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FRENCH ELECTIONS

Explained: How France’s two-round voting system works

In most countries, voters head to the ballot boxes just once - in France, however, there are two polling days. Here's how the country's unusual two-round voting system works.

Explained: How France's two-round voting system works
Polling booths during a French election. Photo by Hannah McKay / POOL / AFP

Most French elections are voted on in a two-round system.

Local, regional, parliamentary and presidential elections all have two rounds – the exception is the European elections, because they must conform to the voting patterns of the rest of Europe.

French Senate elections are another kettle of fish entirely.

Therefore in French domestic elections – including the current snap parliamentary elections – a range of candidates compete in the premier tour (first round) and voters can choose their favourite.

The highest-scoring candidates from the first round progress to the second round (deuxième tour) and voters go back to the polls to pick their favourite, or at any rate the one they dislike the least.

Votes are not carried forward from round one, so round two is a blank slate. At each round, voters can only choose one candidate. Most people vote in both rounds, but it’s possible to vote in only round one or only round two.

Outright winners

It can happen, though, that no second round takes place. If one candidate wins more than 50 percent of the vote then they are the outright winner (although in parliamentary elections they must also have got 25 percent of the total voters on the electoral roll, a measure intended to guard against shock results in elections with very low turnouts).

This is relatively common in municipal or regional elections. In parliamentary elections, it happens in a handful of constituencies but is rare. It has never happened in a presidential election.

Second round candidates

Exactly who goes through to the second round varies slightly depending on the type of election.

In presidential elections it is simple – the two highest scorers go through.

In legislative and municipal elections the two highest scorers go through, plus anyone else who has achieved at least 12.5 percent of the vote. Second rounds are usually two-horse races but in legislative elections there can be second rounds with three or even four candidates.

In the second round it’s a simple case of the candidate who polls the most votes wins.

Between rounds

In presidential elections there are two weeks between the rounds, in other elections it is usually one week. Polling day for all types of election in France is always a Sunday – the theory being that most people are not required to work and therefore have time to cast their vote.

Usually the defeated parties in the first round will call on their supporters to back a certain second-round candidate – if a far-right candidate has made it through to the second round, you may hear calls to faire un barrage or activate the Front républicain. This refers to parties across the political spectrum agreeing to put aside their differences and vote for each other in order to block the far-right. 

Why does France do this?

The two-round system is an unusual one – only a handful of countries use it and many of those that do are former French colonies who inherited the system from France. 

France voted to implement a two-round majority system for presidential elections in a 1962 referendum – the model was applied for the first time in 1965 when Charles de Gaulle was re-elected.

Prior to that the French president was generally chosen by the parliament and other elected officials – the exception to this was during the Second Republic when Napoleon II was directly chosen by the electorate (male members of the public at that time) during the 1848 presidential election with 74.2 percent of the vote.

The main argument in favour of it is that it allows the greatest number of people to select a candidate that they are happy with – even if your preferred candidate got knocked out in the first round, you can still express a preference for the second-round candidates.

In one-round first-past-the-post systems, such as those used in the UK and US, a party can win an election without winning an absolute majority of votes. Two-round systems are considered by some to be more democratic because the winner ultimately has to win the support of more than half of voters.

It has been claimed that two-round voting gives greater political stability – although current events are challenging that theory.

It’s often said that people vote with their heart in round one, but their head in round two – picking the practical choice from the second-round candidates.

READ ALSO How did France end up with the two-round system – and should it be changed?

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JOHN LICHFIELD

OPINION: The best France can hope for now is 12 months of turmoil

Only a brave or foolish person would predict the outcome of the second round of the French parliamentary elections on July 7th - writes John Lichfield. Here goes anyway.

OPINION: The best France can hope for now is 12 months of turmoil

Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National will narrowly fail to achieve an overall majority in the National Assembly. France will be plunged into a year of confusion and immobility with a lower house of parliament dominated by two angry, mutually-detesting blocs of Far Right and Left.

President Emmanuel Macron called the early election to restore “clarity”. Instead, he has created perilous uncertainty.

He has reduced his own parliamentary camp by up to two thirds. He has shown that the great majority of the country does NOT want a Far Right government. But he has left France perilously close to rule by an anti-European, pro-Russian party which seeks to return the country to a divisive and fake vision of a contented past.

It is evident that Le Pen COULD win a majority in the second round; but I believe that she will fail and that she will also fail to attract enough centre-right quislings to install her scary de facto Number Two Jordan Bardella as Prime Minister.

