SHARE
COPY LINK

ECONOMY

Most Germans undaunted by economic crisis

Less than one-third of Germans have felt personally affected by the global financial crisis, according to a new survey released on Monday.

Most Germans undaunted by economic crisis
Photo: DPA

Some 29 percent of Germans who responded to the worldwide survey conducted by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) said they had experienced the economic fallout of the crisis, daily Die Welt reported.

Only the Chinese felt further removed from the crisis, with 25 percent of participants saying they had been affected. Meanwhile a much greater proportion of Americans and Russians, 49 and 71 percent respectively, said they’d felt the pinch.

Perhaps their pocketbooks were spared by spending more time than any other nationality hunting for good deals. Seventy-seven percent admitted they hoped to devote more energy to money-saving endeavours, and 73 percent said they had fun doing so.

“Not just the Germans, but also the other Europeans now have fun saving,” BCG consumer expert Ivan Bascle told the paper. “In the developing nations it is rather a sign of economic worries when consumers pay special attention to price.”

But Germans save without necessity, simply because they enjoy it, he explained.

Despite their good fortune in avoiding the economic downturn, half of the Germans surveyed said they were still worried about the future, though their mood is improving, the study found.

“The optimism is on its way back,” Bascle said. “But it hasn’t yet reached its pre-crisis level.”

The number of Germans who said they planned to cut their expenditures fell from 64 percent last December to 44 percent.

But the items and services that Germans buy have changed.

Status symbols and popular brand names are no longer sufficient to justify an expensive purchase, Bascle said.

“Today these products must bring three times the additional value: technical, functional and emotional,” he said, adding that if these are missing, customers choose cheaper items instead.

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

SHOW COMMENTS