacted by the Fed and China’s recent data,” 
 
 

 

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Norway central bank cuts rates to lowest level in 200 years

Norway's central bank cut its key policy rate to the lowest level in its 200-year history on Friday, to help balance the double blow of the coronavirus crisis and an oil price slump.

Norway central bank cuts rates to lowest level in 200 years
Norges Bank governor Øystein Olsen announcing the first rate cut on March 13. Photo: Norges/screenshot
The bank on Friday morning announced that it would cut the policy rate by 0.75 percentage points to 0.25 percent, one notch before the previous historic low of 0.5 percent. 
 
In an interview with Norway's state broadcaster NRK, Norges Bank governor Øystein Olsen said that the cut would not be enough on its own to protect the economy. 
 
“But it can help to offset some of the impact,” he said. “In particular, it will make it easier for households and companies that have debt to handle that debt in a very difficult time.” 
 
He said that further cuts may be necessary. “I do not exclude further interest rate reductions if the situation requires it.”
 
The Norwegian Krone has plunged more than a fifth against the dollar so far this month. 
 
 
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