SHARE
COPY LINK
GERMAN ELECTION 2013

POLITICS

Merkel and SPD agree on coalition talks

Chancellor Angela Merkel and her defeated election rivals the Social Democrats agreed on Thursday afternoon to launch formal talks aimed at building a left-right "grand coalition" government, according to media reports.

Merkel and SPD agree on coalition talks
Photo: DPA

Almost a month after the elections, the leaders of Merkel’s CDU, her Bavarian allies the CSU and the centre-left party the SPD, struck the agreement in their third round of exploratory talks, the Bild newspaper and national news agency DPA said, citing delegation sources.

Merkel’s conservative bloc comfortably won the elections on September 22nd but fell just short of a majority meaning they need to find an ally to govern with.

Their previous coalition partner, the Free Democrats (FDP), failed to get five percent of the vote needed to return to parliament.

That left Merkel with the choice of either forming a “grand coalition” with Germany’s second biggest party, the SPD or teaming up with the Green Party.

Exploratory talks between the conservatives and Greens broke down on Tuesday night, leaving the path open for a “grand coalition”.

But the SPD will be seeking every advantage it can from Merkel before officially forming a new government. Its last taste of coalition with the chancellor from 2005 to 2009 left it trailing in the polls.

A minimum wage?

The Social Democrats have made introducing a nationwide minimum wage of €8.50 an hour one of the cornerstones of any coalition agreement.

Merkel says this would cost jobs and favours traditional negotiations between employers and unions that work out different wage deals by industrial sector and geographic region.

CSU chief Horst Seehofer has declared he may accept a minimum wage in return for no tax rises.

A compromise could be an in-principle agreement on a minimum wage, but with the level determined by a committee of unions and employers.

The SPD also wants to open more child-care centres to help working families and rejects as outdated and sexist a state benefit critics call the “stove bonus”, for parents who care for toddlers at home. But the programme is a flagship policy of Bavaria’s CSU, which wants to keep it.

The Social Democrats have also called for equal tax and adoption rights for same-sex couples and a women’s quota in corporate boardrooms.

Seehofer signalled he may soften his opposition to another SPD demand – allowing dual citizenship. This would especially help the children of millions of Turkish and other immigrants who must now decide when they reach adulthood whether to take German or their ancestral citizenship.

Where to compromise?

The ideological and policy differences between the parties which stand in the way of any coalition agreement, will force both sides to haggle and hammer out compromises.

To fund badly needed investment in infrastructure, education and welfare, the SPD says €80 billion must be spent per year, which it wants to finance with higher taxes for the rich.

Conservatives have pledged to resist this at a time of record-high tax revenues and say there is enough money in the public purse to finance state

outlays.

SPD leader Sigmar Gabriel has said that a tax rise is “not an end in itself” if other solutions can be found.

The CSU, against CDU opposition, also wants to introduce highway tolls for foreign motorists.

But on foreign and eurozone policy, the big parties are much closer, and the SPD in opposition supported all of Merkel’s major policy moves to combat the eurozone debt and economic crisis.

The SPD’s chancellor candidate Peer Steinbrück has called for greater solidarity with crisis-hit countries where youth unemployment has soared, and recalled that after World War Two Germany received aid and debt forgiveness from its former foes.

However, on concrete measures, the parties basically agree to keep supporting recession-hit countries in return for economic reforms and to

consent to a third bailout plan for Greece.

On Germany’s ambitious energy transition away from nuclear power and toward renewables such as wind and solar, both sides agree that clean energy subsidies must be reduced to lower consumer electricity bills and have stayed sufficiently vague on details to leave the door open to compromise.

READ MORE: CDU softens stance on tax hikes in ally search

AFP/The Local/tsb

Follow us on Twitter @thelocalgermany

Like The Local Germany on Facebook

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.

ECONOMY

‘Turning point’: Is Germany’s ailing economy on the road to recovery?

The German government slightly increased its 2024 growth forecast Wednesday, saying there were signs Europe's beleaguered top economy was at a "turning point" after battling through a period of weakness.

'Turning point': Is Germany's ailing economy on the road to recovery?

Output is expected to expand 0.3 percent this year, the economy ministry said, up from a prediction of 0.2 percent in February.

The slightly rosier picture comes after improvements in key indicators — from factory output to business activity — boosted hopes a recovery may be getting under way.

The German economy shrank slightly last year, hit by soaring inflation, a manufacturing slowdown and weakness in trading partners, and has acted as a major drag on the 20-nation eurozone.

But releasing its latest projections, the economy ministry said in a statement there were growing indications of a “turning point”.

“Signs of an economic upturn have increased significantly, especially in recent weeks,” Economy Minister Robert Habeck said at a press conference.

The ministry also cut its forecast for inflation this year to 2.4 percent, from a previous prediction of 2.8 percent, and sees the figure falling below two percent next year.

READ ALSO: Can Germany revive its struggling economy?

“The fall in inflation will lead to consumer demand — people have more money in their wallets again, and will spend this money,” said Habeck.

“So purchasing power is increasing, real wages are rising and this will contribute to a domestic economic recovery.”

Energy prices — which surged after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine — had also fallen and supply chain woes had eased, he added.

Several months ago there had been expectations of a strong rebound in 2024, with forecasts of growth above one percent, but these were dialled back at the start of the year as the economy continued to languish.

‘Germany has fallen behind’

But improving signs have fuelled hopes the lumbering economy — while not about to break into a sprint — may at least be getting back on its feet.

On Wednesday a closely-watched survey from the Ifo institute showed business sentiment rising for a third consecutive month in April, and more strongly than expected.

A key purchasing managers’ index survey this week showed that business activity in Germany had picked up.

And last week the central bank, the Bundesbank, forecast the economy would expand slightly in the first quarter, dodging a recession, after earlier predicting a contraction.

German Economics Minister Robert Habeck

Economics Minister Robert Habeck (Greens) presents the latest economic forecasts at a press conference in Berlin on Wednesday, April 24th. Photo: picture alliance/dpa | Michael Kappeler

Despite the economy’s improving prospects, growth of 0.3 percent is still slower than other developed economies and below past rates, and officials fret it is unlikely to pick up fast in the years ahead.

Habeck has repeatedly stressed solutions are needed for deep-rooted problems facing Germany, from an ageing population to labour shortages and a transition towards greener industries that is moving too slowly.

“Germany has fallen behind other countries in terms of competitiveness,” he said. “We still have a lot to do — we have to roll up our sleeves.”

READ ALSO: Which German companies are planning to cut jobs?

Already facing turbulence from pandemic-related supply chain woes, the German economy’s problems deepened dramatically when Russia invaded Ukraine and slashed supplies of gas, hitting the country’s crucial manufacturers hard.

While the energy shock has faded, continued weakness in trading partners such as China, widespread strikes in recent months and higher eurozone interest rates have all prolonged the pain.

The European Central Bank has signalled it could start cutting borrowing costs in June, which would boost the eurozone.

But Habeck stressed that care was still needed as, despite the expectations of imminent easing, “tight monetary policy has not yet been lifted.”

In addition, disagreements in Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s three-party ruling coalition are hindering efforts to reignite growth, critics say.

This week the pro-business FDP party, a coalition partner, faced an angry backlash from Scholz’s SPD when it presented a 12-point plan for an “economic turnaround”, including deep cuts to state benefits.

Christian Lindner, the fiscally hawkish FDP finance minister, welcomed signs of “stabilisation” in the economic forecasts but stressed that projected medium-term growth was “too low to sustainably finance our state”.

“There are no arguments for postponing the economic turnaround,” he added.

SHOW COMMENTS