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15 promised changes to life in Spain if the Popular Party reach power

Spain's likely incoming government has promised big changes to education, taxes, housing, jobs and many more pledges that will affect the lives of Spaniards and foreigners in the country.

15 promised changes to life in Spain if the Popular Party reach power
Supporters of Spanish right-wing opposition party Partido Popular (PP) hold signs reading "Feijóo president" during an election rally. Photo: JAIME REINA/AFP.

Sunday 23rd is Spain’s pivotal general election. Called as a surprise snap poll by weakened Socialist (PSOE) Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez following a rough round of regional and local results in May, the vote has been framed as a now or never, progressive vs regressive vote. 

READ ALSO: Spain’s likely new PM absent from crucial last debate before election

The polls suggest that Spain’s centre-right Popular Party (PP), led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo, will win the highest vote share. The unknown is whether the PP will come to rely on far-right Vox in order to gain an absolute majority and govern, though this seems the most likely outcome and is a scenario that could drag the PP further rightward on its pre-election pledges.

But much of the campaign so far has been based in culture war rhetoric, with PP and Vox attacking ‘Sanchismo’ and Sánchez’s alleged reliance on communist and separatist forces in Spanish politics.

READ ALSO: ‘Sanchismo’: PM’s personality cult or Spain’s progressive reformism?

As a result, we’ve heard little about what the party most likely to be in government, the PP, actually intend to do if they win power. So, what are Feijóo and the PP actually proposing?

Tax reform – The PP have pledged to carry out some pretty comprehensive tax system reform and the centre-right party will only be moving rates in one direction: down. In fact, Feijóo has explicitly promised “not to raise them.”

He has also pledged to lower rates of personal income tax on incomes of less than €40,000 to help cushion the impact of inflation. “I know that saying this at the moment is risky,” Feijóo has said, “but I have committed myself to it.” The party leader has also hinted that tax cuts would be a priority, and that it was specifically something he wanted to do “within the first 100 days of government”.

VAT cuts – in addition to the income tax cuts, PP have promised a reduction in VAT on meat, fish and preserves on a temporary basis.

Female unemployment – If the PP does get into government it has also pledged to design a plan to battle female unemployment that reduces the labour market participation gap holding women back.

Housing reform – the PP also proposes to repeal the housing law passed by the Sánchez government because it “has generated legal uncertainty and does not solve any of the underlying problems of the housing market.” Instead, it proposes a so-called ‘state pact’ on housing, working together with autonomous regions and local government to build affordable housing, implement a guarantee program aimed at young people up to 35 years old, promote social housing, and mobilise public land for house building.

READ ALSO: Five key points about Spain’s new housing law

Partido Popular (PP) leader Alberto Nunez Feijóo delivers a speech during a campaign event in Mallorca in July. Photo: JAIME REINA/AFP.
 

Tourism – A PP government would approve a ‘PERTE’ (a strategic plan for economic recovery and transformation) for Spain’s all-important tourism sector and draw up a new tourism law.

Water – Feijóo has committed to developing a ‘National Water Pact’ and to promote a plan to modernise Spain’s dams and canals at a time of dwindling water reserves and drought.

Languages – The PP has also promised that ‘linguistic balance’ will be guaranteed in bilingual regions by ensuring that all students are able write and express themselves correctly in Spanish and in the corresponding co-official language. This in particular may be a policy area affected by a coalition with far-right Vox, a centralist party who wants to take powers away from the regions.

Health and social care – The PP’s pre-election pledges have also promised to create one unified social and healthcare card, and introduce a shared electronic medical record.

Gender violence – The PP has pledged to support Spanish courts in order to crackdown on violence against women and be competent in judging crimes of ‘sexist violence’. It remains unclear what exactly this will entail, and is particularly prescient as PP at the regional level has entered into regional government coalition with Vox members who deny gender violence exists and have even served time in prison for harassing their ex-wife.

Trans Law – Feijóo has promised to repeal the Trans Law, a flagship policy of Podemos, the junior coalition partner in the Sánchez government, and to draft a new one while fighting against all types of discrimination. In the past, the party leader has argued that it makes it “much easier to change sex than to get a driver’s licence”.

READ ALSO: IN DEPTH: What is Spain’s ‘Trans Law’ and why is it controversial?

Criminal code – Spain’s criminal code also seems set to be reformed, notably to standardise Spanish law with European legislation on sedition, embezzlement and illegal referendums, something that will likely play a key role in any PP government’s relationship with Catalonia. Again, this could prove to be a policy area key to any potential PP-Vox government.

Democratic Memory – The PP in government would also repeal the controversial Democratic Memory legislation passed by the Sánchez government, preferring a return to the previous 2007 memory law passed by the Zapatero government. The Spanish right has long been opposed to any kind of historical memory legislation, claiming that it digs up old rivalries and causes political tension. If the PP is forced into coalition with Vox, this is even more likely.

Points-based migration – Feijóo’s party has proposed a meritocratic ‘points-based system’ for immigrants such as those in the UK and Australia. 

