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POLITICS

What happens with France’s controversial immigration bill on Thursday?

On Thursday France's highest constitutional authority will examine the government's controversial immigration bill - we look at what will happen, which parts of the bill could be rejected and whether the decision is likely to result in violent street protests such as those seen after the pension reform.

What happens with France's controversial immigration bill on Thursday?
Thousands protest in Paris against the new immigration law, which will be examined by the Constitutional Council on Thursday. Photo by Guillaume BAPTISTE / AFP

What’s happening?

On Thursday, January 25th, France’s Constitutional Council will deliver its verdict on the immigration bill that was passed by the parliament just before Christmas.

The Council’s job is to scrutinise all new laws to ensure that they comply with the French constitution and with France’s legal and international obligations.

Decisions are delivered by the sages (wise people) who make up the council, who have been considering this bill since December 26th. Deliberations take place in private so we will only know the overall decision, not how each council member voted.

The council has three choices; approve the bill in its current form, reject the bill in its entirety or tell the government to make changes to certain parts of the bill.

The decision of the council is final and there is no right of appeal, so Thursday is the crunch day when we find out whether and in what form the bill will become law. 

What will happen?

Only a fool would try to second-guess the wise ones, but many political commentators expect that certain sections of the bill will cause problems for the Council.

It’s very rare for the Constitutional Council to reject an entire bill (it’s only happened once since 1958) but it’s not unusual for the government to be told to make changes, and in fact political insiders say this is that the government wants.

Huh? The government wants its own bill to be changed?

Yes, because the bill that finally passed in the Assemblée nationale in December was very different to one originally proposed.

It’s a long and complicated story – full details here – but basically the government had to do a lot of political horse-trading to get enough MPs to support the bill, and the result was dozens of extra amendments being added by right-wing parties.

The final version of the bill was described by one leftist as ‘a National Front pamphlet from the 1980s’ – that’s a bit of an exaggeration, but it’s certainly a lot more hardline than the original.

READ ALSO What’s in France’s new immigration bill and how will it affect foreigners in France

So which bits are likely to be changed or killed?

There’s not much in the government’s original bill that is likely to trouble the constitutional experts on the Council, so these bits seem likely to remain in, including the compulsory language tests for long-term residency cards

Several of the amendments that were added later are, however, expected to be either rejected outright or significantly altered. 

Here are some the sections that could be altered;

Benefit restrictions – the new law restricts access to benefits such as family allowance, housing allowance and top-up benefits for pensioners to people who who have lived in France to five years (unemployment benefits are not affected).

It is estimated that this will affect up to 110,000 legally-registered immigrants in France, including 33,000 children with charities warning that tens of thousands of people will be thrown into poverty by the changes. A total of 32 local authorities, including Paris, have already said that they will refuse to apply the new rules.

Migration cap – the bill demands an annual debate in parliament on the subject of immigration, and for parliamentarians to “determine the number of foreigners admitted to settle permanently in France” – in other words an immigration quota.

Family reunification – non-EU immigrants in France who wish to be joined by family member such as a spouse or children will have to wait 24 months before they can apply for a family reunification visa, up from 18 months currently. There are also enhanced financial requirements for applications.

Citizenship – the bill ends the droit du sol, or the automatic right of children born in France to foreign parents to French citizenship. This does not affect foreigners applying for citizenship through residency, marriage or ancestry.

Foreign students deposit – non-EU students coming to France to study will have to lodge a deposit with the State when applying for their visa, in order to cover “unexpected costs” during their stay in France. This will be refundable, but the exact amount has not been specified.

Medical care – one of the most controversial amendments proposed was an end to the Aide Medicale de l’Etat (AME) which provides healthcare for undocumented immigrants, in the final version of the bill this was watered down to a promise to review the AME system, and it is therefore unlikely to trouble the Constitutional Council.

British second-home owners – One amendment that has got a lot less attention in the French press – but which is of vital importance to British second-home owners – is the proposal to exempt Brits who own property in France from visa rules, in effect returning to pre-Brexit freedom of movement for Brits, but only those who own property in France.

This was initially in parliament on equality grounds (essentially giving one group special status because they are wealthy enough to own two properties) and could also potentially create problems with the EU since the 90-day rule is an EU one. 

We’ve got a look at this issue in more detail HERE

It’s possible that other parts of the bill will also be flagged by the Council – you can read a full explanation of what is in the bill HERE.

Will there be riots?

Last time we were waiting on a decision from the Constitutional Council it was over the pension reforms and their ruling was followed by days of street protest in cities across France, some of which turned violent.

It’s unlikely that we will see anything like the same scale of protest over the immigration bill, no matter how the decision goes as unlike pension reform this isn’t an issue that affects most people’s lives.

However there have been protests over the bill – over the weekend tens of thousands of people turned out to protests in several of France’s bigger cities, including Paris.

Earlier in the week, students in Paris blockaded several lycées (high schools) and set fire to bins. 

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2024 EUROPEAN ELECTIONS

European elections: What are France’s têtes de liste?

Political news is set to fill a lot of the French news agenda over the coming weeks and you’ll hear a lot of talk about lists and 'têtes de liste' – but what do they mean, and what are the elections all about anyway?

