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ECONOMY

Sweden’s Riksbank slashes interest rate, predicts further cuts this year

Sweden's central bank, the Riksbank, lowered the country's key interest rate on Tuesday.

Sweden's Riksbank slashes interest rate, predicts further cuts this year
Riksbank president Erik Thedéen. Photo: Claudio Bresciani/TT

The Riksbank lowered the so-called policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.50 percent, citing a weak economy and stabilising inflation.

Recent inflation figures showed that inflation in July remained close to the Riksbank’s two percent target.

“Inflation has continued to fall and the prospects for inflation being in line with the target going forward are good. Long-term inflation expectations are signalling strong confidence in the target and wage increases are moderate,” said the bank in a statement.

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The lowering of the interest rate was expected, but the Riksbank also said it might cut the rate faster than previously advertised.

“If the inflation outlook remains the same, the policy rate can be cut two or three more times this year,” it said.

It had previously predicted one or two more rate cuts on top of the August cut.

The Riksbank, as usual, cautioned that “the outlook for inflation and economic activity is uncertain”.

“There are risks linked, for instance, to the geopolitical situation, economic activity in Sweden and abroad, and the krona exchange rate that can lead to a different outcome for inflation and thereby a different monetary policy,” it warned.

Future interest rate decisions are scheduled for September 25th, November 7th and December 18th.

Why is the policy rate important?

The policy rate is the central bank’s main monetary policy tool. It decides which rates Swedish banks can deposit in and borrow money from the Riksbank, which in turn affects the banks’ own interest rates on savings, loans and mortgages.

If bank interest rates are high, it’s expensive to borrow money, which means people spend less and as a result inflation drops.

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WORKING IN SWEDEN

Swedish long-term unemployment continues to rise

Long-term unemployment rose for the second month in a row last month, according to new figures from Statistics Sweden.

Swedish long-term unemployment continues to rise

“In July, long-term unemployment rose by 45,000 people compared to July last year,” Statistics Sweden statistician Louise Stener said in a statement.

The agency recently said that the Swedish economy is in a “clear recession” according to almost all indicators, and unemployment figures are also reflecting that.

The number of people aged 15-74 who were in work amounted to 5,444,000 individuals, not seasonally adjusted – that’s a decrease of 80,000 compared to July last year, but not all of those people were classified as long-term unemployed (unemployed for at least 27 weeks).

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Long-term unemployment amounted to 164,000 people, with significant differences when broken down by age and gender.

There were 71,000 women and 93,000 men in long-term unemployment, and 149,000 young people (aged 15-24 years). Youth unemployment hit 17.7 percent, which is an increase of 6.5 percentage points. This data is not smoothed or seasonally adjusted.

The unemployment rate for 15-74 year olds according to smoothed and seasonally adjusted data stood at 8.3 percent – that’s the highest unemployment rate in a decade, including the pandemic. Youth unemployment was even higher, at 24.4 percent.

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