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ECONOMY

Rösler plans special investment for Greece

German Economy Minister Philipp Rösler is reportedly working on a 16-point plan to encourage German companies to invest in Greece, including the idea of setting up special economic zones.

Rösler plans special investment for Greece
Photo: DPA

Just hours after the eurozone countries agreed a €109 billion rescue package for the Greek economy, business daily Handelsblatt on Friday reported Rösler was preparting to launch a type of Marshall Plan for the trouble country titled: “Investment and Growth Offensive for Greece.”

The paper, which said it had seen the plan, reported that its stated aim was to produce inducement for firms in order get them to contribute to increasing Greek economic growth in the long term.

The first step would be to organise a investment conference with the top business organizations in Germany. Rösler said he had already secured the ‘advisory support’ of the Greek government in connection with the privatisation of state assets, the paper reported.

German industry on Thursday displayed its enthusiasm to work in Greece, with the Federation of German Industry (BDI) saying the rescue package agreed by the eurozone countries was only one element of what was needed.

“We also urgently need an investment programme, a business plan, a plan for the reconfiguring of the Greek economy,” said BDI manager Markus Kerber.

The country should not only be able to bear its debts, but with the help of a different economic model, should also be able to achieve earnings in order to reduce its debts in the long term, he said.

Rösler said the organisation ‘Germany Trade and Invest’ was going to help Greece attract investors. Particularly interesting sectors include renewable energy, power station construction, energy efficiency, as well as tourism, telecommunications and transport.

Rösler’s plan also includes an EU-wide investor conference, to be set up with the German government, one aim of which will be to examine the idea of establishing model regions which would have special regimes. They would have their own specific laws covering labour, tax and planning, and have a single contact for investors.

The Local/hc

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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