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POPULATION

Wealthy Bavaria gets €227 mln state payback

Germany's wealthiest state Bavaria is gaining millions in a federal funding after census results showed more people lived down south than previously thought, the business daily Handelsblatt reported on Wednesday.

Wealthy Bavaria gets €227 mln state payback
Photo: DPA

Ironically enough, Bavaria has led a recent campaign to kill off the system of Länderfinanzausgleich– state financial equalization – which redistributes some state tax revenue to smooth out differences between the nation’s richer and poorer states.

Over the last few years, this has led to millions being shifted northwards to poor states such as Berlin. But the redistribution depends on population, and new figures have changed the picture.

The 2011 census numbers show there’s been a considerably larger drop in the population of some states than others. As a result, states with much lower populations than expected are being asked to pay back money, while those with smaller relative losses – or even slight increases – are set to make monetary gains.

The money to be paid back relates to 2011 and 2012, while the 2013 funds are being allocated in line with the new population figures.

The biggest winner is Bavaria, long-term critic of the policy of state financial equalization, which is to get back €227 million, Rhineland-Palatinate (€203 million) and North Rhine-Westphalia (€130 million).

Berlin city state, on the other hand, will have to pay back €450 million, Baden-Württemberg €167 million, Hamburg €118 million and Saxony €9 million. All other states will receive more modest two-figure million sums back.

The Local/kkf

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POPULATION

Denmark expects twice as many people over 80 years old in 2050

More than twice as many people in Denmark will be over 80 years old in 2050 compared to the number of senior citizens in the country today.

Denmark expects twice as many people over 80 years old in 2050
By 2050, a much larger proportion of Denmark's population will be over 80 years old. File photo: Henning Bagger/Ritzau Scanpix

A new population projection from national agency Statistics Denmark predicts 431,000 people of the age of 80 in Denmark in 2030.

That will increase to 617,000 by 2050, around 10 percent of the population.

Today, Denmark has around 282,000 over-80s in its population, which is around 5 percent of the population.

A large increase in the number of elderly persons is expected to present Denmark’s social welfare system with economic challenges, with larger numbers likely to need care and practical help.

In its report, Statistics Denmark writes that the “greatest (population) growth going forward is expected to take place amongst the oldest age groups”.

Other age groups are not expected to greatly change their proportion of the population during the period covered by the projection, the agency writes.

The overall population is expected to grow by 0.4 percent by 2028. After that, growth will plateau, giving a growth of 0.12 percent in 2050. It is then forecast to increase again, reaching 0.2 percent in 2060.

Major factors affecting the population size – birth rates, death rates and immigration – are all predicted to vary at different times throughout the period.

But Statistics Denmark writes that it expects a deficit in the number of births between 2044 and 2053.

The 2021 projection does not take into account the potential long-term impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the population. That is because “no sufficient basis of knowledge and experience is yet available,” the statistics bureau writes.

However, the agency noted that the biggest impact of the pandemic on population size in 2020 was its restrictive effect on immigration and emigration.

READ ALSO: Denmark’s immigration and emigration is mostly to and from Western countries

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