SHARE
COPY LINK

EUROPE

Schäuble wants to ‘break’ ratings agencies’ power

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said on Wednesday he wanted to "break" the power of ratings' agencies and "limit" their influence after controversial decisions in the eurozone debt crisis.

Schäuble wants to 'break' ratings agencies' power
Photo: DPA

“We must break the oligopoly of the ratings agencies,” he told a news conference, a day after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Portugal’s debt to speculative status.

“I cannot understand what this appreciation is based on,” Schäuble said, referring to the influence the ratings agency have on financial markets, adding that he was “surprised like everyone” by the decision.

Moody’s slashed its credit rating on debt-ridden Portugal by four notches to Ba2 from Baa1, warning it could be lowered further.

Fellow European partners, together with the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank, have put together rescue packages for Portugal, Ireland and Greece to help them out of the quicksand of their spiralling sovereign debt.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel, for her part, on Tuesday demanded that ratings agencies take a back seat to the IMF, the ECB and the European Commission in determining the fate of heavily indebted Greece.

“I think it’s important that we in the Troika – the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission – don’t allow ourselves to relinquish our freedom to judge,” she told reporters at a news conference.

“That’s why I trust in the evaluations of these three institutions when it comes to specific procedures” rather than those of rating agencies, she said.

This followed a warning by Standard & Poor’s saying current proposals for a second Greek bailout could constitute an effective default.

Recommendations issued by the top ratings agencies – Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch – deeply impact financial markets.

Standard & Poor’s Germany boss Torsten Hinrichs on Wednesday sought to defend his firm in an interview on German ARD public television.

“There are about 100 ratings agencies in the world. The importance given to the big three comes from the fact they have proven to be accurate in their ratings” issued over many years, he said.

Earlier in the day, Greek Foreign Minister Stavros Lambridinis had also attacked what he termed the “madness” of ratings agencies saying they exacerbated an already difficult situation.

Speaking during a visit to Berlin, he said a decision this week by ratings agency Moody’s to downgrade Portuguese debt was not based on any failure to implement economic reforms by the government in Lisbon.

The downgrading reflected rather “the assumption that Portugal would need a second bailout,” he said. This had “the wonderful madness of self-fulfilling prophecy” by aggravating Portugal’s fiscal straits, he added.

He also accused market players of undermining his own debt-saddled country by betting on a default.

“Unfortunately a lot of people in these ‘rational’ markets have invested billions of euros in (a) Greek collapse,” he said.

The European Commission Wednesday also criticised Moody’s, saying its “questionable” decision on Portugal contradicted the EU’s own assessments.

“The timing of Moody’s decision is not only questionable but also based on absolutely hypothetical scenarios which are not in line at all with the economic programme” adopted by Lisbon, said Amadeu Altafaj, commission spokesman for economic affairs.

AFP/mry

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

SHOW COMMENTS