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MIGRANT CRISIS

IN NUMBERS: Five graphs to understand migration to Italy

As sea arrivals to Italy soar and the government announces more laws aimed at managing a migration 'state of emergency', here are five sets of statistics that help explain the situation.

Migrants on the Italian island of Lampedusa on September 18, 2023.
Migrants on the Italian island of Lampedusa on September 18, 2023. Photo by Zakaria ABDELKAFI / AFP.

Italy’s government announced on Monday that it would significantly increase its maximum detention period for migrants, after the Sicilian island of Lampedusa became overwhelmed last week with arrivals from across the Mediterranean.

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s government says it hopes that raising the limit to 18 months will increase the number of successful repatriations of people whose asylum claims are rejected, and deter traffickers in North Africa.

READ ALSO: Italy to detain migrants for longer as arrival numbers surge

The announcement follows the government’s declaration of a migration ‘state of emergency’ in April in response to soaring numbers of arrivals to Italy via the Central Mediterranean route.

How have the numbers of people arriving in Italy by sea changed in recent years, and where are they coming from? Here are five infographics that shed some light on the situation.

How have arrivals fluctuated since 2015?

The bar chart below visualises the number of migrants who have arrived in Italy each year since 2015, according to data published by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees and Italy’s interior ministry.

You can see that the numbers of migrants coming to Italy via the Central Mediterranean route peaked in 2016, when the so-called ‘migrant crisis’ was at its height, and fell significantly in 2018-2019, before rising again steadily from 2020.

READ ALSO: What’s behind Italy’s soaring number of migrant arrivals?

Note that the column for 2023 covers only the first eight months of the year up until mid-September.

A combination of factors, including a highly unstable economic and political situation in Tunisia and the surrounding region, are thought to be contributing to the increased numbers of people making the journey in 2023.

Where are people coming from?

The largest group of migrants arriving in Italy by sea so far in 2023 come from Guinea (12 percent), Ivory Coast (11 percent), Tunisia (9 percent), Egypt (6 percent) and Bangladesh (6 percent).

They’re followed by migrants from Burkina Faso and Pakistan (both 5 percent), Syria (4 percent), and Mali and Cameroon (3 percent each), with over one third of arrivals coming from a mix of other countries.

That’s a change from 2022, when according to UNHCR data the largest groups of migrants came from Egypt (20 percent), followed by Tunisia (18 percent), Bangladesh (14 percent), Syria (8 percent), Afghanistan (7 percent), Ivory Coast (5 percent), Guinea (5 percent), Pakistan (3 percent) Iran (2 percent) and Eritrea (2 percent).

Where are people travelling from?

According to the UNHRC’s most recent Sea Arrivals Dashboard for Italy, 52 percent of people who came to Italy by sea in the first six months of 2023 left from Tunisia, up from just 21 percent in the same period in 2022.

43 percent came from Libya in January-June 2023, compared to 55 percent in the same period in 2022 – showing that Tunisia has clearly surpassed Libya as the main embarkation point for migrants travelling across the Mediterranean to Italy.

That’s partly down to worsening social and economic conditions for both locals and migrants in Tunisia, where President Kais Saied has stirred up race hate against migrants and the economy is flailing.

But International Organization for Migration (IOM) data shows that there is also a rising number of people arriving from Tunisia after crossing from Libya.

Just four percent of migrants arrived from Turkey in the first half of 2023 – a major drop from 21 percent in 2022.

Source: UNHCR Sea Arrivals Dashboard, June 2023.

Where in Italy are they arriving?

As you might expect, the UNHCR’s data portal shows that by far the largest proportion of migrants disembarking in Italy land on the island of Sicily.

It’s the tiny Sicilian island of Lampedusa, closest to Tunisia, that has experienced particular overcrowding problems in the past week.

Flavio Di Giacomo, a spokesperson for the IOM in the Mediterranean, told the Italian news site Fanpage that in previous years this issue had been avoided as most people travelled from Libya, and NGO rescue boats would take people to large Sicilian ports.

As more and more people are now arriving in small fishing boats from Tunisia, and Italy’s government has clamped down on the work of rescue organisations, Lampedusa is more exposed to sudden surges it is ill-equipped to handle.

