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MOODY'S

Moody’s says Swedish banks are stable

Rating agency Moody’s revised its negative view of Swedish banks on Monday, citing low interest rates and Swedish households’ economic resilience.

Moody's says Swedish banks are stable

The agency changed its assessment from “negative” to “stable”, a week after another key ratings agency, Standard & Poors, downgraded its assessment of Sweden’s banking system.

Moody’s based its more optimistic view partly on Swedes’ keeping up with interest rate payments on their mortgages.

“Problem loan levels remain well below those of other systems,” Moody’s said in a statement.

“We expect loan-repayment capabilities will continue to be supported by low interest rates and households’ resilient financial profiles.”

Moody’s predicts that GDP growth will slow down, but remain stronger than growth in many of Sweden’s European neighbours.

Sweden still appears relatively unscathed despite its trade ties with the continent.

“While Sweden’s relatively open economy is not fully immune to the ongoing downturn in the European economy… the Swedish economy has out-performed most euro area economies, partly insulating Swedish banks from the ongoing euro area debt crisis,” Moody’s noted.

However, Moody’s also highlighted Swedish banks’ reliance on market funding as “key system vulnerability”, explaining that it renders them “vulnerable to swings in investor and market sentiment”.

Moody’s revised rating comes the same day that Sweden’s Financial Inspectorate (Finansinspektionen, FI) proposed tripling the reserves banks must set aside to protect against losses from mortgage defaults.

“The forthcoming requirements will bring about a more stable financial system which will in turn generate positive effects on the economy,” the agency wrote in a statement.

FI also signalled its intent to introduce a risk weight floor of 15 percent for Swedish mortgages as a part of the agency’s overall capital assessment of firms within the so-called Pillar 2 of the Basel II banking accords.

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ECONOMY

Salvini dismisses Italy’s ratings downgrade, says outlook ‘stable’

Interior Minister Matteo Salvini on Saturday dismissed ratings agency Moody's decision to downgrade Italy's credit standing because of the government's controversial budget plans and said the country's outlook was "stable."

Salvini dismisses Italy's ratings downgrade, says outlook 'stable'
Matteo Salvini earlier this month at the headquarters of the General Union of Labor trade union in Rome. Photo: Tiziana Fabi / AFP
The current administration will “keep going for five years, despite the “ratings agencies and European Commissioners,” Salvini told reporters.
 
“We are here to solve the problems of the Italians, not bring down the government or let ourselves be intimidated by the ratings agencies, which have made glaring mistakes in the past — and which are wrong again this time,” he said.
 
“Italy is a solid country, its outlook is stable, the experts tell me that is what counts,” Salvini added.
 
On Friday, Moody's cut Italy's credit rating by a notch from “Baa2” to “Baa3”. It cited concerns about Italy's plans for larger deficits and the high public debt load as the country's populist government clashes with Brussels over its budget.
 
Late Thursday, the European Commission formally warned Italy that its budget 2019 plans were a serious concern, calling for “clarifications” by Monday noon.
 
 
The coalition government of Salvini's far-right League party and the Five Star movement (M5S) was to meet Saturday to discuss its budget. At the heart of the concerns is Italy's public debt, which amounts to 2.3 trillion euros, or 131 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). That is the highest rate in the eurozone after Greece.
 
Brussels has demanded Italy cut spending and reduce its public deficit in order to pare down its debt pile.