European elections: What are France’s têtes de liste?

European elections are coming up in the first week in June – and although under EU law all countries must use voting systems that ensure proportional representation, each individual country has its own rules for voting.

France operates a ‘closed list’ policy – which means that you vote for a party, rather than an individual candidate at these elections. 

READ ALSO Can foreign residents in France vote in the European elections?

France used to divide its candidates into eight constituencies but these have now been abolished. Effectively, for the purposes of the European Parliamentary elections, France is a single constituency represented by 81 politicians – up from 79 at the last elections.

The number of MEPs (Members of the European Parliament) that each party gets is decided by the percentage of total votes that party receives. Parties must win at least 5 percent of the votes in order to send representatives to the Parliament.

Each party that plans to field candidates in the election supplies a list to France’s Interior Ministry. That full list was published in the Journal Officiel on Saturday, May 18th, and shows that 37 parties are fielding a total of 2,997 candidates to fill France’s allocation of seats.

In total, the post-election European Parliament will have 720 members, compared to 705 currently.

Tête de liste

The lists are defined by parties with their preferred candidates at the top – the first of these preferred candidates is the tête de liste (head of the list) and the de facto leader of the European election campaign. 

For example, Valérie Hayer is the tête de liste of Emmanuel Macron’s party group Renaissance while Jordan Bardella is tête de liste for the group representing Marine Le Pen’s far-right Rassemblement National. 

These politicians will be the first to be elected to the European parliament for their respective parties, based on vote share – and as both parties are predicted to get well over five percent, they’re virtually guaranteed a place in the European Parliament.

The last name on RN’s list is party vice-president (and mayor of Perpignan) Louis Aliot – as he is 81st on the list, he would only become an MEP if RN got almost 100 percent of the votes in France.

But the nature of the party over personality vote has already led to an unusual dynamic. Intriguingly, it’s French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal – who is, unsurprisingly, not running for a seat at the European Parliament – who will debate Bardella live on France 2 on Thursday, May 23rd, rather than Hayer, the nominal top politician in the government-backed groups European election campaign.

READ ALSO OPINION: A European disaster for Macron could lead to messy autumn elections in France

Once elected, most MEPs decide to join a pan-European political group. Prior to this election, MEPs from French parties were aligned with six European political groups out of the seven that make up the Parliament.

What do the polls say?

According to an Ispos poll published on May 16th for Radio France and Le Parisien, 31 percent of those questioned said they were ready to vote for a list led by the far-right’s Jordan Bardella. 

Centrist Hayer’s list ranks second, with around 16 percent of the intended votes, the centre-left Parti socialiste could collect 14.5 percent, followed by the far-left La France Insoumise at 8 percent, the right-wing Les Républicains at 7 percent while Les Ecologistes (green party) and the extreme-right Reconquête are projected to get 6.5 percent each. 

Crucially, however, there’s not much French interest in the ballot, with only 45 percent of those questioned intending to vote, according to the Ipsos survey.

In 2019, voter turnout was  50.12 percent, up more than 7.5 percentage points on the previous ballot in 2014.

The lists in full

Below are the politicians chosen as ‘head of the list’ for their parties, listed in order of their current polling

Jordan Bardella – Rassemblement National

Valérie Hayer – Renaissance (the grouping of Macron’s LREM party plus centrist Horizons and MoDem parties)

Raphaël Glucksmann – Parti Socialiste

Manon Aubry – La France Insoumise

François-Xavier Bellamy – Les Républicains

Marie Toussaint – Les Ecologistes 

Marion Maréchal – Recônquete

The below parties are projected to get below the 5 percent threshold, although there is always the possibility for an election surprise

Léon Deffontaines – Parti Communiste français

Hélène Thouy – Parti Animaliste

Jean Lasselle – Alliance rurale

Jean-Marc Governatori – Ecologie au centre

Nathalie Arthaud – Lutte ouvrière

Pierre Larrouturou – Nouvelle Donne – Allons Enfants 

Florian Philippot – Les Patriotes

Selma Labib – Nouveau parti anticapitaliste – Révolutionnaires

François Asselineau – Populaire républicaine

Nagib Azergui – Free Palestine

Guillaume Lacroix – Parti radical de gauche

Yann Wehrling – Ecologie Positive & Territoires

Caroline Zorn – Parti pirate

M. Fidèl (believed to be a pseudonym) – Pour une humanité souveraine

Philippe Ponge – Mouvement constituant populaire

Olivier Terrien – Parti révolutionnaire Communistes

Audric Alexandre – Parti des citoyens européens

Marine Cholley – Equinoxe

Michel Simonin – Paix et décroissance

Jean-Marc Fortané – Pour une autre Europe

Georges Kuzmanovic – Nous le peuple

Camille Adoue – Parti des travailleurs

Edouard Husson – Non ! Prenons-nous en mains

Pierre-Marie Bonneau – Les Nationalistes

Charles Hoareau – Association nationale des communistes

Francis Lalanne –  de la Résistance

Lorys Elmayan – La ruche citoyenne

Gaël Coste-Meunier – Droits du parent et de l’Infant

Hadama Traoré – Démocratie représentative

Laure Patas d’Illiers – Europe Démocratie Espéranto

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