Squatting – A big campaign theme for the PP has been the issue of ‘Okupas‘. Feijóo has already hinted at a package of anti-squatting measures to allow fast-tracked evictions within a maximum period of 24 hours and increase the penalties for those convicted of occupying properties.

Small businesses – The PP would also look to reform how the financing of small and medium-sized businesses works by allowing access to alternative sources of financing beyond the banking system. 

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POLITICS

Who will win Catalonia’s regional elections?

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's Socialists hope to seize power in Spain's Catalonia region in elections Sunday, to prove its appeasement strategy has more appeal than the separatist agenda of Carles Puigdemont. The stakes are high for both.

Who will win Catalonia's regional elections?

This wealthy northeastern region of some eight million people votes Sunday to elect deputies to its 135-seat regional parliament.

Opinion polls suggest Sánchez’s Socialists are well ahead of Puigdemont’s hardline separatist JxCat and its rival ERC, led by current regional leader Pere Aragonès. 

A poll by Spain’s leading daily El País found that a coalition between separatist parties Junts, ERC and CUP would only have a 28 percent chance of reaching the majority; while a coalition by left-wing parties the PSC (PSOE’s Socialist branch), ERC and Comuns has a 78 percent possibility of forming a government. 

Another poll by Spain’s state-run CIS research body also has the PSC as the favourites to win with between 29.8 and 33.2 percent of the vote.

Other commentators haven’t ruled out the possibility of an electoral stalemate with neither block capable of obtaining a majority, which would result in repeat elections in the region of 8 million people. 

Junts’ Puigdemont was Catalan leader at the time of the failed independence bid in October 2017 which sparked Spain’s worst political crisis in decades.

Despite fleeing Spain to avoid prosecution, he has remained active in the region’s politics, leading JxCat from Belgium. He is hoping his imminent return from exile under an amnesty bill soon to become law will boost his chances in the vote.

For Sánchez, seizing back power from the separatists – who have ruled the region for a decade – would be a major victory in his efforts to turn the page on the crisis sparked by the secession bid.

READ ALSO: Why regional elections in Catalonia matter to Spain’s future

It would also allow him to press the restart button on his latest term in office, which began in November.

So far, it has been soured by bitter right-wing opposition and a corruption probe into his wife, which almost prompted his resignation late last month.

Socialist hopes high

A win by the Catalan Socialist party would allow the region “to turn over a new leaf after 10 lost years” said its leader Salvador Illa, 58, who served as Spain’s health minister during the pandemic.

Although the Socialists won the most votes during the last regional election in February 2021, Illa was unable to piece together a governing majority. The separatist parties took power by clubbing together to form a 74-seat coalition.

Since becoming Spanish prime minister in June 2018, Sánchez has sought to defuse the Catalan conflict. He has maintained dialogue with the moderate ERC and pardoned the separatists jailed over their role in the 2017 secession bid.

And late last year, he moved to push through an amnesty bill for those still wanted by the justice system in exchange for the separatists’ parliamentary support for him to secure a new term in office.

Under terms of the bill, Puigdemont – who fled Spain to avoid prosecution after the botched independence bid – will finally be able to return home after more than six years in exile.

It will be put to a final parliamentary vote later this month.

Catalan separatist leader and candidate of Junts per Catalunya Carles Puigdemont (R) raises his fist during a campaign rally in the French southeastern town of Argelès-sur-Mer. (Photo by Josep LAGO / AFP)

High stakes for Puigdemont

Puigdemont is for the moment unable to enter Spain, where he is still subject to an arrest warrant.

So he has been campaigning for Sunday’s election from a southern French seaside town near the Spanish border, and polls suggest his support has been rising steadily in recent weeks.

READ MORE: Exiled separatist leader rallies support in France ahead of Catalan election

“The independence movement has stalled a bit (since the botched 2017 separatist bid) but I think Puigdemont’s candidature has generated some enthusiasm,” Arnau Olle, a 29-year-old IT specialist from a town near Barcelona told AFP at a weekend campaign rally in Argeles-sur-Mer.

Puigdemont, who served as Catalan leader from January 2016, wants to have another shot at leading the region if the separatists retain a majority, and if JxCat comes out on top.

But that could be complicated given the divisions within the pro-independence movement and the emergence in recent months of the ultranationalist Catalan Alliance. While polls suggest it could win several seats, no other party wants to enter into a pact with it.

For Puigdemont, Sunday’s vote is also a high-stakes game, not least because he has pledged to retire from politics if he does not win.

Polls suggest the Socialists will win around 40 seats, which would mean it would need allies to reach the 68 required for a governing majority.

One possible alliance would involve the far left and Aragones’s ERC, but that would likely cause an implosion within the independence movement.

Political analyst Ernesto Pascual of the Autonomous University of Barcelona did not see such alliances hurting Sánchez’s left-wing government, whose fragile parliamentary majority depends on support from both JxCat and ERC.

Neither party has an interest in doing anything that might “force Sánchez to resign and trigger new elections”, he said.

That could change the scenario dramatically, he explained, referring to the possibility of a new government of the right which has vowed to rollback any move to amnesty the separatists.

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