SHARE
COPY LINK

BUDGET

Where the axe has fallen: a budget cut breakdown

As the dust settles on the German government's plans for a round of brutal belt-tightening, The Local breaks down the numbers and the details to see how it affects you.

Where the axe has fallen: a budget cut breakdown
Photo: DPA

After an intensive, two-day cabinet session, the coalition government of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s centre-right coalition has decided to slash €80 billion from the budget by 2014, including €11.2 billion next year.

The axe will fall hardest on welfare, with savings adding up to more than €30 billion over four years.

Parental benefits

While the maximum monthly payment for new parents known as Elterngeld will remain at €1,800, there will be a modest cut to the rate for people on net incomes of more than €1,240 a month, from 67 percent to 65 percent. The targeted saving is €200 million a year.

The present €300 per month Elterngeld for recipients of unemployment benefits will be scrapped completely. That aims to save €400 million per year.

Unemployment

People shifting from regular unemployment insurance to long-term jobless benefits now get an extra payment of up to €160 a month for singles or €320 for married recipients for the first year and half these amounts for the second year. These bonuses will be abolished, saving €200 million a year.

The biggest saving will come from giving the Federal Employment Agency more discretion, allowing it to make decisions about unemployment support and re-integration programmes. This aims to make the management of the long-term unemployed more efficient. Savings are estimated at €4.3 billion in the first year, rising to €10.2 billion in 2014.

For recipients of long-term unemployment benefits, or Arbeitslosengeld II, the government will slash the rates of pension insurance, saving €1.8 billion a year.

The heating allowance for recipients of government accommodation benefits will also be slashed, saving €100 million a year.

Air travel tax

The “ecological air traffic tax” would be imposed on all passengers departing from German airports, and would be levied on criteria such as price, noise and consumption. It could be introduced by including air transport in agreed carbon emissions trading standards and would aim to raise €1 billion a year from 2013.

Armed forces

The structure of the German military will be scrutinised with the aim of saving €2 billion a year from 2013. A special commission set up by Defence Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg will look at how to cut military staff by 40,000 to about 210,000.

Nuclear energy tax

Energy firms will pay a new tax on profits derived from the extension to the lifespan of nuclear power plants, raising €2.3 billion a year between 2011 and 2014.

Deutsche Bahn

The German rail operator will pay a new dividend on its profits, which the government hopes will deliver €500 million a year.

Financial services tax

A tax on financial transactions would be introduced from 2012, involving an agreement with European and international partners, and would raise €2 billion a year. Merkel said the chances that neighbours would agree to a European-wide levy were “not bad.”

Public sector

About 15,000 jobs will be cut from the public sector by 2014. The rest of the bureaucracy faces an effective 2.5 percent pay cut, with the abandonment of the planned raise in the Christmas bonus in 2011, saving €800 million a year. Overall, cuts to the public service will save €13.4 billion over the four years.

Environmental tax

Exemptions from the environmental tax would be slashed, notably for energy-intensive industries. This would raise €1 billion next year.

Research and development

The government’s previously announced plan to boost spending on research and development by €12 billion by 2013 remains in place.

Berlin City Palace

The reconstruction of Berlin’s historic city palace will be put on hold at least until 2014, saving the federal government €440 million. The plan will be revived when the money is available.

Sources: Federal Government, Financial Times Deutschland

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

SHOW COMMENTS