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ECONOMY

OECD backs Sweden to survive crisis

Sweden is well placed to ride out the global economic crisis despite risks of exposure to the overseas financial sector, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said on Wednesday.

OECD backs Sweden to survive crisis

The country should keep its fiscal policy on a sustainable track and continue tax reforms to promote growth, the OECD said in a report.

“The ample fiscal surplus and relatively low public debt allow for some policy easing, but the fiscal framework should be strengthened by linking targets more clearly to long-term considerations,” it said. “The challenge now is to continue with tax cuts.”

Last week the OECD, in its twice-yearly economic outlook, forecast Swedish GDP growth of 0.8 percent this year, no growth in 2009 and 2.2 percent in 2010. That was better than the outlook for the entire OECD during the next two years.

Robert Ford, deputy director of the OECD Economics Department, said Sweden had better underlying growth than most other countries but risks were on the downside — the main risk being the financial sector overseas.

Another worry was Sweden’s exposure to the troubled motor industry. Struggling US auto makers Ford and General Motors both want to sell their Swedish subsidiaries. Ford owns Volvo Cars and GM is the parent of Saab Automobile.

“It’s a big downside risk for the Swedish economy,” Ford said in an interview, referring to uncertainty over Volvo and Saab. Sweden should avoid buying all or parts of the car makers, even at the risk of letting them fail, he added.

“They shouldn’t really support them,” OECD’s Ford said, adding that lending money would also be risky business. “A more efficient use of its money, than to try to keep specific companies going, is to reflate the economy generally. If people start buying Saabs again, all the better,” he said.

The OECD also urged Sweden to take its biggest-ever privatization scheme further, once the effects of the global financial crisis were out of the way.

“Obviously the timing is not good right now. I don’t think they’ll be able to sell things now,” Ford said.

Ford expected Sweden’s key repo rate to fall to around 2 percent by the year-end. “And there is scope for more after that.”

The Riksbank is widely expected to announce a cut on Thursday of 1 percentage point, or possibly more. Rates are now at 3.75 percent.

Ford said the government should be ready to stimulate private consumption further in 2009 while waiting for monetary policy easing to trickle down and have an effect on consumption.

“It is crucial at this point to stimulate demand rather than supply,” he said. “To increase demand is what you want for 2009.”

Ford said Sweden could follow the US example with stimulus measures of its own or by temporarily cutting value-added taxes. “That’s what’s going to sustain GDP.”

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MONEY

How to avoid falling victim to tax scams in Sweden

Sweden's tax agency, Skatteverket, warns of an increase in scams when it's time for Swedish tax-payers to declare their taxes.

How to avoid falling victim to tax scams in Sweden

Anyone who earned more than 22,208 kronor last year received their tax returns digitally last week, marking the start of tax season.

That also means an expected peak in tax-related scams, Skatteverket warns.

Most of the scams are so-called phishing scams, meaning attempts to steal the victims’ personal information. Fraudsters may for example email a person, pretending to represent Skatteverket, and ask them for, among other things, their banking details.

“We’re seeing these in all channels. They use fake emails, SMS, letters and in some cases even phone calls. It is particularly common in tax declaration times – just when we’re about to send out the tax returns, the e-service opens and it’s possible to declare – but above all when it’s time for tax rebates,” Jan Janowski, a Skatteverket expert, told Swedish news agency TT.

A scam email might for example state that you’re entitled to a tax rebate and that you should click a link to receive it. Don’t click any links, open any attachments or reply to the message. Skatteverket advises that you immediately delete the email or text message.

Another common scam is that you receive a text message claiming to be from Skatteverket, telling you that you owe them money and you need to log in to calculate the amount. The website you’re urged to log in via does not belong to Skatteverket. Don’t click the link.

The agency stresses that it never asks people for their banking details. The exception is that you may be asked for your bank account information if you log into Skatteverket’s website to declare your taxes, but that always first requires you to log into the site.

To receive your tax rebate, you need to inform Skatteverket of your bank account number. You do this not by clicking a link in an email or SMS, but by logging into their website using a digital ID, for example BankID, and submitting your details. Only do this on your own initiative. If someone calls you and asks you to log in with your BankID during the phone call, don’t do it. That’s another common scam.

Skatteverket will also never call you to ask for your bank account or credit card number.

It will be possible to declare your taxes from March 19th. You’ll receive any tax rebate you’re owed by mid-April or early June, depending on when you submit your tax return. These are the dates when fraudsters are likely to attempt the most scams.

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