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THE LOCAL'S MEDIA ROUNDUP

SPAIN

The Spanish bailout: fire fighting or faith-healing?

The Spanish government agreed a €100 billion eurozone bank bailout over the weekend. The Local’s media roundup looks at how newspapers interpreted the move - and its possible consequences for German taxpayers.

The Spanish bailout: fire fighting or faith-healing?
Photo: DPA

Germany’s key financial policy-makers reacted positively to the news. In a statement, German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble said: “I welcome the Spanish government’s determination to recapitalize the banks via the European rescue funds with corresponding conditions.”

German central bank chief Jens Weidmann told public television station ARD, “I am confident in the Spanish government, which has already begun undertaking full measures in the labour market.”

The financial markets also seemed to welcome the decision, with the Dax in Frankfurt rising 2.2 percent on Monday morning.

But in the German media, the news has enjoyed a far more critical reception. Many newspapers were quick to dampen the optimism by warning of tough tests ahead.

The Düsseldorf-based financial newspaper the Handelsblatt said the eurozone should be braced for “further shockwaves.”

The paper identified next week’s Greek elections as a “severe test” and warned that a eurozone meeting at the end of the month had to come up with “concrete solutions towards a fiscal union” – otherwise the doors of the financial markets could slam shut on Spain – or even Italy.

The Leipziger Volkszeitung was another such dissenting voice. The Saxony newspaper warned that the bailout could be just the prelude to “a gigantic emergency operation for the Spanish patient… that could make Greece billion-euro loan look like small beer.”

Mass-circulation daily Bild articulated the same scepticism in rather more strident tones. “Schäuble wants us to believe a one-off aid package will bring lasting success,” the paper thundered in an editorial. “But he said the same about Greece two-and-a-half years ago, and since then money has flowed uninterrupted into a bottomless Greek pit. So much for one-off!”

“One thing is sure,” concluded Germany’s most widely-read newspaper. “It will be the German taxpayers footing most of the bill for the euro-rescue. They at least deserve to be told the whole truth.”

The European heads of state have failed to learn from the example of Greece, according to Düsseldorf’s Rheinische Post. The paper blasted the rescue package as “incomprehensible faith-healing.”

“Bitter experience has taught us that it will be German money propping up the latest falling domino of the euro crisis,” it concluded sadly, laying much of the blame at the door of Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy and his predecessor José Luis Rodriguez Zapatero for the dishonesty of their “mighty boasts.”

For the Hamburger Abendblatt, the problems are more fundamental. “The Spanish case lays bare two unresolved weak points,” was the verdict of the major broadsheet in Germany’s second-largest city.

“Even after the outbreak of the great financial crisis in autumn 2008, the financial markets continue to lead their own unaccountable existence… and in addition, the euro countries have abandoned their fundamental principle, whereby each country is liable for its own debts.”

The paper likened the situation to an emergency on board a boat, where “the strong must help the weak.”

Only the Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung was prepared to offer qualified support for the new measures. In next week’s Greek elections, the paper pointed out, “the Greeks could very well set a course for an exit from the euro. That’s why it’s so important to defuse the Spanish problem.”

The commentary concluded, “The eurozone’s fire fighters cannot risk the possibility of two blazes at once.”

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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