READ ALSO What next as far-right leads in first round of French elections?

Here are my reasons for cautious optimism – if wishing at least 12 months of drift and turmoil on France is optimism.

Sunday’s voting numbers suggest that the country looked into the abyss of a Far Right government and drew back. Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella vastly increased their support compared to the 2022 parliamentary election. But final opinion polls which projected a combined 36 percent or 37 percent for the Far Right and their centre-right collaborator Eric Ciotti proved exaggerated.

The RN alone won just under 30 percent of the vote – bad enough but less than its score in the European elections last month. Ciotti candidates added another 3 percent. Since Eric Zemmour’s alternative far right party, Reconquete!, was all but wiped out, this is NOT quite the populist-nationalist tsunami that some feared or forecast.

The vote for one iteration or another of the anti-European, anti-migrant, pro-Moscow nationalist Right has been around 30 percent for some time. Marine Le Pen took 13,208 686 votes in Round 2 of the Presidential election in 2022. Her party took 9,337,185 votes on Sunday.

All the same, the RN looks certain to expand its parliamentary party by 200 percent from 88 to at least 250 and maybe as many as 270. The new Assembly will be packed with Putin-fanciers, climate-change-deniers, anti-Semites, Islamophobes and conspiracy-theorists. Pauvre France.

Why do I believe that the RN will fail to achieve the 289 seats it needs for an overall majority?

After the first round results, there are potentially over 300 “triangular” or three-candidate second rounds out of 577. There are even four constituencies where four candidates have qualified for round two.

This is an all-time record for the present, convoluted parliamentary election system in which the first two candidates plus anyone who takes 12.5 percent of the registered first round vote qualify for a second round run-off. The high number of three-way second rounds has two explanations: the high turn-out 66.7 percent and the relatively small number of minor candidates in a surprise election.

The mass of three-way races offers an opportunity to the Left alliance and Macron centre to combine to support single anti-Far Right candidates in Round Two.

You can listen to John discuss the first round and what will happen next in the latest episode of our Talking France podcast.

READ ALSO Will parties withdraw candidates to block the far-right in round two of French elections?

Will they? In many cases, yes. Even the Far Left La France Insoumise – ambivalent in 2022 – has called on its third place candidates to withdraw in favour of better-placed Macron candidates.

The Presidential camp is foolishly divided on this question but its position is changing all the time and may become clearer soon. Macron’s party is up for a broad deal for mutual withdrawal of Centre and Left candidates. The other centrist parties, Modem and Edouard Philippe’s Horizons are saying that they will not  withdraw for the more extreme or allegedly anti-Semitic candidates of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s LFI.  

Could this ruin the so-called Republican Front against the Far Right next Sunday? It will weaken it, I believe, but not ruin it. The final decision, in any case, is that of individual voters, not party leaders.

There are many other variables. It will be a new election on Sunday. The turnout may be lower. Or it might be higher. A different cast of electors might turn out.

There is also the question of the non-quisling centre-right – the great majority of Les Républicains deputies who refused to betray their party’s Gaullist past and follow Eric Ciotti last month into the ample arms of Le Pen. They did pretty well on Sunday and can hope to retain around 50 of their 61 deputies.

Will some be tempted to ally with Le Pen and Bardella if they are just short of a majority? Very few, I think. They will see their battered party’s resilience as a sign that they could still recover their past glories and could yet produce a serious presidential player in 2027. That will be impossible if they ally with the Far Right.

Centre-right voters are a different question. Some will go to Le Pen, others to the Centre or even moderate Left to block the Far Right. It was shameful but not surprising to see the once moderate-conservative-Gaullist but increasingly Lepennist newspaper Le Figaro suggest to its readers that they should support the Far Right in Round Two to avoid the confusion of a blocked parliament.

Much will shift and swirl in the next week. I may prove to be foolish rather than brave. But my gut feeling is that Le Pen and Bardella will be stranded on 260 or so seats and will be unwilling or unable to form a government.

President Macron might try to carve a new ad hoc majority out of the centre-left, centre-right and centre. He will also fail. The most he can realistically hope for is for a working minority to support some kind of technocratic, caretaker government until new elections are legally possible in 12 months’ time.

Is it inevitable that Le Pen and Bardella will then claim the outright victory that I think they will be denied on Sunday? Maybe.

But let’s be optimistic. The country has looked into the abyss and recoiled once. It could well do so again.

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