Source: UNHCR Mediterranean data portal.

Which Italian regions are hosting the most people?

The northern region of Lombardy, which contains Milan, is the Italian region hosting the highest number of new arrivals (12 percent) in reception and integration centres.

It’s followed by Piedmont and Emilia-Romagna (9 percent each), Lazio and Campania (8 percent each), Tuscany (7 percent) and Veneto (6 percent).

Northwestern Valle d’Aosta, with its population of just over 125,000, hosts just 0.1 percent, while Trentino-Alto Adige and Molise have 1 percent each.

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MIGRANT CRISIS

Search for dozens feared missing after deadly migrant shipwrecks off Italy

The Italian coastguard searched off southern Italy on Monday for survivors or the bodies of dozens of migrants feared missing, after two shipwrecks left 11 people dead.

Search for dozens feared missing after deadly migrant shipwrecks off Italy

With up to 60 migrants potentially lost at sea, the coastguard said it has been looking for “possible missing persons” since late Sunday, “following the shipwreck of a sailing boat with migrants on board, presumably departing from Turkey”.

Rescue efforts began after “a ‘mayday’ from a French pleasure boat” some 120 nautical miles off the Italian coast, it said.

The French vessel alerted authorities to “the presence of the half-sunken boat”, before taking 12 surviving migrants on board.

They were then transferred to an Italian coastguard boat, which took them to the town of Roccella Ionica in southern Italy.

One of the surviving 12 died after disembarking, the coastguard said.

Around 50 migrants were missing following the shipwreck, according to ANSA news agency, while Radio Radicale put the number at 64, adding that those lost at sea were from Afghanistan and Iran.

READ ALSO: Charity warns Italy’s ban on migrant rescue planes risks lives

Doctors Without Borders (MSF) said it was providing “psychological assistance to all survivors”.

The team had “supported first aid activities for 12 people, including a woman who died shortly after disembarkation due to her severe medical condition”, it said.

Flooded lower deck

Further south, rescuers coming to the aid of migrants on a wooden boat off the Italian island of Lampedusa found 10 bodies below deck, the German aid group ResQship posted on X Monday.

The crew of ResQship’s vessel, the Nadir, managed to pull 51 people to safety.

“The rescue came too late for 10 people,” the German charity said.

“A total of 61 people were on the wooden boat, which was full of water. Our crew was able to evacuate 51 people, two of whom were unconscious — they had to be cut free with an axe,” it said.

“The 10 dead are in the flooded lower deck of the boat,” it added.

The survivors hailed from Bangladesh, Pakistan, Egypt and Syria, according to ANSA, which said they had paid around $3,500 to travel in the eight-metre (26-foot) long boat.

READ ALSO: Italy approves controversial Albanian migrant deal

More than 3,150 migrants died or disappeared in the Mediterranean last year, according to the UN’s International Organization for Migration.

The Central Mediterranean is the deadliest known migration route in the world, representing 80 percent of the deaths and disappearances in the Mediterranean sea.

It is widely used by migrants fleeing conflict or poverty, who set off from Tunisia or Libya by boat in bids to enter the European Union via Italy.

Tough choice

The EU recently adopted a vast reform toughening immigration control at its borders.

And since coming to power in 2022, far-right Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has vowed to dramatically slash the number of people crossing by boat from the coast of North Africa.

Rome has brought in a slew of rules to curb the activities of charity ships accused of being a pull factor for migrants – from limiting the number of rescues to assigning them distant ports.

Under a law adopted at the start of 2023, charity ships are obliged to travel “without delay” to port as soon as their first rescue is complete – even if they become aware of other migrants in difficulty.

In recent months, the Italian coastguard has assigned increasingly distant ports to ships, sometimes in difficult weather conditions, to the detriment of vulnerable migrants’ physical and mental health.

Charity crews face a tough choice: comply with the Italian authorities by leaving migrant boats adrift despite the risk that people could die, or disobey and face having their ships impounded.

Arrivals by sea to Italy have dropped considerably since the start of the year, with some 23,725 people landing so far, compared to 53,902 in the same period in 2023, according to the interior ministry.

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