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SPRING BUDGET

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Budget marks return to 1990s social democracy

UPDATED: Prime Minister Stefan Löfven's centre-left coalition government's spring budget spells a return to the traditional social democratic welfare politics Sweden is known for abroad.

Budget marks return to 1990s social democracy
Prime Minister Stefan Löfven in parliament on Wednesday. Photo: TT

Sweden's Finance Minister Magdalena Andersson presented the Social Democrat-Green coalition government's budget proposal at a press conference on Wednesday morning, laying the focus on jobs, education, sustainable development and welfare politics. No surprises there, Social Democratic politics professor Ulf Bjereld, based at Gothenburg University, told The Local after the announcement.

“There were not really any surprises there. Nowadays most of the proposals get revealed one at a time in advance to get maximum media coverage, so all the relevant points were already known before today. Possibly it came as a bit of a surprise that the government has boosted its growth forecast, but that's a minor detail,” he said.

The government estimates that Sweden's GDP will grow by 2.6 percent in 2015, up from its previous prognosis of 2.4 in January earlier this year. Although unemployment is expected to remain high, the government has revised its January forecast from 7.7 percent to 7.5 percent.

The supplementary spring budget, which is designed to reverse some of the policies the Löfven government pledged to follow in its controversial December Agreement with Sweden's centre-right Alliance parties, includes reforms amounting to eight billion kronor ($908 million).

“If you want to summarize it, it's a fairly traditional Social Democratic – and of course now Green as well – budget where you care for the welfare, by raising for example the cap on unemployment benefits and employing more workers in the elderly care sector. It's a symbolic 'reset budget' to bring back the social safety net of the last century,” said Bjereld.

Some of the more expensive reforms are more workers in the elderly care sector (one billion kronor), creating 6,500 new places in higher education and adult training (610 million kronor), railway maintenance (620 million kronor) and raised unemployment benefits (880 million kronor). The budget also includes raised child support to 1 573 kronor per child.

READ MORE: Why Sweden is top in the world for expat families

But the supplementary spring budget was sharply criticized by most of Sweden's opposition parties on Wednesday.

“The correct headline for the budget that has today been put to parliament is a 'betrayal of jobs',” the centre-right Liberal Party's financial spokesman Erik Ullenhag told reporters.

“Instead of structural reforms we're seeing historically great tax rises,” he said and added that the raised taxes are the highest in Sweden in 20 years' time.

Christian Democrat politician James Forssmed described the new financial plan as a "breach of faith budget".

"The government policy will slow the growth of new jobs," added Ulf Krister Andersson from former Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt's Moderate Party.

The nationalist Sweden Democrats and the Centre Party were also quick to voice their concerns.


The Liberal Party's Erik Ullenhag comments the government's budget. Photo: Pontus Lundahl / TT

But the Left Party largely welcomed the government's budget proposal.

“It feels like Borg's [finance minister during the previous Alliance government] bitterly cold winter is finally over. A state budget should mirror the kind of society we want. That's why it's been so important to us to have more resources put into welfare,” said financial spokeswoman Ulla Andersson.

Löfven's Social Democrats formed a coalition with Sweden's Green Party after the general election in September 2014. But a political crisis was sparked when a budget put forward by the Alliance to rival the new government's (as is customary in Swedish politics) ended up getting more support than the coalition's offering, because it was also backed by the nationalist Sweden Democrats, who are kingmakers in the Swedish parliament.

READ MORE: Five consequences of Sweden's cancelled vote

Both the centre-right Alliance parties, the Social Democrats and the Greens struck a deal to ensure a similar problem would not happen again, titled the December Agreement. This included deciding that the current coalition should follow the Alliance's financial plan until it is free to present its own budget again next autumn, but also that the main opposition parties will let the government's budget through in the future.

The four Alliance parties were on Wednesday set to present their own, separate budget proposals instead of putting forward a common one, meaning that even if all parties vote for their own plans, the government's budget will still achieve a majority in parliament.

“The supplementary budget will go through, but the measures are still very small compared to the autumn budget, which will apply until the government can put forward its own budget next autumn. What's interesting is that it has marked the direction it wants to take in coming years,” said Bjereld.

POLITICS

Social Democrat leader backs Sweden’s harsh new immigration policies

The leader of Sweden's Social Democrat opposition has backed the harsh new policies on crime and immigration included in the new government's programme, and even signalled openness to the much-criticised begging ban.

Social Democrat leader backs Sweden's harsh new immigration policies

In an interview with the Expressen newspaper, Magdalena Andersson said her party was absolutely agreed on the need for a stricter immigration policy for Sweden, going so far as to take credit for the Social Democrats for the illiberal shift. 

“There is absolutely no question that need a strict set of migration laws,” she told the Expressen newspaper, rejecting the claims of Sweden Democrat Jimmie Åkesson that the government’s new program represented a “paradigm shift in migration policy”. 

“The paradigm shift happened in 2015, and it was us who carried it out,” she said. “The big rearrangement of migration policy was carried out by us Social Democrats after the refugee crisis of 2015, with a thoroughgoing tightening up of the policy.” 

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She said that her party would wait and see what “concrete proposals” the new government ended up making, but she said the Social Democrats were not in principle against even the new government’s most criticised proposal: to slash the number of UN quota refugees from around 5,000 to 900. 

“That’s something we are going to look at,” she said. “It’s been at different levels at different points of time in Sweden.” 

Rather than criticise the new government for being too extreme on migration, Andersson even attacked it for not being willing to go far enough. 

The Social Democrats’ plan to tighten up labour market migration by bringing back the system of labour market testing, she said, was stricter than the plan to increase the salary threshold proposed by Ulf Kristersson’s new government.  

When it comes to the new government’s plans to bring in much tougher punishments for a string of crimes, Andersson criticised the new government for not moving fast enough. 

“What I think is important here is that there are a completed proposals for new laws already on the table which need to be put into effect,” she said. 

She also said she was not opposed to plans for a national ban on begging. 

“We Social Democrats believe that people should have the possibility to get educated, and work so they can support themselves,” she said. “That’s something we’ve believed in all along. You shouldn’t need to stand there holding your cap in your hand.” 

“It’s already possible to bring in a ban in certain municipalities today,” she continued. “So the question is really whether this should be regulated at a national or a local level. We did not decide at out national congress that it should be regulated at a national level, but when the inquiry publishes its conclusions, we will assess the advantages and disadvantages and decide on whether we will keep our position or change.” 

Where she was critical of the new government was in its failure to discuss how it would increase the budgets for municipalities and regional governments, who she said face being forced to drive through savage cuts in real spending to schools, healthcare and elderly care if they were not prioritised in the coming budget. 

“But that’s such a tiny part of this slottsavtal (“Mansion agreement”), and the government’s policy programme suggests they’ve missed something that should really be in focus for the government,” she said, warning that citizens should be braced for dramatic fall in the quality of welfare in the coming years. 

She said her party would also campaign against the new government’s plans to scrap Sweden’s goal of spending one percent of GDP on aid, and also against the new government’s plans to make it harder to build wind energy projects. 

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