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BUSINESS

Wage worries feed German consumer jitters

German consumers are beginning to feel the pinch, a poll showed on Tuesday - the second danger sign for Europe's top economy in two days, after a surprise slump in business monthly confidence ratings.

Wage worries feed German consumer jitters
Photo: DPA

Consumer confidence in Germany is stagnating, market research company GfK said, hard on the heels of data showing the eurozone crisis had pushed down business confidence, setting off recession warning bells.

While the eurozone debt crisis has brought Greece to its knees and caused Spain, its fourth-largest economy, to wobble, Germany has until recently weathered the turbulence relatively unscathed.

But consumers in Europe’s powerhouse appeared cautious. GfK said in a statement that its household confidence index was forecast to remain at 5.9 points in October, the same level as September.

While consumers’ willingness to spend, and their assessment of the economic situation had improved, they expected their own personal income situation to worsen over the coming months, the GfK said.

The headline consumer confidence ranking is based on responses from about 2,000 households on their expectations about pay and the economy as a whole in the coming months, as well as their willingness to spend money.

On Monday, economists warned that Germany was headed for recession after the eurozone crisis pushed down business confidence in the country to the lowest level since February 2010.

The Ifo economic institute said its closely watched survey of the business climate in Germany dropped unexpectedly in September for the fifth month running to 101.4 points from 102.3 points in August.

Jennifer McKeown, an analyst at Capital Economics, said the data was a reminder that even the eurozone’s strongest economies were suffering, which could in turn hit their ability to help weaker neighbours.

“It seems like only a matter of time before the economy starts to contract. This will make support for the peripheral economies even more difficult to muster,” she said.

Germany has relied on its powerful export motor to keep the economy humming through the nearly three-year crisis in the 17-country bloc, notching up modest growth of 0.3 percent in the second quarter while the eurozone as a whole contracted by 0.2 percent.

But new car registrations, a key indicator of demand in Germany, tumbled sharply in August. Retail sales figures also declined and unemployment is starting to rise.

The head of the Federation of German Industry (BDI), Hans Peter Keitel, warned the government on Tuesday against putting further stresses on the economy – citing rising energy costs and the push for a transaction tax as just some of the burdens that threaten to put the brakes on economic growth.

For some firms, mounting cost pressure is already being passed on to the consumer. German national rail service Deutsche Bahn announced Tuesday that it will raise prices for passengers by nearly 3 percent starting December 9, due to higher fuel prices.

AFP/DAPD/The Local/arp

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ENVIRONMENT

Sweden’s SSAB to build €4.5bn green steel plant in Luleå 

The Swedish steel giant SSAB has announced plans to build a new steel plant in Luleå for 52 billion kronor (€4.5 billion), with the new plant expected to produce 2.5 million tons of steel a year from 2028.

Sweden's SSAB to build €4.5bn green steel plant in Luleå 

“The transformation of Luleå is a major step on our journey to fossil-free steel production,” the company’s chief executive, Martin Lindqvist, said in a press release. “We will remove seven percent of Sweden’s carbon dioxide emissions, strengthen our competitiveness and secure jobs with the most cost-effective and sustainable sheet metal production in Europe.”

The new mini-mill, which is expected to start production at the end of 2028 and to hit full capacity in 2029, will include two electric arc furnaces, advanced secondary metallurgy, a direct strip rolling mill to produce SSABs specialty products, and a cold rolling complex to develop premium products for the transport industry.

It will be fed partly from hydrogen reduced iron ore produced at the HYBRIT joint venture in Gälliväre and partly with scrap steel. The company hopes to receive its environemntal permits by the end of 2024.

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The announcement comes just one week after SSAB revealed that it was seeking $500m in funding from the US government to develop a second HYBRIT manufacturing facility, using green hydrogen instead of fossil fuels to produce direct reduced iron and steel.

The company said it also hoped to expand capacity at SSAB’s steel mill in Montpelier, Iowa. 

The two new investment announcements strengthen the company’s claim to be the global pioneer in fossil-free steel.

It produced the world’s first sponge iron made with hydrogen instead of coke at its Hybrit pilot plant in Luleå in 2021. Gälliväre was chosen that same year as the site for the world’s first industrial scale plant using the technology. 

In 2023, SSAB announced it would transform its steel mill in Oxelösund to fossil-free production.

The company’s Raahe mill in Finland, which currently has new most advanced equipment, will be the last of the company’s big plants to shift away from blast furnaces. 

The steel industry currently produces 7 percent of the world’s carbon dioxide emissions, and shifting to hydrogen reduced steel and closing blast furnaces will reduce Sweden’s carbon emissions by 10 per cent and Finland’s by 7 per cent.

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