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Chances grim for FDP’s tax cut proposal

Chances for tax cuts planned by junior coalition party the Free Democrats are grim, according to early figures released on Tuesday ahead of a national tax assessment.

Chances grim for FDP's tax cut proposal
Foreign Minister and head of the FDP, Guido Westerwelle. Photo: DPA

Though the pro-business party had hoped the assessment would open up a chance to enact their tax reform proposals, daily Berliner Zeitung reported that the Finance Ministry’s prognosis points to significantly shrinking tax revenues on federal, state and municipal levels for the coming years, leaving little room for further cuts.

Preliminary figures obtained by the paper show that experts believe losses could reach €40 billion by 2013. The final report will be released on Thursday.

According to the Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK) tax revenue is set to drop by about three percent, or €14 billion this year despite economic recovery, with municipalities facing the biggest losses.

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU) and their coalition partners created a shortfall of €6 billion thanks to their stimulus package, the paper said.

But the Free Democrats continue to trumpet their new tax plan, even as senior members of their conservative coalition partners, the CDU, attack the proposals.

The simmering tension in the government coalition over tax reform proposals has continued beneath the surface even as the government scrambled to deal with crises such as the Icelandic volcano ash cloud, Afghanistan and Greece.

The new tax plan, a slimmed-down version in recognition of Germany’s massive public debt, would deliver relief totalling €16 billion and simplify the income tax system, leaving only five tax brackets. Originally the party had wanted to deliver €24 billion in relief and have just three tax brackets.

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Beskæftigelsesfradraget: What is Denmark’s employment allowance?

Denmark's government may soon announce changes to its tax reform plans, which will give all wage earners a bigger employment allowance. What is this and how will it affect foreigners' earnings?

Beskæftigelsesfradraget: What is Denmark's employment allowance?

What is the employment allowance? 

The Beskæftigelsesfradraget (from beskæftigelse, meaning employment, and fradrag, meaning rebate) was brought in by the centre-right Liberal Party back in 2004, the idea being that it would incentivise people to get off welfare and into a job.

Everyone whose employer pays Denmark’s 8 percent AM-bidrag, or arbejdsmarkedsbidrag, automatically receives beskæftigelsesfradraget. Unlike with some of Denmark’s tax rebates, there is no need to apply. The Danish Tax Agency simply exempts the first portion of your earnings from income taxes. 

In 2022, beskæftigelsesfradraget was set at 10.65 percent of income with a maximum rebate of 44,800 kroner. 

How did the government agree to change the employment allowance in its coalition deal? 

In Responsibility for Denmark, the coalition agreement between the Social Democrats, the Liberals and the Moderate Party, the new government said it would set aside 5 billion kroner for tax reforms.

Of this, 4 billion kroner was earmarked for increasing the employment allowance, with a further 0.3 billion going towards increasing an additional employment allowance for single parents.

According to the public broadcaster DR, the expectation was that this would increase the standard employment  allowance to 12.75 percent up to a maximum rebate of 53,600 kroner. 

How might this be further increased, according to Børsen? 

According to a report in the Børsen newspaper, the government now plans to set aside a further 1.75 billion kroner for tax reforms, of which nearly half — about 800 million kroner — will go towards a further increase to the employment allowance. 

The Danish Chamber of Commerce earlier this month released an analysis in which it argued that by raising removing all limits on the rebate for single parents and raising the maximum rebate for everone else by 20,300 kroner, the government could increase the labour supply by 4,850 people, more than double the 1,500 envisaged in the government agreement. 

According to the Børsen, the government estimates that its new extended allowance will increase the labour supply by 5,150 people.  

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